Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things)

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) draw no bet/double chance draw no bet start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 103.39pts 9 team accy - 15.77 @ bet365 (colchester 1.44, liverpool 1.10, southampton 1.28, forest 1.22, plymouth 1.44, walsall 1.36, bradford 1.36, preston 1.33, stoke 1.80) new bank = 102.39pts strike rate win/loss = 2/0 __________________________________________________ __________ double chance start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt new bank = 102.04pts 9 team accy - 4.46 @ bet365 new bank = 101.04 strike rate win/loss = 2/0

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) laying laying will be to win 1 pt i'll take the price that is on offer to me at the time rather than attempt to achieve the best price for the paper trial all prices from betfair for simplicity (if i start to use real money then I'll tighten up on the criteria) start bank = 100 points current bank = 110pts wins/loss = 10/0 lay man city @ 10.50 lay southend @ 4.50 lay leeds @ 4.40 lay palace @ 5.90 lay luton @ 6.00 lay west brom @ 2.92 lay bournemouth @ 4.40 lay millwall @ 6.80 lay notts co @ 5.00 new bank = 59.58

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) wins/draws straight win or draw on the teams rated 20 or above win start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 103.77pts strike rate win/loss = 8/2 liverpool 1.45 @ expekt colchester 2.05 @ premierbet plymouth 2.04 @ betfair preston 1.76 @ betfair southampton 1.71 @ betdaq stoke 2.77 @ betdaq bradford 2.02 @ betfair forest 1.64 @ betfair walsall 1.92 @ betfair new bank = 94.77pts draw start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 96.91pts strike rate win/loss = 2/8 liverpool 4.70 @ betfair colchester 3.40 @ betfair plymouth 3.40 @ vc bet preston 3.75 @ betfair southampton 4.00 @ betfair stoke 3.25 @ vc bet bradford 3.55 @ betfair forest 4.20 @ betfair walsall 3.50 @ coral new bank = 87.91pts

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) the accys lowest 3 ranked trebles start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt bradford, preston, stoke treble - 8.14 @ premierbet :\ 1 win, 2 draws new bank = 99pts highest 3 ranked trebles start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt colchester, liverpool, southampton - 4.78 @ premierbet :nana new bank = 103.78pts lowest 3 odds trebles start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt liverpool, forest, preston - 3.89 @ totesport :\ 2 wins, 1 draw new bank = 99pts highest 3 odds trebles start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt stoke, colchester, plymouth - 3.92 @ premierbet :\ 2 wins, one loss new bank = 99pts my pick trebles start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt liverpool, forest, southampton - 3.89 @ totesport :nana new bank = 102.89pts

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) draw no bet/double chance draw no bet start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt 9 team accy - 15.77 @ bet365 (colchester 1.44, liverpool 1.10, southampton 1.28, forest 1.22, plymouth 1.44 :wall, walsall 1.36, bradford 1.36, preston 1.33, stoke 1.80) current bank = 102.39pts strike rate win/loss = 2/1 __________________________________________________ __________ double chance start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt 9 team accy - 4.46 @ bet365 :wall bloody plymouth! current bank = 101.04 strike rate win/loss = 2/1

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) laying laying will be to win 1 pt i'll take the price that is on offer to me at the time rather than attempt to achieve the best price for the paper trial all prices from betfair for simplicity (if i start to use real money then I'll tighten up on the criteria) start bank = 100 points lay man city @ 10.50 :nana lay southend @ 4.50 :nana lay leeds @ 4.40 :@ lay palace @ 5.90 :nana lay luton @ 6.00 :nana lay west brom @ 2.92 :nana lay bournemouth @ 4.40 :nana lay millwall @ 6.80 :nana lay notts co @ 5.00 :nana current bank = 113.60pts wins/loss = 18/1

