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Premier League Predictions > Oct 29th & 30th


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Leicester vs Manchester City

The Premier League is winding down heading into the break for the 2022 World Cup but that doesn't mean the intensity is dropping. A struggling Leicester face a massive challenge as they entertain reigning champions and title contenders Manchester City in a 12:30pm BST kick-off on Saturday lunch-time at the King Power Stadium. This is a done and dusted away win right? Or is that not quite true?

Leicester appeared to really be having a tough time getting away from the relegation zone this season. Brendan Rodgers had seen his team fail to win any of their opening 7 league games of the season but the Foxes have slowly started to find their feet now. It's now three league games unbeaten for Leicester including back-to-back victories with clean sheets kept in all of those matches. Rodgers will be delighted with that defensive stat given his team had conceded 24 goals in the 9 league games prior to that stint. The team have also scored 6 goals in the league without reply. James Maddison has been a key player for Leicester this campaign with 10 goals in his last 14 appearances for the club but he's only bagged 1 of those last 6 league goals. This shows other players are now starting to step up on that front. The club are now up to 17th place in the table and 2 points clear of the drop zone. It's been 3 home league games without a loss and three home clean sheets in a row. Leicester are looking like the team they used to be once more.

Manchester City were looking like a team that could dominate on all fronts. Pep Guardiola's men were flying in the league and had put themselves on the brink of reaching the last 16 in the Champions League as group winners. However, just 1 win from their last 4 matches in all competitions has left the Citizens still in 2nd place in the Premier League, despite Arsenal slipping up, and limping through to the next round in the Champions League after two goalless draws. Throw into that the fact that Erling Haaland appears to be struggling with injury issues recently showing just how short on depth City are in the striker department. The Norwegian striker may have bagged a brace in their last league game in a 3-1 win at home to Brighton but if he's crocked then there's nobody else that immediately springs to mind that can fill the gap. It doesn't help that City have also only won 3 of their 8 away matches played in all competitions this season. There's is a risk here that they could equal their longest run of away games without a win under Guardiola of 4 which was set back in 2016. The team could also go four away games without scoring a single goal. 

OK, so the first statistic that leaps off the page is that Manchester City lead the way in the Premier League for most number of goals scored in their league games this season with 47 goals. Who is in 2nd place? Yes, that's right, it's Leicester with 45 goals. City have won 9 of the previous 11 league meetings between these two clubs and they have won the last 3 league encounters. The Manchester club have also won on their last three visits to Leicester in the league keeping a clean sheet on each occasion. I think despite Leicester's improved form, they still have problems competing with City. I was tempted to back a Leicester double chance but I think I'll back a City victory with a clean sheet.

Manchester City to Win to Nil @ 2.40 with Betfair

Manchester City -1 @ 1.80 with Betfred

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Crystal Palace vs Southampton

2022-10-29T16:00+02:00

 

Crystal Palace

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Nathan Ferguson (0/0 d), Nathaniel Clyne (6/0 d), Christopher Richards (3/0 d), Jack Butland (0/0 g), James McArthur (0/0 m)

Suspended: -

 

Southampton

Doubtful: Romeo Lavia (5/1 m)

Out (injuries/other): Kyle Walker-Peters (10/1 d), Armel Bella-Kotchap (9/0 d), Tino Livramento (0/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Over/Under Goals
Crystal Palace
6 home games
Southampton
6 away games
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Under 1.5 goals 50%
33% Under 2.5 goals 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals at half-time 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals at half-time 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals at half-time 17%

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

2022-10-29T16:00+02:00

 

Newcastle United

Doubtful: Allan Saint-Maximin (5/1 f)

Out (injuries/other): Matt Ritchie (1/0 m), Alexander Isak (3/2 f), Karl Darlow (0/0 g), Emil Krafth (1/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Aston Villa

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Ludwig Augustinsson (1/0 d), Boubacar Kamara (7/0 m), Diego Carlos (2/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Over/Under Goals
Newcastle United
6 home games
Aston Villa
6 away games
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Under 1.5 goals 17%
67% Under 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals at half-time 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals at half-time 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals at half-time 0%
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Here are some of my picks for the upcoming Premier League matches on Saturday...

