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** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **

Betvictor Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase - Trends -13:55 Newbury Saturday 2 March 2024


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Age – 8 of the last 10 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 3 of the last 10 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 5/10 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 1 of the last 10 winners won on their last run before the Greatwood Gold Cup , 8/10 winners ran within the last 42 days
Previous Course Form – 7/10 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 2/10 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 10/10 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/10 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 8/10 winners had at least 8 previous chase runs, 10/10 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 8/10 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 8/10 winners were rated 135 or higher
Graded Wins – 2/10 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/10 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 5/10 winners had at least 1 win that season

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Again to be run on heavy ....all the top races in past 4or 5 weeks have been run on bottomless ground ....I think all the firmlines going into Cheltenham are very suspect if the ground comes up good sft at chelt as none of the prep runs have been on any sort of ground ..  that's why results have been a bit meh and why there have been so many none runners of late ...

Saturdays race rating 

Grandeur dame. 9.0 4/1

Bill Baxter. 8.7 10/1

These two are clear of rest ....

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Not many runners in this and no extra places so I will stick to trying to find the winner

Horses that failed to complete last time have a record of 0 from 11. This removes 4 horses.

Horses that came 1st last time have 1 win from 21 with a loss of 12 points. This removes 1 more.

The remainder have a record of 7 from 52 with 16 points.

No horse has won after a lay off of more than 70 days ago or less than 8 days ago. This removes 2 more.

Claiming jockeys have a record of 0 from 9.

This finally leaves BILL BAXTER, available at 13/2 with WH.

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