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) wins/draws straight win or draw on the teams rated 20 or above win start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt liverpool 1.45 @ expekt :nana colchester 2.05 @ premierbet :nana plymouth 2.04 @ betfair :wall preston 1.76 @ betfair :@ southampton 1.71 @ betdaq :nana stoke 2.77 @ betdaq :nana bradford 2.02 @ betfair :@ forest 1.64 @ betfair :nana.61 walsall 1.92 @ betfair :nana.87 current bank = 103.46pts strike rate win/loss = 14/5 draw start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt liverpool 4.70 @ betfair :@ colchester 3.40 @ betfair :@ plymouth 3.40 @ vc bet :wall preston 3.75 @ betfair :nana 3.61 southampton 4.00 @ betfair :@ stoke 3.25 @ vc bet :@ bradford 3.55 @ betfair :nana3.42 forest 4.20 @ betfair :@ walsall 3.50 @ coral :@ current bank = 94.94pts strike rate win/loss = 4/15

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) well, i'm again forced to enter stats manually as football anorak still have their tables not updated, so its just the english leagues here this week, and they are depleted by the FA Cup action on top of this, for some reason the excel spreadsheet with the stats i normally start off with wont copy and paste across :wall i'll put down the details as i go throught the bets

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things)

the asian handicaps England start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 99.75pts settled win/loss = 4/3 portsmouth +0.5 - 1.60 @ william hill :@ man utd +0,+0.5 - 1.59 @ 10bet :nana returned 1.30 birmingham +0,+0.5 - 1.60 @ 10bet :nana returned 1.60 sheff wed +0,+0.5 - 1.84 @ betdaq :nana returned 1.42 stoke +0,+0.5 - 1.63 @ 10bet :nana returned 1.63 brighton +0,+0.5 - 1.92 @ betdaq :@ torquay +0.5,+1 - 1.99 @ bet1128 :@ bury +0.5 - 2.00 @ betfred :@ new bank = 91.75pts

updated from last weekend the asian handicaps England start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 97.70pts settled win/loss = 8/7

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) the asian handicaps England start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 97.70pts settled win/loss = 8/7 this weeks selections wigan +0.5 - 1.88 @ stan james plymouth +1 - 1.80 @ betfred qpr +0.5 - 1.80 @ stan james burnley +0,+0.5 - 1.88 @ betdaq southend +0, +0.5 - 1.75 @ betfred new bank = 92.70pts

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) the accys for the accys i will follow this criteria 0-3 teams rated 20 and above = no accys 4-6 teams rated 20 and above = doubles 7+ teams rated 20 and above = trebles just 2 teams make the desired rating of 20+ this week everton v west ham - 24 cardiff v colchester - 32.9 so no accys this week. although i'm keeping this system for the league, i've looked at the cup games with games featuring games where league one and two sides meet a team from their own divsion and they throw up these scores bradford v millwall 20.4 (although this is a friday night match which also discludes it from the system) bristol city v gillingham 27.6 i'll look for these results out of interest but nothing more at this stage

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) draw no bet/double chance draw no bet start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 102.39pts 2 team double - 1.70 @ bet365 (everton 1.36, Cardiff 1.25) new bank = 101.39pts strike rate win/loss = 2/1 ____________________________________________________________ double chance start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 101.04 2 team double - 1.35 @ bet365 new bank = 100.04 strike rate win/loss = 2/1

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) laying laying will be to win 1 pt i'll take the price that is on offer to me at the time rather than attempt to achieve the best price for the paper trial all prices from betfair for simplicity (if i start to use real money then I'll tighten up on the criteria) start bank = 100 points current bank = 113.60pts wins/loss = 18/1 lay west ham @ 4.4 lay colchester @ 5.8 new bank = 103.40pts

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) wins/draws straight win or draw on the teams rated 20 or above win start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 103.46pts strike rate win/loss = 14/5 everton @ 2.11 - betdaq cardiff @ 1.80 - betdaq new bank = 101.46pts draw start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 94.94pts strike rate win/loss = 4/15 everton @ 3.25 - bet365 cardiff @ 3.60 - betdirect new bank = 92.94pts

