Racing chat -tuesday 24th Jan

[richard-westwood]

7.00 South

Vespasian  7.8  4.4 

Strong Johnson  7.6 7.2 

Tricky race as some horses are unproven and others not that well treated but proven on surface ....Vespasian has been running well so shoukd give a give account ....strong Johnson has poor form figures but looks well treated now and has good sprint form in Ireland....betfair are offering 7.2 ( 7/2 or less with bookies !)...so that's a value bet ....5pt wins both 

 

[Sporting Sam]

Bingo Bronson

Win at leopardstown in August for Ger Lyons over 1 mile 1 furlong in a maiden by 4 lengths.

He was sold straight away to Hong Kong and has resurfaced as .

QUANTUM PATCH 

and debuts in a handicap this morning at Sha Tin.

He drops back to a mile in a field full of recent winners. Because of the need to aclimatise and find the right racing weight fitness and class level, they don't normally win first time out.

His barrier trial over 1000 metres was average at best.

There is very little justification in backing him for the reasons given above, but a four length maiden debut winner is just that and this drop back in trip is interesting to me and against better judgement an each way is my play.

To help , he has a low weight and a two pound claimer on board.

QUANTUM PATCH  Sha tin 9.50

Each way