Bournemouth vs Tottenham (3pm BST)

Tottenham to Win @ 1.75 with SpreadEx

Anytime Scorer: Harry Kane @ 2.20 with Bet365

Brentford vs Wolves (3pm BST)

Brentford to Win @ 2.25 with SpreadEx

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.83 with Boylesports

Brighton vs Chelsea (3pm BST)

Chelsea to Win @ 2.38 with Unibet

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.87 with VBet

Crystal Palace vs Southampton (3pm BST)

Crystal Palace to Win @ 2.00 with SpreadEx

BTTS @ 1.90 with Bet365

Newcastle vs Aston Villa (3pm BST)

Newcastle to Win @ 1.86 with SportNation

BTTS @ 1.83 with Betfair

Fulham vs Everton (5:30pm BST)

Draw @ 3.50 with SpreadEx

Anytime Scorer: Aleksandar Mitrovic & Dominic Calvert Lewin @ 6.75 with Bet365

Liverpool vs Leeds (7:45pm BST)

Liverpool -1 @ 1.80 with Paddy Power

Liverpool to Win & BTTS @ 2.45 with SportNation

 

Out of all those picks, I feel like the best value is in the Brighton versus Chelsea game. I am really concerned for the Seagulls under Roberto De Zerbi and the Blues are looking decent under Graham Potter. I am also interested to see if Mitrovic and Calvert-Lewin both score. The last time I backed two scorers to score in a game it was Mitrovic and Ivan Toney... and they both did! Here's hoping! It's a bit more outlandish than the other bets but that's all part of the fun isn't it!

Any of you guys got any long shot bets on for the weekend games in the Premier League?

 

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Leicester City vs Manchester City

Leicester City, who won their previous game, will hope for a similar result following a 4-0 Premier League success against Wolverhampton Wanderers. It was their second straight victory that moved them away from the relegation zone. Matches involving Leicester City have proved to be lively encounters recently, with plenty of scoring being a common characteristic. Over their past six clashes, the sum of 21 goals has been recorded for both teams combined (at an average of 3.5 goals per game), with 13 of those coming from Leicester City. However, this will be the toughest challenge for the Foxes, but they go into it full of confidence.

In their last game, Manchester City drew 0-0 in the Champions League match with Borussia Dortmund. In the English top flight, the Citizens managed to recover from a narrow 1-0 defeat against Liverpool by beating Brighton 3-1. A series of outstanding showings by the Manchester City defense has resulted in their ‘goals against’ tally amounting to 2 from their last six fixtures overall. Over that same period, the number of goals they scored themselves amounts to 12. Coming into this meeting, Manchester City has not lost to Leicester City when they've played them away from home in the last three matches in the league. They want to continue that streak and keep up the chase for the top spot.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Leicester City has improved its game recently, and it won’t be an easy game for Manchester City. We think the hosts are heavily underestimated here, and although they might lose this match, it won’t be by more than a goal.

Goals Market Prediction

It should be a very entertaining game, and although the Citizens have been disciplined in the back, we don’t believe they will keep the clean sheet. Therefore, we should see goals in both nets in this encounter.

Leicester City AH +1.5 @ 1.90

BTTS Yes @ 1.75

Correct score 1:2 @ 9.00

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Liverpool vs Leeds United

Following on from their previous result, Liverpool will be hoping for more of the same after a 3-0 Champions League victory over Ajax. However, the Reds had a huge setback last weekend, losing to Nottingham Forest 1-0 on the road. That defeat held them from catching up with the top-four zone. Over their last six fixtures, Jürgen Klopp's Liverpool has hit the target a combined total of 14 times, an average number of goals scored per match of 2.33. Nevertheless, Liverpool needs more consistency not to miss the Champions League spot at the end of the campaign. Regarding the selection issues, Naby Keïta (Hamstring Injury), Diogo Jota (Calf Injury), Luis Díaz (Knee Injury), and Arthur Melo (Surgery) will not be taking part for Liverpool manager Jürgen Klopp.

Following on from suffering a loss in their previous game against Fulham in Premier League action, Leeds United and their fans will hope to get a better result this time. After four straight defeats, Leeds slipped down into the relegation zone, being two points behind Leicester City. Looking at their form, Leeds United has been scored against in 5 of their last six matches, letting opponents get 13 goals overall. At the back, Leeds United has clearly had some problems. Leeds United manager Jesse Marsch has not got a full squad to pick from. Stuart Dallas (Femoral Fracture) and Junior Firpo (Knee Injury) will not be playing here.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Liverpool is a firm favorite in this clash, and Jurgen Klopp's side should allow another surprise. The visitors are in poor form, and the Reds should take advantage of that. Therefore, we expect a comfortable Liverpool win at Anfield.

