Racing Chat-Friday 31st March.

[kensland]

Lucky 15.

4.50. South. Jubilee Girl      7/2         unpl

2.25. Ling. My Boy Jack       7/2        unpl

3.55. Weth. Lounge Lizard      9/4          nr

3.00. Ling. Sceptic               9/4             1st 

stk 7.50       rtn 272.69.

Good luck all. 

Edited March 31, 2023 by kensland

[Darran]

Beneficio is back in action this morning in R7 at Cranbourne which is due off at 11.15 so a nice sensible hour of the day for a change. Here are my thoughts on the 0-64 contest.

Clap - Got a very good 1st up record having won 2 and finished 3rd once in 4 attempts. Won at this level 1st up last prep at Sale over this trip as well. Followed that up with a good 2nd at Sandown on is next start. Had two good jump outs leading into this, but did bleed on his last start when last at Sale in September.

Our John Boy - Good running on 2nd in a BM64 at Moe 1st up last month, but last on his last start at Ballarat when the jockey felt the horse was uncomfortable in its action, but there was nothing wrong. Looks a solid enough horse and can go well.

Abaddon - Went down to BM58 grade at Mornington last time and ran OK in 3rd after being a little unlucky in not finishing 2nd. First try at the trip so that looks a positive although this is now a better race.

Big Watch - Good win in maiden company at Kilmore 3 weeks ago on his 4th start. 2nd has won since so form has a solid look to it and will be interesting to see how he gets on in a handicap for the first time.

Breaking Ground - Impressed over 1200m when winning on 2nd start at Mornington, but not been so good in 2 runs since although did have a heart issue after only beating 1 home over 1400m here in October. Also respect a horse from the Waller yard, but want to see how he goes 1st up here before backing him to win.

Chaseton - Won on debut on a Heavy 10 at Geelong in June and was OK in a open 2yo race at Flemington on his next start. Got very tired 1st up 3 weeks ago though at Echuca and got questions to answer on the back of that as he should have gone better.

Beneficio - She continues to be in really good form at home and is running really consistency without winning. She seems to have lost a bit of speed from the gate and the step up to 1200m and being held-up worked in a way that wouldn't have seemed possible a few starts back as she finished off her race really well at Yarra Valley 2 weeks ago. The draw isn't ideal, but now we know she doesn't have to lead them hopefully she can get a good position and finish off her race as well as she did the last time.

Pretty Tavi - Won on debut at Mornington over 1200m and then 9th in a Listed Race at Moonee Valley. Returned with a very good 2nd at the same track last month, but was only 4th of 6 again at The Valley nearly a month ago. She was pressured on the lead that day though which wouldn't have helped her and she certainly looks to have the most potential of these if able to take advantage of the inside draw.

Liberty Fire - Not been great in both starts this prep and likely to struggle here.

Startide - Finished lame last time which was her first run since November. Only a maiden winner and doesn't look quite as good as some of these.

Verdict - A competitive little race and I do hope Beneficio can get another win on the board given how well she has been running in defeat. She has as good a chance as anything here and is worth an e/w bet. I do think Pretty Tavi is the most likely winner though as the form of her 2nd 1st up is strong and she is the one who has the potential to be better than this grade.

Pretty Tavi to win

Beneficio e/w