Djordje Posted October 4, 2006 Author Share Posted October 4, 2006 Re: ValueEstimations/PerformanceRatings (-2.99%) Weymouth win 2-1 :\ Bets 94 Average odds 3.28 Hit rate 0.41 Stake 653 Won 626.68 Profit -26.32 Yield -4.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted October 4, 2006 Author Share Posted October 4, 2006 Re: ValueEstimations/PerformanceRatings (-4.03%) Friday 06 Oct Bornemouth v Northampton - away win @3.40 6/10, bet365 Swansea v Tranmere - home win @2.25 7/10, ladbrokes Darlington v Rochdale - away win @4.33 3/10, bet365 Lincoln v Hartlepool - home win @2.25 2/10, bet365 Forest Green v Oxford - draw @3.50 2/10, coral Woking v Burton - away win @3.00 7/10, coral York v Aldershot - draw @3.40 2/10, stan james Saturday 07 Oct Nottm Forest v Scunthorpe - away win @6.00 3/10, tote sport Bradford v Huddersfield - draw @3.25 6/10, bet365 Brentford v Bristol City - home win @2.75 6/10, coral Crewe v Gillingham - home win @1.90 6/10, stan james Leyton Orient v Chesterfield - home win @2.50 6/10, sky bet Mansfield v Notts County - draw @3.25 2/10, ladbrokes Accrington v Swindon - home win @2.75 6/10, sky bet Stockport v Barnet - draw @3.25 5/10, bet365 Crawley v Morecambe - away win @2.70 7/10, paddy power Kidderminster v Grays - away win @2.37 6/10, coral Southport v St Albans - home win @2.10 4/10, betfred Dagenham v Nortwich - home win @1.66 5/10, betfred Exeter v Halifax - home win @1.75 10/10, expekt Gravesend v Cambridge - draw @3.40 6/10, betfred Tamworth v Stafford - home win @2.25 6/10, stan james 22 bets selected :eek :eek :eek this is going out of control I'm afraid :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted October 4, 2006 Author Share Posted October 4, 2006 Re: ValueEstimations/PerformanceRatings (-4.03%) Another strange thing with these selections - there were around 25% home wins, 25 draws and 50% away wins before latest selections. This weekend there are 10 home wins predicted, with 6 draws and 6 away wins - looks more logical :unsure But still only few favorites backed and more than few oposed, Nottm Forest and Oxford as the biggest :$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted October 6, 2006 Author Share Posted October 6, 2006 Re: ValueEstimations/PerformanceRatings (-4.03%) -11.5 for Friday :( only League Two bets came in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted October 7, 2006 Author Share Posted October 7, 2006 Re: ValueEstimations/PerformanceRatings (-4.03%) Bets116Average odds2.81Hit rate0.34Stake766Won705.87Profit-60.13Yield-7.85 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted October 7, 2006 Author Share Posted October 7, 2006 Re: ValueEstimations/PerformanceRatings (-4.03%) Experiment finished at awful -60 units. Approximately, on each 25 bets I was changing ponders in formula for value estimations, increasing original home team's chances by 5%. Obviously results were better in early stages when home teams were awarded only 10% of their original chances, but there were few good results later. Generally, poor record, but I hope I will learn something from this. I will stick with value estimations in future for determining value and stakes, but it seems that in football betting every automatism is impossible. Gut feeling is not that important like stats and trends are, but surely cant be eliminated. Thanks for your interest, see you around in football forums.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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