Eredivisie Predictions > Feb 1st - 5th

[StevieDay1983]

Check out the odds for this week's upcoming Dutch Eredivisie matches. There's a big game between Feyenoord and PSV this weekend but other than that it'll all up for grabs. Ajax enter a new phase of life under a new head coach. John Heitgina is the interim gaffer after the departure of Alfred Schreuder so how will they react to that change? Fortuna Sittard are also the only team to have won more than one game in a row so consistency is absent across the league! Hit us with your predictions below! 

[Mrsha]

Vitesse dnb @1.95
Min price to bet: dnb @1.88 or -1/4 @2.28
Model +value: yes
Significant team news: Emmen without quite a few players, including rw Mendes (their assists leader), winter arrival fwd Darfalou (brought in to help their struggling attack, came of the bench in last week's game at Walwijk), while fwd Zivkovic (team's 2nd scorer with 3 gls) is doubtful; Vitesse without important cm Tronstad
Note: Vitesse have clearly improved after the winter break, and while 3-1 win at Heerenveen in last round was their first win in 8 games, their schedule hasn't been easy recently, and the fact that in January they held AZ (1-1) and Twente (2-2) to draws, and just narrowly lost to PSV (1-0), surely can be applauded, as those 3 are in top 5 Eredivisie teams. Win at Heerenveen was fully deserved, in a very good and confident performance, and we expect them to take the initiative here, and be more keen to take risks to get 3 pts than their hosts Emmen, who have lost just 1 of their 9 home games this season (2-6-1), but rely heavily on organized defence and risk-less play, as they have clear issues with scoring goals. Aw est 40-40.5%

Utrecht -3/4 @2.12 & o2.5 @1.98
Min price to bet: -3/4 @2.02 or -1/2 @1.80; o2.5 @1.91 or o2.75 @2.15
Model +value: yes
Significant team news: first choice cf Dost doubtful/out for Utrecht; Heerenveen's key gk Noppert out injured, key cb van Beek out for season (inj early Jan)
Note: Utrech't giant cf Dost is doubtful (latest reports suggests he is out), but he has missed their last 2 games, 1-0 win v Excelsior and a wild 5-5 draw at title hopefuls AZ, in a game in which Utrecht were probably the better side. Heerenveen are still without their goalie Noppert - he is their key player, Netherlands' no1 gk as well; and they lost 2 in a row since he got injured, conceding 5 goals in total (2-0 defeat in Sittard, 1-3 home loss to Vitesse). In first 17 rounds, with Noppert in goal, Heerenveen have conceded more than 1 goal only on two occasions: 5-0 defeat in Amsterdam and 1-2 at home v Utrecht. WHat makes things even worse, is that it's not only Noppert's absence that is a problem, but their general play was v poor in these last 2 defeats, despite the fact they played teams from Eredivisie's bottom 10, both games were deservedly lost, and especially against Vitesse last week they were truly awful (shots 10-22, on tgt 3-12, inside box 7-15, big chances 0-6, xG 0.7-2.9). We like both hcap and TG+ in this one, and will publish both picks, though with a note that if we had to choose just one, it would be hcap option.

Edited February 4, 2023 by Mrsha