Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2021/22

[harry_rag]

Brighton +0 Asian handicap cards v Arsenal, 1pt at 1.8 with 365

[harry_rag]

Brighton got 4 cards to Arsenal's 3 so another winner.

18-9 and 3 pushes for a 7.177 point profit so far with an ROI of +24.33%

[alexcaruso808]

Harry, does Kevin Pullein not have a new bet every week?  I just checked his page on the Racing Post website, and it hasn't been updated.  

[harry_rag]

38 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said:

Harry, does Kevin Pullein not have a new bet every week?  I just checked his page on the Racing Post website, and it hasn't been updated.  

His Friday column is just theoretical (this week how good City and Liverpool are compared to past champions) and his bet is in his Saturday column. Both are available online the night before, usually late afternoon or early evening. So any bet for this week should be up in a few hours.

[alexcaruso808]

2 hours ago, harry_rag said:

His Friday column is just theoretical (this week how good City and Liverpool are compared to past champions) and his bet is in his Saturday column. Both are available online the night before, usually late afternoon or early evening. So any bet for this week should be up in a few hours.

Thanks, Harry.  I see his newest post is now available ?.  

[harry_rag]

Hearts +1 Asian handicap cards v Hibs, 1pt at 1.9 with 365

[harry_rag]

Loser this week, Hearts winning the game but losing the cards match-up.

18-10 and 3 pushes for a 6.177 point profit so far with an ROI of +20.25%

 

[harry_rag]

Saint-Etienne +2 corners v Monaco, 1pt at 4-5 with Hills

[harry_rag]

A winner this week, finished one corner each!

19-10 and 3 pushes for a 6.977 point profit so far with an ROI of +22.15%

[harry_rag]

Motherwell +0 Asian handicap cards v Dundee U, 1pt at 1.875 with 365

[harry_rag]

Level on cards shown so a push this week.

19-10 and 4 pushes for a 6.977 point profit so far with an ROI of +21.47%

[harry_rag]

Hull +2 Asian handicap corners v Forest, 1pt at 1.9 with 365

[alexcaruso808]

20 hours ago, harry_rag said:

Hull +2 Asian handicap corners v Forest, 1pt at 1.9 with 365

That was quite the game!  

[harry_rag]

A winner I see (at second glance). I think I looked at the shots off target stats which were 4-6 rather than 6-4 so thought we just had a push.

20-10 and 4 pushes for a 7.877 point profit so far with an ROI of +23.51%

[harry_rag]

Montpellier +2.5 Asian handicap corners v PSG, 1pt at 1.95 with 365

[harry_rag]

It doesn't usually auger well for a corners bet when your team fails to get any but, with PSG only getting 2, we won with the aid of the handicap.

21-10 and 4 pushes for an 8.827 point profit so far with an ROI of +25.59%

[harry_rag]

No bet for Kev this weekend.

[harry_rag]

On 5/15/2022 at 12:33 PM, harry_rag said:

21-10 and 4 pushes for an 8.827 point profit so far with an ROI of +25.59%

So ends another season. The level stakes return was +8.327 points with an ROI of 23.79% (all the bets were to 1 point bar a single 0.5 point bet back in January). If I can find the spreadsheet with the historical returns in I'll post an update in the week.

My records tell me I've won just over £97 following these selections this season. Would have been more if I wasn't usually limited but still my most profitable category of fixed odds bet for the year to date! 

[harry_rag]

On 6/5/2022 at 12:45 PM, harry_rag said:

If I can find the spreadsheet with the historical returns in I'll post an update in the week.

Better late than never! 9 years' level stakes data and 6 to advised stakes as well.

	Bets	P/L	Yield	Adv Stake	Adv Return	Adv P/L	Adv Yield
2013/14	38	10.27	27.03%
2014/15	34	8.81	25.91%
2015/16	37	4.83	13.04%
2016/17	35	7.64	21.84%	23.50	27.96	4.46	18.96%
2017/18	33	13.55	41.06%	34.50	49.00	14.50	42.03%
2018/19	36	7.11	19.75%	33.00	41.21	8.21	24.88%
2019/20	28	5.61	20.04%	24.00	28.61	4.61	19.21%
2020/21	30	9.05	30.17%	29.50	39.05	9.55	32.37%
2021/22	35	8.33	23.79%	34.50	43.33	8.83	25.59%
Overall	306	75.20	24.57%	179.00	229.15	50.15	28.02%

[thecurlyone1]

27 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Better late than never! 9 years' level stakes data and 6 to advised stakes as well.

