harry_rag Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Major outright markets for this year's Six Nations (starts 2nd Feb). Not had a look yet but usually like some sort of antepost interest even if it's in one of the specials/totals markets. Any thoughts as yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Rugby Vision are bullish about Ireland to an extent that would make them a value bet in all 3 markets (they're pretty much 7/4 best outright, 7/2 the slam and 7/5 the TC). Whilst I'm suspicious about their estimates being entirely accurate I think the general argument that Ireland may offer a bit of value seems reasonable, That said, much comes down to the very first game when Ireland go to France. It may prove to be the title decider though the other teams would still have something to say at that point. It will certainly give us a clear outright favourite assuming it doesn't end in a draw! My ratings (for whatever they may be worth) make that game a coin toss but the general consensus would have France as narrow favourites. After that encounter both teams should have no difficulties with their home games against Italy. Their toughest ties would be France away to Scotland and Ireland away to England. I'd say France have the slightly tougher task but the markets will probably say they're about the same. Ireland host Wales while France go to them so that's in Ireland's favour. That leaves the final games where Ireland entertain Scotland and France welcome England, both games the favourites will be expected to win. I think that any value lies with Ireland but that depends on how confident you feel about them winning that tricky opening fixture. If you're as gung-ho as Rugby Vision then pile on, it's a no-brainer. Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 1 Author Share Posted February 1 I’ve taken 12/1 about France to win the 6 Nations, Ireland to win the Triple Crown and Italy to finish bottom with Hills. Same thing is 9/1 elsewhere and sub 6/1 if you multiply out the best odds for each component. I can’t see any related contingency aspect here that would justify getting pretty much double the multiplied best odds so it feels like a decent enough punt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tschurchy Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 14 hours ago, harry_rag said: I’ve taken 12/1 about France to win the 6 Nations, Ireland to win the Triple Crown and Italy to finish bottom with Hills. Same thing is 9/1 elsewhere and sub 6/1 if you multiply out the best odds for each component. I can’t see any related contingency aspect here that would justify getting pretty much double the multiplied best odds so it feels like a decent enough punt. Yeah I'll take that action too! France's toughest tests (i.e. Ireland and England) are both played at the Stade De France, while Ireland play Wales and Scotland at home. The only tricky one will be England at Twickenham, but it's worth a punt for sure. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tschurchy Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 @harry_rag Am I being stupid here? 😅 Hills is saying that I can put them together in one selection. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 @tschurchy you want to go the outright markets and it’s under the #yourodds selections that they’ve priced up. tschurchy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 I'm on 4+ red cards in the tournament at 7/4 with Sky Bet. Not necessarily a glaring rick (SX go 2.7-3 for total red cards) but someone's got it wrong as the unders line is as big as 8/11 or 8/13 elsewhere. My gut feel is that 7/4 is slightly generous for this line though I could be right and 8/11 could still be a decent bet for the unders. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tschurchy Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 @harry_rag could be over already 😅 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 12 hours ago, tschurchy said: @harry_rag could be over already 😅 Yeah, close to impossible now but Ireland winning that one was always going to make it difficult for France to win outright (out to 21 on the exchange now). Shame the game wasn’t last rather than first then we might have got a bit more of a run for our money at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tschurchy Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Yeah England vs Ireland will be the decider I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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