Goals Market Prediction

Their head-to-head clashes have been pretty efficient lately, and three of their previous four encounters went over a 2.5 margin. This one shouldn't be much different, and we expect to see at least four goals in total.

Liverpool AH -1.5 @ 1.75

Over 3.5 FT @ 1.95

Correct score 4:0 @ 15.00

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Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest

Arsenal is preparing for this match following a 1-1 Premier League stalemate against Southampton. During the midweek, the Gunners suffered a 2-0 defeat in Eindhoven in the Europa League. Nevertheless, the hosts have rested many players and go to this game full of confidence. They have managed to rack up ten during that time and have conceded a total of 3. That aside, we'll just have to find out if such a trend will be replicated in this next match or not. Going into this contest, Arsenal is unbeaten in the league by Nottingham Forest in their previous three games. Regarding the selection issues, Mohamed Elneny (Thigh Problems), Oleksandr Zinchenko (Calf Injury), and Emile Smith Rowe (Groin Surgery) won't be available for Arsenal coach Mikel Arteta.

Nottingham Forest will go into the game following a 1-0 Premier League win with the defeat of Liverpool in their previous game. Although the visitors are still in the relegation zone, two points behind Leicester City, that win was a great boost of confidence. It is worth noting that Nottingham Forest has suffered from a lack of goals over their last six clashes, recording a poor return of just 4. In those matches, The Reds have also seen the overall goal tally of opposing teams equal to 9. Going into this encounter, Nottingham Forest had been without an away win for the past three matches in the league. With a completely healthy group available to select from, Nottingham Forest boss Steve Cooper has zero fitness worries whatsoever coming into this game.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Although Nottm Forest managed to beat Liverpool last weekend, we don’t think they are capable of another surprise. Arsenal has been excellent so far in the season, and we believe they will celebrate a comfortable win.

Goals Market Prediction

Although neither team has been involved in high-scoring matches recently, we expect an entertaining game on Sunday afternoon. The crowd should enjoy at least three goals in total. 

Arsenal AH -1.5 @ 1.65

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.50

Correct score 3:1 @ 12.00

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Manchester United vs West Ham

Manchester United enters this fixture following a 1-1 Premier League drawn game vs Chelsea. It was the Red Devils' fourth straight game without losing, which kept them in fifth place. Their latest results highlight the fact that things are going according to plan in the Manchester United backline. Manchester United has given the opposition little, resulting in the number of goals that have gone in at their end over the course of their past six clashes standing at 4. Regarding availability, Raphaël Varane (Leg Injury), Harry Maguire (Hamstring Injury), Aaron Wan-Bissaka (Unknown Injury), and Anthony Martial (Back Injury) are not available for Manchester United boss Erik ten Hag.

West Ham United will go into the match after a 2-0 Premier League win as they beat Bournemouth in their most recent game. They are now 10th on the table but still far from the continental ticket. A run of outstanding showings from the West Ham United defensive players has seen their' goals against' tally amounting to 4 from their last six fixtures combined. In that time, their forwards scored 9. The Hammers need to work on improving their consistency to get closer to the top-seven zone. From a largely healthy group of players, there's only the sole fitness issue for the West Ham United boss David Moyes to contend with. Nayef Aguerd (Ankle Injury) won't be in action.  

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

It is going to be an entertaining clash that can easily go either way. Nevertheless, we think Machester United has been in better form recently, and the hosts should pick up all three points from this encounter.

Goals Market Prediction

Although their recent h2h clashes haven't been very efficient, we think the crowd at Old Trafford will enjoy goals in both nets. Therefore, both teams should be able to score on Sunday evening.

Manchester United to Win @ 1.70

BTTS Yes @ 1.85

Correct score 2:1 @ 9.00

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Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest

The Premier League action is limited on Sunday afternoon but we start by covering the 2pm GMT (that's right, the clocks have gone back in the UK!) kick-off between early season pace setters Arsenal and relegation favourites Nottingham Forest at the Emirates Stadium. The home side have been knocked off the top of the table but can they bounce back to the summit with a victory here?

