Racing Chat Saturday - 22nd February

[Pendulum]

Not really my sort of cards as better grade racing on the aw you don't have a great deal to go on as they only run on it once or twice and Southwells riding really slow,did ok today but still guessing which horses will go on it when it's so slow..One thing i would avoid is betting horses that have been winning on poly and now switching to this surface tomorrow,you really are guessing doing that even if they may appear standputs or even if they win,it's speculation..Monday is usially my best day all deoending which cards are on..the only good thing about Saturday aw racing you get alot of mug money betting anything so can be some massive value on the exchanges with some drifters..Small interests fir me 

First 4 races ew multiples

PLACEPOTS

1,4,11                               1,4 ,11                           1,4

3,4,5,6                              3,4,5,6                     3,5

2,3,6,8,9                           2                              2

1,2,4,7,8,9,11                   1,2,4,7,8,9,11       1,2,4,7,8,9,8,11

2,6,7,8,9,11                     2,6,7,8,9,11            2,6,7,8,9,11 

1,2,4,7                             2,7                            2,7    And a favs line.

 

 

 

 

Southwell

2.40

Dilligent Harry 4/1 6s bf  Valiant Force 6/1  4 places placed 6/1 but Dilligent Harry just ran like last time out won this race last year beat todays winner Clarendon House by over 3ls,outpaced and just stated on,either they haven't got it right or as a 6yr old has regressed..

 

Dilligent Harry i thought ran poorly last time out,TV pundits said it was a decen ru against an impruved sprinter,wasn't backed up by the time so hope that was just a blow out and Dilligent Harry hasn't regressed as looked one to follow on the Lingfield win last season in a very fast time..

3.15

Millitary Academy  11/4  placed

 Some very strange stats on sire Fastnet Rock which are outstanding on the aw,but when running over this 1m3fs only had 1/36 winners that's why i'm hesitant with these bets,if you go up a furlong its 18% if you go down a furlong its 40%,tomorriw will be interesting if it runs poorly then the stats will backj it up..

Chelmsford

5.45

Empassant 10/3  placed 4/1 1.92 3 places on bf looked decent place bet bug druft,1.49 4 places

5.30

Alrazeen 5/2  Marble Sands 7/1 Circuit Breaker 16/1 4 places  placed 7/1 and 16/1 been some decent picks today,with the extra places it makes them worth doing lands a few ew multiples but again Dilligent Harry makes a huge difference.Roughly worked the out for £1 ew stakes wins over £200 didn't think they would get near that,settle fir that if Dilligent Harry had git up wouldv'e been some nice place bets landed..I took away the Dream Harder race and replaced it with this race,wosh i'd done some bigger multiples now with that extra 12/1 place..

 

 

 

 

3.50

Dream Harder 12/1 4 places  placed 12/1 Glenbuck wins..

Glenbuck more than likely the winner

 

4.25

Judgement Call 22/1 4 places unplaced

5.0

Where's Freddy 6/1  So Quiet 13/2  Abduction 28/1  Lessay 16/1 20s bf  4 places  Three placed 6/1,13/2 and 28/1 and the other 5th touched off in a phto fir first,nice result but i knew it was going to be difficult today..`````

 

6.30

Kingdom Of Time 15/2 4 places Another lovely place 15/2 

7.0`

Mr ```Mistofflees 13/2  Master Of Combat 12/1 Starliner 40/1 46s bf 4 places Some lovey places again 13/2 and 40/1,couldn't believe the pryces of Starliner was unlucky not to be 3rd didn't make any difference,today has been unreal the amount of places and place money i shouldv'e done a load more multiples...It's turned into another respectable winning day..wouldv'e been far better doing some ew multiples,if fortunate enough to get them together wouldv'e been worth bombs.

 

Chelmsfird

 

placepots

 

2,4,10,11,12                                 2,4,10,11,12

4,8                                                      4,8

3,4,7,10                                             3,7

1,2,4,5,8,9                                        2,4,5,8

1-5                                                      1-5

1,2,4,6,7                                           1,2,4,6,7   and a favs line

 

6.15

Combustion 4/1  Lilkian 10/1 Outreach 18/1 Edergoles Gift 33/1 4 places 1st 4/1 smashed into evens,tried tio steal some place money on others unplaced.

7.15

Dashing Harry 8/1 13s bf 3 places unplaced

 

7.45

 

Auguste Lumiere 7/1  Filly Fudge 8/1 3 places unplaced disappointing end to the day,looks like the multiples are going to be the winnings for the day..

8.15

Kess`aar 11/1 14s bf Rising Force 3/1  Artificer 9/1 15s bf 4 places`  1st 12/1 got 15s on exchanges,some crazy pruces today,i did say some of the bugger ones would drift because of mug money and to use exchanges exactly what happend it's actually returned 15.5 bfsp..,a perfect end to the day with Kessaar placed as well 11/1..also did 3&4 places fir these pair with there big drufts  4.0&3.5 and 4 places 2.7 and 2.48...You can't lose on my picks long term,it's impossible..

Todays picks winners 4/1 and 12/1 15.5 bfsp and places 6/1,11/4,4/1,7/1,16/1,12/1,6/1,13/2,28/1,15/2,13/2,40/1,11/1 plu the multiples were winning bets,the placepots were losers they are just turnover bets fir me i don't expect anyone to do them..

 

 

 

 

Edited February 22 by Pendulum

[richard-westwood]

  On 2/18/2025 at 4:36 PM, richard-westwood said:

Just looking towards the weekend racing .....always risky at this stage especially with the amount of horses that drop out nowadays but the ratings for the Ladbroke trophy have highlited two bets 

Charlie uberalles.  20/1 4 places 

Deeper blue.  33/1 

Most companies are going 12/1 14/1 on Charlie but betvic are offering 20/1 both these horses have similar ratings to the front two in the betting but they have top weights and this race favours the lighter weights which these two are 

Deeper blue is a far riskier option .....has been off course for almost a year but it's unusual that he's been entered for this race by d pipe if he runs and computer is saying he's very very well handicapped for this race if he's anywhere near ready to do himself justice ...both look very overpriced 

5pt Ew both 

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From earlier in week