Racing Chat - Thursday August 18th

[The Brigadier]

The forecast heavy rain failed to materialise on the Knavesmire on Tuesday night with just 3mm (plus 2mm from Monday night) hitting the course so it looks like we're set fair for a good fast ground Ebor meeting.

 

York 1.50

Day two of the Ebor meeting kicks off with a fourteen runner group 2 Lowther Stakes for two year old fillies. Hot favourite is Karl Burke’s Dramatised who’s looked very good when winning at Newmarket and at Royal Ascot in the Queen Mary. She’s not been seen since and the form of that race hasn’t worked out that well with the runner up, third and 6th all beaten since even though the 5th and 7th have won minor contests. She also has to shoulder a 3lb penalty and although she could be the real deal is opposable at the forecast price. Second favourite is the Saeed Bin Suroor trained Mawj who’s group 2 Newmarket win last time has been boosted by the subsequent win of runner up Lezoo. She can run well and hit the frame although like the favourite has to shoulder a 3lb penalty. Alice Haynes took her chestnut filly Lady Hollywood over to Naas for a listed contest in July and beat the well touted Ger Lyons runner Mauiewowie who went on to take a listed contest last weekend at The Curragh. Owned by Amo Racing she’s been supplemented for this race at the cost of 40k and will need to finish in the first two to secure a profit. She looks over priced at around 10/1 and I’ll back her to small stakes each way with bet365 who are offering an extra place.

 

LADY HOLLYWOOD 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 1234

 

York 2.25

A big field of 19 go post for this 6F Goffs UK Harry Beeby Premier Yearling Stakes for two year olds. Richard Hannon has an unenviable record in the race having won it four times out of the last six years and saddles Shouldhavebeenaring who has been absent since winning a Ripon novice stakes 95 days ago. The son of Havana Gold came home 1 3/4L clear that day and the form has worked out well with the 3rd (twice), 6th (twice), 8th (twice) and 10th (twice) all winning since. Ridden by Sean Levey he can enhance Hannon’s excellent record in the race. Andrew Balding won this race last year with Harrow and saddles Matching Sox who started his career only two days ago when winning at Kempton in a six runner novice stakes in a first time hood. He’s an interesting runner who must surely have more improvement to come. Richard Fahey’s Dare To Hope is a speedy sort who has an official mark of 93 and is yet another who could be in the shake up but it’s Shoukdhavebeenaring for me each way with extra places.

SHOULDHAVEBEENARING 2 points each way @ 9/2 Coral 1/5th 12345

 

York 3.00

Next up is the twenty runner Clipper Logistics Heritage Handicap run over just short of a mile. It’s a wide open handicap where chances can be given to many. Last years winner Cruyff Turn is two from two at the track and although he’s 5lb higher than when winning this last year is on my shortlist of two. Trained by local trainer Tim Easterby he wasn’t disgraced last time in the Bunbury Cup on the July course at Newmarket but this is much more his track and should be thereabouts. The other horse I like is Saeed Bin Suroor’s Shining Blue who very much looked a horse to follow when winning his first three starts and was thrown into the deep end last time when drawn in the car park in Goodwood’s Golden Mile where everything that could go wrong did. He pulled hard out wide and was severely hampered a furlong out when although beaten wasn’t that far behind the principals. He races today in a first time hood and has Frankie Dettori booked. David O’Meara’s one two from that race Orbaan and Blue For You re-oppose but they had the run of the race from the low draws and I’m giving Shining Blue a chance to turn the form around.

 

SHINING BLUE 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 123456

CRUYFF TURN 1 point each way @ 12/1 bet365 1/5th 123456

 

York 3.35

A cracking renewal of the Darley Yorkshire Oaks with seven quality fillies lining up here. Sir Mark Prescott’s Alpinista is the highest rated and is chasing her seventh victory on the bounce with the last four coming in group one company in Germany and France. She’s the one they all have to beat although there is plenty of decent opposition against her here. Jessie Harrington’s Irish Oaks winner Magical Lagoon was all out to win that contest from Aidan O’Brien’s Toy (beaten since) and this looks much tougher whilst O’Brien’s representative today is Epsom Oaks winner Tuesday who was supplemented for the Irish Derby when bombing out badly. That may have been one race too many having contested four group ones in the space of 55 days. She’s been given a 54 day break since and should run well. French raider Raclette trained by maestro Andre Fabre has to be respected although her form doesn’t look quite good enough. Paddy Twomey is a trainer in excellent form and his Pretty Polly winner La Petite Coco and ridden by Billy Lee is yet another that has to be respected chasing a five timer. A tough call but I’ll play La Petite Coco each way with Betfred who (like Coral) are offering three places on this seven runner contest.

 

LA PETITE COCO 1 1/2 points each way @ 11/2 Betfred 1/5th 123

 

York 4.10

A dozen fillies and mares assemble for the listed Galtres Stakes run over 12F. William Haggas’s Golden Lyra is a promising three year old who was runner up in listed company on her re-appearance at Newbury prior to landing the odds in comfortable style at Kempton. She’s the highest rated in the field and looks sure to run a big race. Another promising filly is the once raced Juddmonte owned Haskoy who looked good on her debut three weeks ago at Wolverhampton although this is a big step up in class for Ralph Beckett’s Golden Horn filly. There shouldn’t be anything between the Gosden’s Mimikyu and the Charlton’s Time Lock who was a neck down at the line in a soft ground novice stakes race at Haydock in June. On 5lb better terms preference is for Time Lock. An interesting race that may fall to Golden Lyra who could be anything.

 

GOLDEN LYRA 2 points win @ 11/4 bet365

 

[Tedthewolf]

3.00 York  Really tough race  nothing i really fancy strongly nowt really stands out at all for me so  4 small e/w speculative  punts on-

REVICH 20/1  bog 6 places

RHOSCOLYN 25'1 bog 6 places

WHATS THE  STORY 33/1 bog 6 places 

ISLA KAI 25/1 not bog 6 places

Well be interesting to see what Richard's  Ratings throw up.

Edited August 17, 2022 by Tedthewolf