NFL - Playoffs Championship Round

[MinellaWorksop]

A place for bets, thoughts and feelings on the next round of Playoff games, the Championship finals.

Games are as follows and times are UK start times.

NFC Final:

Sunday 29th January 8:00pm

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 

AFC Final:

Sunday 29th January 11:30pm

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

[harry_rag]

Will do some proper analysis at season end (especially to compare this season's data to last season to see if there are consistent patterns) but I've just looked at a couple of things having brought my spreadsheet up to date.

I've got 213 players in my data sample now (those with a sell price of 21+; not all of them as I missed a few weeks).

Anyone who had a tenner on all of them at best bookies price would've lost £32.55 with an ROI of -1.53%. Not a huge loss for an interest in most games and probably a profit if you'd tried to get a bit more on the exchanges.

Anyone who bought every player's TD minutes for £1 per point on the spreads would've lost £751. A slightly more expensive way to have cheered on the same players to score! That's despite 3 "ton-up" wins that returned a profit of £490 (including £255 when Ekeler scored a hat trick back in October).

Anyone who sold every player at £1 per point (and watched from behind the sofa hoping they didn't score, especially late on in a game) would've won £282.50 despite losing £499 on those aforementioned 3 players. Sellers were already well over £600 up before Ekeler did his best to wreck their bottom line.

Makes you wonder why we all mess about trying to eke out a modest profit from our fixed odds bets perhaps?