Arsenal come into a league game not sitting on top of the Premier League table for the first time in a number of weeks. How will that affect Mikel Arteta's side psychologically knowing they are in need of a win to leapfrog Manchester City back into 1st place? The Gunners have lost just 1 of their opening 11 league games of the season but were held to a 1-1 draw away to Southampton in their last league outing and suffered a 2-0 loss away to PSV in the Europa League in midweek. Are the team experiencing their first wobble of the season? Arsenal do maintain a decent record against newly promoted teams having won the last 7 such fixtures played. The team have also won their last 8 league home matches. There is an encouraging omen from the history books. The Londoners have picked up 28 points from their first 11 league games played. Only Newcastle have failed to go on to win the title after such a good start when they had 28 points in 1995/96 and 29 points in 1994/95.

Nottingham Forest will be buzzing after their epic 1-0 win over Liverpool in their last league game but after the Reds lost 2-1 at home to Leeds this weekend it seems that every team is beating Jurgen Klopp's men right now! The Tricky Trees are still bottom of the league table with just 9 points from their 12 league games played so far with the club 3 points off the pace of safety. Steve Cooper's men have yet to pick up a win on the road in the league this season. There is a chance for history to be made here with Forest becoming the first newly promoted club to beat Liverpool and Arsenal back-to-back in the league since Norwich pulled it off back in 1982/83. Only two clubs have claimed a win against Arsenal on their first visits to this venue and they were West Ham in 2007 and Hull in 2008. Still, it is just 1 loss from their last 4 league matches so it appears that Forest are improving and Cooper is making them a tough team to beat.

This will be the first league meeting between these two clubs since 1999 when Arsenal prevailed victorious in a 1-0 win at the City Ground. They have met four times in the cup competitions since then with two wins apiece. It was in fact Nottingham Forest who secured a 1-0 win in their FA Cup 3rd Round tie at home back in January. I'm not sure we'll see that result here but there is a feeling that Forest are improving so they'll be stubborn opposition to break down. Arsenal should get the job done though.

Draw HT/ Arsenal FT @ 4.25 with Sporting Index

Total Goals Scored Under 3.5 @ 1.60 with 888Sport

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Manchester United vs West Ham

The second game taking place on Sunday afternoon in the Premier League is the 4:30pm GMT start between Champions League qualification chasing Manchester United and a resurgent West Ham at Old Trafford. Both teams come into this game in solid form but the bookies are backing a home win. Is that looking like the value bet or should we be considering showing more faith in the away side?

Manchester United will undoubtedly feel a lot better about their campaign so far under Erik ten Hag. The Red Devils sit in 6th position in the Premier League and find themselves just 4 points off the pace of the Champions League qualification spots with games in hand on the teams above them. The club are now unbeaten in their last 7 matches across all competitions and have also confirmed their place in the Europa League knockout phase with a spot in the last 16 still up for grabs in their group stage decider away to Real Sociedad this coming Thursday night. Home form has been key for United in the league with the team losing just 1 of their last 14 home league games. The team have also kept four clean sheets at home in a row including back-to-back clean sheets at home in league action. Marcus Rashford could be a tip for anytime scorer for this game. The English front man scored 5 goals in total last season but has already scored 6 goals this campaign.

West Ham might have had a shocking start to the league season but it's just 1 loss from the last 8 matches across all competitions. David Moyes has led his team up to 13th place in the table and the club have cruised into the last 16 of the Europa Conference League. The Hammers are still having issues with their away form. It's 10 defeats from their last 14 away league games now. The club have also lost 10 league fixtures in this calendar year which is their worst number of top flight league defeats in a single year since 1990 when they lost 12. Only Wolves and Nottingham Forest have scored fewer away goals in the Premier League this season than West Ham which is a massive concern. It's also worrying to see that Moyes himself has never won a league game at Old Trafford as the opposition manager. Cue the jokes about him never winning there as United manager either! The statistics certainly don't look favourably upon the East Enders for this game.

Momentum is certainly with Manchester United in this fixture having won the last four Premier League encounters with West Ham. West Ham are also without a win in their last 14 visits to Old Trafford in the league. Everything is pointing towards a United victory in this one. I'm tempted to back both teams to score because even though West Ham have been lacking on the scoring front away from home they do possess a wealth of attacking talent that is starting to re-discover its best form again now. United can't keep clean sheets forever so is this the game the opposition break the defensive line?

Manchester United to Win @ 1.75 with Sporting Index

Anytime Scorer: Marcus Rashford @ 3.75 with Bet365

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