Tuesdays Festival Bets

[Aykay1]

There's 3 that interest me tomorrow 2.35 Racing Demon - 5/1 He has looked top drawer to me on available evidence and I feel he can win this and go onto greater things. He ran a good race at the Festival last year in the RSA Novices hurdle over a trip, that in hindsight was probably too far for him. 2 miles tomorrow is sure to suit. His form looks top class. He easily beat Cornish Sett last time out (15 lengths), who has since gone on to frank the form at Newbury. Hoo La Baloo is another of his victims who has franked the form in recent weeks. A concern for many is that he has been wrapped in cotton wool in preparation for this. Henrietta Knight used to give Best Mate similar treatment and it didnt do him too much harm so im happy to ignore that. I think this could be a class horse in the making. 2.35 - Tamarinbleu - 22/1 Pipes record in this race is exceptional. From his last 10 runners he has had 4 winners and 2 runner up's. Whilst Don't be shy is seemingly his first string here, 5 year olds have historically had to be special horses to win this. Well Chief being a good example. Others may disagree but I'm not convinced Dont be shy is in this class and in any case would want soft ground i think. On the contrary, the ground is coming good for Tamarinbleu and on a line through Accorion Etoile, his price is far far too big. On Tam's chasing debut, he ran AE to a short head. Open to further improvement, im struggling to see why he is a 3-4 times bigger price than that rival now? 3.15 - Arcalis 13/2 Won the Supreme Novices hurdle last year on Good Ground which gives us peace of mind that Course and ground will suit him tomorrow. The change in ground conditions today makes him a major player in my eyes and i think he can keep up the 6 year olds impressive record in this race. His last run was a concern but it was run in desperate conditions and i think we can ignore it. I think on a sounder surface he will prove to have more pace than Brave Inca in the final straight and snatch it. On a softer surface i would have to favour the favourite though. I cant have Hardy on his last run, with no real excuse being offered. His age group have a poor record in the race too. Mac's Joy looks held by Brave Inca on recent form and the favourite is proven on the course. Mac's Joy perhaps isnt yet.

[BillyHills]

Re: Tuesdays Festival Bets

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Chelt. 2.35
Selection	Accordion Etoile (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	14/03/2006
Bookmaker/Price	SportingOdds @ 7.50 (Back)
Reasoning	Good value for this horse now the ground has dried up. Sound race in the Champion Hurdle last year to show he can go with any pace and has jumped well in his Chases this term. Up against it last time against Central House, this will be more to his liking.