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things)

the asian handicaps England start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 97.70pts settled win/loss = 8/7 this weeks selections wigan +0.5 - 1.88 @ stan james :@ plymouth +1 - 1.80 @ betfred :@ qpr +0.5 - 1.80 @ stan james :@ burnley +0,+0.5 - 1.88 @ betdaq - :) returns 1.44 southend +0, +0.5 - 1.75 @ betfred :@ new bank = 92.70pts

start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 94.14pts settled win/loss = 9/11

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things)

the accys for the accys i will follow this criteria 0-3 teams rated 20 and above = no accys 4-6 teams rated 20 and above = doubles 7+ teams rated 20 and above = trebles just 2 teams make the desired rating of 20+ this week everton v west ham - 24 cardiff v colchester - 32.9 so no accys this week. although i'm keeping this system for the league, i've looked at the cup games with games featuring games where league one and two sides meet a team from their own divsion and they throw up these scores bradford v millwall 20.4 (although this is a friday night match which also discludes it from the system) bristol city v gillingham 27.6 i'll look for these results out of interest but nothing more at this stage

well, none of the 4 teams lost - cardiff and bradford drew 0-0, everton won 2-0 and bizzle won 4-3 :)

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things)

draw no bet/double chance draw no bet start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 102.39pts 2 team double - 1.70 @ bet365 :nana returns 1.36 (everton 1.36, Cardiff 1.25) new bank = 101.39pts strike rate win/loss = 2/1 ____________________________________________________________ double chance start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 101.04 2 team double - 1.35 @ bet365 :nana new bank = 100.04 strike rate win/loss = 2/1

draw no bet start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 102.75pts strike rate win/loss = 3/1 (75%) ____________________________________________________________ double chance start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 101.39 strike rate win/loss = 3/1 (75%)

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things)

laying laying will be to win 1 pt i'll take the price that is on offer to me at the time rather than attempt to achieve the best price for the paper trial all prices from betfair for simplicity (if i start to use real money then I'll tighten up on the criteria) start bank = 100 points current bank = 113.60pts wins/loss = 18/1 lay west ham @ 4.4 :nana lay colchester @ 5.8 :nana new bank = 103.40pts

start bank = 100 points current bank = 115.60pts strike rate wins/loss = 20/1 (95%)

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things)

wins/draws straight win or draw on the teams rated 20 or above win start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 103.46pts strike rate win/loss = 14/5 everton @ 2.11 - betdaq :nana returns 1.11 profit cardiff @ 1.80 - betdaq :@ loss of 1pt new bank = 101.46pts draw start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 94.94pts strike rate win/loss = 4/15 everton @ 3.25 - bet365 :@ loss of 1pt cardiff @ 3.60 - betdirect :nana returns 2.60 profit new bank = 92.94pts

win start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 103.57pts strike rate win/loss = 15/6 (71%) draw start bank = 100 points each bet = 1pt current bank = 96.54pts strike rate win/loss = 5/16 (29%)

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) no time this weekend to sort out stats etc possibly moving next week, so when i return, I'll be starting a for real money thread and hopefully will have the templates set up so that i can add more leagues to this thread as a papertrial 95% strike rate on the lays (albeit on a small trial) gives me enough confidence to play around with this with hard earned cash :D:hope

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Re: Previous Results Form Ratings Used For Laying (amongst other things) template up and running and have started the laborious task of manually entering the data to back test. english premier league table completed - these are the picks for this weekends games. each game will be a bet on the home side and a lay on the away side (all odds from oddschecker at time of writing) fulham v west ham (home win - 2.54 @ betfair/lay away - 3.03 @ mansion) liverpool v watford (home win - 1.25 @ stan james/lay away - 19.00 @ betdaq) middlesbro v charlton (home win - 1.83 @ betdaq/lay away - 5.00 @ betdaq) also u/o bets - to win fulham v west ham - under 2.5 goals (1.66 @ betdaq) man city v bolton - under 2.5 goals (1.64 @ betdaq) hopefully moving house this week - once thats sorted I'll be putting real money on these bets and creating a money thread. in the mean time, i'll be backtesting other leagues starting with the rest of the english divisions.