	Bets	P/L	Yield	Adv Stake	Adv Return	Adv P/L	Adv Yield
2013/14	38	10.27	27.03%
2014/15	34	8.81	25.91%
2015/16	37	4.83	13.04%
2016/17	35	7.64	21.84%	23.50	27.96	4.46	18.96%
2017/18	33	13.55	41.06%	34.50	49.00	14.50	42.03%
2018/19	36	7.11	19.75%	33.00	41.21	8.21	24.88%
2019/20	28	5.61	20.04%	24.00	28.61	4.61	19.21%
2020/21	30	9.05	30.17%	29.50	39.05	9.55	32.37%
2021/22	35	8.33	23.79%	34.50	43.33	8.83	25.59%
Overall	306	75.20	24.57%	179.00	229.15	50.15	28.02%

Very impressive 

[Torque]

On 6/5/2022 at 12:45 PM, harry_rag said:

So ends another season. The level stakes return was +8.327 points with an ROI of 23.79% (all the bets were to 1 point bar a single 0.5 point bet back in January). If I can find the spreadsheet with the historical returns in I'll post an update in the week.

My records tell me I've won just over £97 following these selections this season. Would have been more if I wasn't usually limited but still my most profitable category of fixed odds bet for the year to date! 

You've done well not to get limited Harry.

[harry_rag]

52 minutes ago, Torque said:

You've done well not to get limited Harry.

Well, most of the bets tend to be AH lines with 365 where I’m allowed to stake enough to win £2.50! I usually take the closest regular handicap line for a bit of a top up but that can be a slightly worse price or terms (e.g. landing on the line is a loser instead of a push). So it’s a case of already being limited but getting the bit on I can to make the whole process worthwhile. I’m secretly hoping Kev retires so I can knock it on the head but I’ll no doubt go again if Kev’s got another season in him.

[Torque]

6 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Well, most of the bets tend to be AH lines with 365 where I’m allowed to stake enough to win £2.50! I usually take the closest regular handicap line for a bit of a top up but that can be a slightly worse price or terms (e.g. landing on the line is a loser instead of a push). So it’s a case of already being limited but getting the bit on I can to make the whole process worthwhile. I’m secretly hoping Kev retires so I can knock it on the head but I’ll no doubt go again if Kev’s got another season in him.

Can't see him retiring anytime soon. Yield is one thing but profit is what counts and with a record like his he'll have been limited to pennies years ago.

[harry_rag]

4 minutes ago, Torque said:

Can't see him retiring anytime soon. Yield is one thing but profit is what counts and with a record like his he'll have been limited to pennies years ago.

I’m not so sure, I tend to think the big name journalist tipsters are reasonably well treated by the firms to avoid potential bad publicity. I recall he did a Q&A via the Racing Post Twitter feed once and I’m sure the subject of staking came up and the gist was he didn’t have any problems getting on. He’s been doing it for years, he was at the Sporting Life when I first became aware of him, I think he moved to the RP when they shut up shop.

[thecurlyone1]

25 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Well, most of the bets tend to be AH lines with 365 where I’m allowed to stake enough to win £2.50! I usually take the closest regular handicap line for a bit of a top up but that can be a slightly worse price or terms (e.g. landing on the line is a loser instead of a push). So it’s a case of already being limited but getting the bit on I can to make the whole process worthwhile. I’m secretly hoping Kev retires so I can knock it on the head but I’ll no doubt go again if Kev’s got another season in him.

I wonder what his personal record is like. TBF his free stuff is sensational 

[harry_rag]

1 hour ago, thecurlyone1 said:

I wonder what his personal record is like. TBF his free stuff is sensational 

I tried searching for that Q&A session but couldn’t find it. My recollection was that he doesn’t have a high volume of bets simply because he thinks that it’s rare for a demonstrably wrong price to be offered.

I did find a tweet summarising his end of year performance that tallied exactly with my numbers above, which may be a first! I think I usually miss at least one selection over the course of a season. It’s his 26th consecutive season showing a profit. The fact that they don’t publish the returns for most of the other tipsters no doubt speaks volumes.