project_rockshark Posted May 22, 2006 Author Share Posted May 22, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System FRANCE UNDER20 Rating 70% chance Of Win 50% avr Odds 2.604 logical 130.2% 1-0@6wrong [email protected] 2-1@11wrong [email protected] 3-1@22wrong 152 Total Stake 100 staked=1100 return=1746 p/l=646 yield=63% WON=7 LOST=4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 22, 2006 Author Share Posted May 22, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System no bets for tommorrow, a day off! so far so good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
traf Posted May 23, 2006 Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System I did these for the first time today on the 2 Finnish games. You made a 30pt profit on two games: I assume you a betting 20pt level stakes on each scoreline. I decided to "dutch" them so that any winning result produced a set return, I actually lost 15 points my way!:wall However, i now understand the theory: we are simply increasinng the returns on so-called "home bankers" we'd have backed at 1.4 and 1.5 normally. I like it!:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 23, 2006 Author Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System thats part of the theory but odds have to be an average that make up a logic bet of 130%. Also yes it is level bets all @ 20. I use the same selection to find bets at the true price i.e tommorrow even though their are no correct score markets tommorrow worth betting on, my calculations have picked out USA and Germanyu21 wins- however only if the odds are 1.64 and 1.96 respectively. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gone Tips Up Posted May 23, 2006 Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System I like the look of this system Shark! Have you been using it through this season before you posted on here and have you thought about incorporating a 1-1 draw into the system as insurance at the expense of either a 3-1 or 3-0 for low scoring teams? In my experience whenever the clear favourite does have an off day it usually ends up 1-1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 23, 2006 Author Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System hi yes have used it during the season, and I have found 5 picks is the optimum amount any more than that reduce the value and does not make it worth while- you would be better backing any other score as I have found 4-0, 4-1, 4-2 and 5-0 the thorn in my side the most! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gone Tips Up Posted May 23, 2006 Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System The only trouble with that is which one to pick. Another alternative is to bet on the exact number of goals in the match - say 4, leaving the 3-1 result out but still covered. Not sure about the odds on this and the bookies that cover this bet but it might be worth looking into, as well as the Over 3.5 market if there's a high ratio of high scoring games. Betfair cover it and although the odds won't be high enough to make a profit it might act as useful protection. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 24, 2006 Author Share Posted May 24, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System Wednesday 24th May 2006 REP OF IRELAND Rating 75% chance Of Win 56% avr Odds 2.484 logical 139% 1-0@8 [email protected] [email protected] 3-0@18 [email protected] Total Stake 100 ITALYU21 Rating 73% chance Of Win 54% avr Odds 2.852 logical 154% [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] 3-0@23 3-1@20 Total Stake 100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 24, 2006 Author Share Posted May 24, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System Wednesday 24th May 2006 REP OF IRELAND Rating 75% chance Of Win 56% avr Odds 2.484 logical 139% 1-0@8wrong [email protected]wrong [email protected]wrong 3-0@18wrong [email protected]wrong 0 Total Stake 100 ITALYU21 Rating 73% chance Of Win 54% avr Odds 2.852 logical 154% [email protected] [email protected]wrong [email protected]wrong 3-0@23wrong 3-1@20wrong 0 Total Stake 100 staked=1300 return=1746 p/l=446 yield=34% WON=7 LOST=6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System Thursday 25th May 2006 HELSINKI Rating 79% chance Of Win 60% avr Odds 2.408 logical 144% [email protected] 2-0@10 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Total Stake 100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System SWEDEN Rating 85% chance Of Win 66% avr Odds 1.972 logical 130% 1-0@8 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] 3-1@14 Total Stake 100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangkok Posted May 25, 2006 Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System What are we betting on with HELSINKI and SWEDEN as i cannot see any matches listed:unsure Please enlighten a little further unless i am being thick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted May 25, 2006 Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System HJK Helsinki v IFK Marienhamn match started at 12:00 London time Sweden v Finland match started at 14:00 London time Rockshark posts short before kickoff so if you want to follow the selections you can subscribe to the thread, then you get an email when posts are added. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System good job you missed them they both ended 0-0! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System LAHTI Rating 74% chance Of Win 55% avr Odds 2.36 logical 130% [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Total Stake 100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System Thursday 25th May 2006 HELSINKI Rating 79% chance Of Win 60% avr Odds 2.408 logical 144% [email protected] 2-0@10wrong [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] 0 Total Stake 100 staked=1400 return=1746 p/l=346 yield=24.7% WON=7 LOST=7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System SWEDEN Rating 85% chance Of Win 66% avr Odds 1.972 logical 130% 1-0@8wrong [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] 3-1@14wrong 0 Total Stake 100 staked=1500 return=1746 p/l=246 yield=16.4% WON=7 LOST=8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System well a awfull day so far, you might be better off laying my picks, managed to get 53% odds on wrong! come on lahti and a 3-0 win! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangkok Posted May 25, 2006 Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System Glad i was working and missed those. But can you tell me if with the results that have gone against you is there one particular score that stands out. IE both todays were 0-0. Im thinking saver here and having the bigger priced results run in your favour 2-0 and up. :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System no all my past data doesnt really one score which undoes me, a mix bag will keep you posted though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System LAHTI Rating 74% chance Of Win 55% avr Odds 2.36 logical 130% [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] 168 Total Stake 100 staked=1600 return=1914 p/l=314 yield=19.6% WON=8 LOST=8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System PORTYGAL U21 Rating 73% chance Of Win 53% avr Odds 2.45 logical 130% [email protected] 2-0@9 2-1@9 [email protected] [email protected] Total Stake 100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted May 25, 2006 Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System Portugal 1-0 down at HT. Be nice if they can get 3 unanswered goals in the 2nd half for you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 26, 2006 Author Share Posted May 26, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System PORTUGAL U21 Rating 73% chance Of Win 53% avr Odds 2.45 logical 130% [email protected] 2-0@9wrong 2-1@9wrong [email protected]wrong [email protected]wrong 0 Total Stake 100 staked=1700 return=1914 p/l=214 yield=12.5% WON=8 LOST=9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 26, 2006 Author Share Posted May 26, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System TURKEY Rating 70% chance Of Win 50% avr Odds 2.97 logical 148% [email protected] [email protected] 2-1@10 3-0@23 3-1@22 Total Stake 100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 26, 2006 Author Share Posted May 26, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System ITALY U21 Rating 70% chance Of Win 50% avr Odds 2.70 logical 135% [email protected] 2-0@10 [email protected] 3-0@21 3-1@20 Total Stake 100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
traf Posted May 26, 2006 Share Posted May 26, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System Turkey drew 1-1, but Italy U-21's won 1-0. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
callpane Posted May 27, 2006 Share Posted May 27, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System project, when you post the results of your bets, could you also include the final match scores please??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 27, 2006 Author Share Posted May 27, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System TURKEY Rating 70% chance Of Win 50% avr Odds 2.97 logical 148% [email protected] [email protected]wrong 2-1@10wrong 3-0@23wrong 3-1@22wrong 0 Total Stake 100 staked=1800 return=1914 p/l=114 yield=6.3% WON=8 LOST=10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
project_rockshark Posted May 27, 2006 Author Share Posted May 27, 2006 Re: The Big 5 System ITALY U21 Rating 70% chance Of Win 50% avr Odds 2.70 logical 135% [email protected] 2-0@10wrong [email protected] 3-0@21wrong 3-1@20wrong 156 Total Stake 100 staked=1900 return=2070 p/l=170 yield=8.94% WON=9 LOST=10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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