Anytime Goalscorer System

[harry_rag]

Following on from the "...experiment" thread, I'll be giving this a try. Criteria as follows.

• Players whose goal minutes are quoted between 20 and 35 by the spread firms (so fairly likely scorers but not your "super strikers" who will be always long odds on)
• Only back where my target odds are met (my assessment of true odds +10% edge)
• Don't back any selections where the best bookies price is >3.2 (probably filters out less than 10% of the potential selections but improves strike rate and ROI based on sample)
• Most bets will be on BF but there may be examples where the best acceptable price is with a bookie (BF unless stated otherwise)
• Selections will be posted right up to the off to allow maximum time to get matched (the market usually operates in running as well)
• Stake 10 points per bet. No bank as such, will keep P/L and review as I go.

[harry_rag]

Bologna v Roma: 10 points on Arnautovic at 9/4 Hills

As I type I think "breaches the >3.2 rule" but I'm taking it as it's an enhanced odds price rather than the regular OC price. I'm going to base the criteria on what I can see from the odds comparison and if a bookies is doing a special boost it's akin to getting matched higher on BF. (Hills quote just 8/5 on OC.)