aldric Posted January 23, 2007 Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Bet 70 I did not made any rewiev on what you asked, and probably I won't, because I would have to look in the live score site's archives. But bookies know why the odds are like that, in the overtime the home field advantage normally matters even more than in regulation time, because the crowd goes crazy to lift his team. Not speaking about the penalties too... No problems, I thought you would maybe have remembered 'roughly' if a few of your games had been won in OT. Hopefully Metallurg pull their fingers out in the next 2 periods!! :hope for us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Bet 70 No problems, I thought you would maybe have remembered 'roughly' if a few of your games had been won in OT. Hopefully Metallurg pull their fingers out in the next 2 periods!! :hope for us. Damn this stupid russian championship... As we "spoke", the score made it to 3-0 for the bad guys. This is a lost one IMO! :@ :\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 23, 2007 Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Bet 70 Damn this stupid russian championship... As we "spoke", the score made it to 3-0 for the bad guys. This is a lost one IMO! :@ :\ :puke I have declared this bet a loser already and made another bet on the Russians! (3-1 now... would be a great comeback lol) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alkarkar Posted January 23, 2007 Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Home favs only (Playin' with the fire 2) Hi, Flat betting, first 60 bets, comments please: Bets Av Odds SUM Yield % 60 1,549 -3,098 -5,163 No Odds Odds Result P/L 1 -139 1,719 W 0,719 2 -250 1,400 L -1,000 3 -200 1,500 W 0,500 4 -191 1,524 W 0,524 5 -276 1,362 W 0,362 6 -243 1,412 W 0,412 7 -181 1,552 W 0,552 8 -206 1,485 L -1,000 9 -150 1,667 W 0,667 10 -190 1,526 L -1,000 11 -191 1,524 L -1,000 12 -180 1,556 W 0,556 13 -179 1,559 W 0,559 14 -215 1,465 W 0,465 15 -156 1,641 L -1,000 16 -153 1,654 L -1,000 17 -140 1,714 W 0,714 18 -250 1,400 L -1,000 19 -170 1,588 L -1,000 20 -155 1,645 W 0,645 21 -180 1,556 W 0,556 22 -145 1,690 W 0,690 23 -203 1,493 W 0,493 24 -178 1,562 L -1,000 25 -183 1,546 W 0,546 26 -155 1,645 W 0,645 27 -187 1,535 L -1,000 28 -182 1,549 W 0,549 29 -170 1,588 L -1,000 30 -153 1,654 W 0,654 31 -180 1,556 W 0,556 32 -133 1,752 L -1,000 33 -167 1,599 L -1,000 34 -188 1,532 L -1,000 35 -222 1,450 W 0,450 36 -178 1,562 W 0,562 37 -201 1,498 W 0,498 38 -191 1,524 W 0,524 39 -182 1,549 W 0,549 40 -184 1,543 W 0,543 41 -142,86 1,700 L -1,000 42 -150 1,667 L -1,000 43 -181,82 1,550 W 0,550 44 -201 1,498 L -1,000 45 -201 1,498 W 0,498 46 -150 1,667 W 0,667 47 -200 1,500 W 0,500 48 -191 1,524 W 0,524 49 -210 1,476 L -1,000 50 -302 1,331 W 0,331 51 -181 1,552 W 0,552 52 -172 1,581 L -1,000 53 -155 1,645 L -1,000 54 -240 1,417 W 0,417 55 -125 1,800 W 0,800 56 -167 1,599 L -1,000 57 -222,22 1,450 W 0,450 58 -194 1,515 L -1,000 59 -800 1,125 W 0,125 60 -167 1,599 L -1,000 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 72 Bet 72: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: Russia SL, Hockey Game: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl @ Magnitogorsk Pick: Magnitogorsk to win (regulation time only!), odds: -222.22 Wager: $65.00, Possible win: $29.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Home favs only (Playin' with the fire 2) Note: I placed Bet 72 at BWIN before the game for Bet 71 has ended, and because the odds the wager is bigger that normally I should make, assuming that Bet 71 will be a winner (score is 4-3 with about 4 mins to play). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 23, 2007 Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Home favs only (Playin' with the fire 2) Hi, Flat betting, first 60 bets, comments please: Thanks for the hard work on that Alkarkar! :cheers I think the first comment should be that without the staking plan adopted then you would be losing money, however using the staking the initial bank has more than doubled! It looks like your strike rate should be higher given the odds you are taking....... What are your comments Alkarkar? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 71 result Bet 71: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: Russia SL, Hockey Game: Tractor Chelyabinsk @ Novokuznetsk Pick: Novokuznetsk to win, odds: -169 Wager: $90.34, Possible win: $53.46 Bet 71 result: WINNER! :nana Score: Tractor Chelyabinsk @ Novokuznetsk 3-4 Amount won: $53.46 New bankroll: $(1,174.55+53.46) = $1,228.01 Bets = 71, Won = 45, Lost = 26 --------------------------- Note: This was an amazing comeback of the home team, which was down 3-0 in the 3-th minute of the 2-nd period. Lesson: "Never say never!" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Home favs only (Playin' with the fire 2) Hi, Flat betting, first 60 bets, comments please: Thanks a lot mate for your statistic! :clap :ok Well, it's exactly as I thought: using level stakes I would be big time in the hole. Until now IMO the break-even level strike rate taking the kinds of odds I'm having would've been 66.66%, but now I think it's more like 70%. I'm nowhere close to that, and I will never be.... :dude Someone playing level stakes should never ever take worst odds than -150 or 1.666, and here I am almost always taking worst odds than these, sometimes even 2, 3 times as bad. :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 73 Bet 73: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: Russia SL, Hockey Game: Severstal Cherepovec @ Khimik Mytychi Pick: Khimik Mytychi to win (regulation time only!), odds: -222.22 Wager: $150.00, Possible win: $67.50 -------------------------- Note: Bet placed at BWIN before Bet 72 is closed, because that ooks like a loser. The ML odds at Pinny were -420, that's why I fell it's a lot more value taking the 3 way bet home win (Pinny does not have 3 way bets for hockey). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 72 result Bet 72: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: Russia SL, Hockey Game: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl @ Magnitogorsk Pick: Magnitogorsk to win (regulation time only!), odds: -222.22 Wager: $65.00, Possible win: $29.25 Bet 72 result: LOSER! :wall Score: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl @ Magnitogorsk 3-0 Amount lost: $65.00 New bankroll: $(1,228.01-65.00) = $1,163.01 Bets = 72, Won = 45, Lost = 27 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 74 Bet 74: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: Sweden Elits, Hockey Game: Linköping @ Färjestad Pick: Färjestad to win (regulation time only!), odds: -142.86 Wager: $308.00, Possible win: $215.60 --------------------------- Note: Bet placed at BWIN. At Pinnacle the ML odds for Farjestad were -212. With this wager I'm just going to break even with the last 2 losses. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 23, 2007 Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Bet 74 Bet 74: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: Sweden Elits, Hockey Game: Linköping @ Färjestad Pick: Färjestad to win (regulation time only!), odds: -142.86 Wager: $308.00, Possible win: $215.60 quote] GL!! :hope (looks like an exciting game, 2-1 after 6 mins) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 73 result Bet 73: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: Russia SL, Hockey Game: Severstal Cherepovec @ Khimik Mytychi Pick: Khimik Mytychi to win (regulation time only!), odds: -222.22 Wager: $150.00, Possible win: $67.50 Bet 73 result: LOSER! :wall Score: Severstal Cherepovec @ Khimik Mytychi 4-3 Amount lost: $150.00 New bankroll: $(1,163.01-150.00) = $1,013.01 Bets = 73, Won = 45, Lost = 28 ---------------------------- Note: I had a horrible day betting on big home favs in the Russian Hockey league today. I went 1-3. :@ :sad Owerall, the home teams managed just 4 wins in 9 games today in the russian first league (and one was the amazing comeback by Metallurg...) :puke :moon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 75 Bet 75: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: English Carling Cup, Soccer Game: Wycombe @ Chelsea Pick: Chelsea to win, odds: -714 Wager: $197.00, Possible win: $27.59 -------------- Note: I made this bet before the game for Bet 74 is over, because that looks like a winner. It's an "irregular bet" because of the high odds I have taken, but I can not see any bad surprise happening here. Normally I should have been wagering $45.50 (supposed Bet 74 is winner), but the possible win here equals $45.50 wagered at the odds of -165. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 74 result Bet 74: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: Sweden Elits, Hockey Game: Linköping @ Färjestad Pick: Färjestad to win (regulation time only!), odds: -142.86 Wager: $308.00, Possible win: $215.60 Bet 74 result: WINNER! :nana Score: Linköping @ Färjestad 2-5 Amount won: $215.60 New bankroll: $(1,013.01+215.60) = $1,228.61 Bets = 74, Won = 46, Lost = 28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 75 result Bet 75: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: English Carling Cup, Soccer Game: Wycombe @ Chelsea Pick: Chelsea to win, odds: -714 Wager: $197.00, Possible win: $27.59 Bet 75 result: WINNER! :nana Score: Wycombe @ Chelsea 0-4 Amount won: $27.59 New bankroll: $(1,228.61+27.59) = $1,256.20 Bets = 75, Won = 47, Lost = 28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Bet 76 Bet 76: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: NCAA, Basketball Game: Florida State @ Boston College Pick: Boston College to win, odds: -143 Wager: $46.52, Possible win: $32.53 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Bet 76 result Bet 76: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: NCAA, Basketball Game: Florida State @ Boston College Pick: Boston College to win, odds: -143 Wager: $46.52, Possible win: $32.53 Bet 76 result: WINNER! :nana Score: Florida State @ Boston College 82-85 Amount won: $32.53 New bankroll: $(1,256.20+32.53) = $1,288.73 Bets = 76, Won = 48, Lost = 28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Bet 77 Bet 77: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: NCAA, Basketball Game: San Diego State @ UNLV Pick: UNLV to win, odds: -300 Wager: $47.73, Possible win: $15.91 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Bet 77 result Bet 77: Date: Tuesday, January 23 2007 Competition, Sport: NCAA, Basketball Game: San Diego State @ UNLV Pick: UNLV to win, odds: -300 Wager: $47.73, Possible win: $15.91 Bet 77 result: WINNER! :nana Score: San Diego State @ UNLV 61-68 Amount won: $15.91 New bankroll: $(1,288.73+15.91) = $1,304.64 Bets = 77, Won = 49, Lost = 28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 24, 2007 Share Posted January 24, 2007 Re: Bet 77 result Bet 77 result: WINNER! :nana Score: San Diego State @ UNLV 61-68 Amount won: $15.91 New bankroll: $(1,288.73+15.91) = $1,304.64 Bets = 77, Won = 49, Lost = 28 4 in a row, nice one!!! :clap Not so much to bet on during the day today, No Russian Ice Hockey you will be pleased to hear!!! (it's back tomorrow :loon ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Bet 78 Bet 78: Date: Wednesday, January 24 2007 Competition, Sport: Club Friendlies, Europe, Soccer Game: LASK Linz @ SK Rapid Vienna Pick: SK Rapid Vienna to win, odds: -125 Wager: $36.60, Possible win: $29.28 ----------------------- Note: Bet placed at BWIN. Normally the wager should have been $48.32, but because this is a friendly and a bit of a longshot, the wager I made corresponds with a wager of $48.32 at odds of -165. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 24, 2007 Share Posted January 24, 2007 Re: Bet 78 Bet 78: Pick: SK Rapid Vienna to win Nice one, I think its safe to say this is winner number 5 in a row. :cheers They are only winning 6-0 ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Re: Bet 77 result 4 in a row, nice one!!! :clap Not so much to bet on during the day today, No Russian Ice Hockey you will be pleased to hear!!! (it's back tomorrow :loon ) Thanks man! :ok Guess what? If I see some good looking games to bet on, I will play tomorrow again the bloody russian hockey teams. I figure that the odds for home teams to have 2 such a miserable days in a row is low. :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Bet 78 result Bet 78: Date: Wednesday, January 24 2007 Competition, Sport: Club Friendlies, Europe, Soccer Game: LASK Linz @ SK Rapid Vienna Pick: SK Rapid Vienna to win, odds: -125 Wager: $36.60, Possible win: $29.28 Bet 78 result: WINNER! :nana Score: LASK Linz @ SK Rapid Vienna 0-7 Amount won: $29.28 New bankroll: $(1,304.64+29.28) = $1,333.92 Bets = 78, Won = 50, Lost = 28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Bet 79 Bet 79: Date: Wednesday, January 24 2007 Competition, Sport: French Ligue 1, Soccer Game: Auxerre @ Marseille Pick: Marseille to win, odds: -143 Wager: $49.40, Possible win: $34.55 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Bet 79 result Bet 79: Date: Wednesday, January 24 2007 Competition, Sport: French Ligue 1, Soccer Game: Auxerre @ Marseille Pick: Marseille to win, odds: -143 Wager: $49.40, Possible win: $34.55 Bet 79 result: WINNER! :nana Score: Auxerre @ Marseille 1-3 Amount won: $34.55 New bankroll: $(1,333.92+34.55) = $1,368.47 Bets = 79, Won = 51, Lost = 28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Bet 80 Bet 80: Date: Wednesday, January 24 2007 Competition, Sport: French Ligue 1, Soccer Game: Sedan @ Sochaux Pick: Sochaux to win, odds: -167 Wager: $50.68, Possible win: $30.35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bamse81 Posted January 24, 2007 Share Posted January 24, 2007 Re: Home favs only (Playin' with the fire 2) Good going Player.. watching this with interest :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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