Rating

[richard-westwood]

A lot of people are interested in rating but find the whole thing bewildering and don't know where to start ......we've discussed a few methods in the past ...some pretty advanced but I have a book I keep .....and over the years I jot down ideas or if I get sudden moments of inspiration I'll jot it down ......lots of snipits in there .....including my attempt at robbing the casino lol .......

The law of averages applies to everything including horse racing ....so one time me and my friends came up with a little system where you watch the 2/1 fields ( 3 of them) on the roulette board over say minimum 60 rolls ...preferably 90 .....overall by the law of average you'd expect a fairly even spread between the three fields so over 90 rolls you might get 33 27 30 as an example ........but like tossing a coin occasionally one field will get a massive bias so you might end up .....38 24 28 .....

Now ....nature hates misbalance..... So now you start betting the lower 2 sections 2/1 bet over the next 60 90 bets whichever you choose and 9/10 the bias will shift back to one of those two sections making you a profit .....it could be 4 PTS or 20 PTS ....usuAlly I'd cash out at 8 PTS ....so if I was betting tenner on each section I'd cash out once I got to 80 quid profit .....that could be as soon as 15 to 20 bets if the bias changed quickly .....

Only thing that put us off was we tried it on the online casinos and first time we were up 256 quid but then either someone steps in or the software picks up your doing something and suddenly you'll get freak results that really shouldn't happen ....so at first we thought it was bad luck but under a new account same thing happened ....big win then suddenly freak results .....

After a few more tests we realised the results in online casinos can and are manipulated which is very concerning because that means if you put 1000 on black the result can be manipulated to come up red so we gave up on that one but I still stand by it's merit 

Racing wise though ....I jotted down this following rating formula ....I haven't tested it so I don't know how good it is....it could be the best thing ever so could be a good thing for someone 

Take postmark and topspeed today and combine 

+

(16- price today) So if horse was 2/1 you'd enter 14 .....if horse was 16/1 you'd enter 0 .....any horse over 16/1 you enter 0 

- minus 

Form figure lto ....win is 1  enter 7 for 7th or worse 

Press =

Multiply by number of places in recent form line ....so if 6 races in form line and placed twice you X2 

Press =

X by 100 

Then divide by number of digits in form line 

Press = 

Then square root this number to get the final rating 

Happy hunting 😁 😁 

Looks complex but fairly straight forward and looks easily transferable to a spreadsheet in short time I'd imagine .....I'd be fascinated to see if anyone has any success with it ??

Premise behind it seems sound .....base rating could be anything ....time form ......a speed rating ....anything 

Most winners come from first five betting so it accounts for that ..

Takes in account recent form 

And if the horse say hasn't even placed recently it would get a crap rating so as a basis for a horse rating it seems perfectly sound 

Edited September 30 by richard-westwood