Racing Chat - Wednesday 30th June

[Darran]

The 1.55 at Worcester is a terrible contest and I have to give Royal Chant a decent chance as he makes his handicap debut off a mark of 92. He wouldn't be obviously well handicapped on the basis of his hunter chase form although he did get an RPR of 94 for his Musselburgh 4th and that is probably about right I would say. His last two efforts within a few days of each other at Southwell and Cartmel weren't as good, but his jockey reported that he stopped quickly at Southwell and he looked to do the same on the long run-in at Cartmel behind Dressedforsuccess. He has been given a wind op which you would think is what he needs based on those last two efforts. If it works then he really ought to be hitting the frame at the very least in this awful race which is certainly weaker than any hunter chase he's run in.

 

The only real danger I can see is Regaby who went off favourite last time but fell at the first on his chasing debut. The hurdles run prior to that was decent and he could be on a fair mark. Conceal has had a wind op as well, but he had gone the wrong way over hurdles. If the op works though he could be capable of winning this. I find it hard to make any sort of case for the others though so hopefully the wind op has done the trick because Royal Chant looks over priced at 10-1. The Bowen horse was well backed last night, but he has shown little worthwhile form including when going off favourite last time. Maybe there was an issue that day and the yard are in much better form of course, but he wouldn't be for me.

 

Royal Chant e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365

 

The 3.05 looks like being a fairly strong race for the grade, but I think Master Sunrise is worth a small e/w play again. He ran well enough when 2nd for us last time and the winner did it well. This is probably a stronger heat, but if he runs his race again then he could easily hit the frame and he's always the type of horse worth risking at a double figure price.

 

Master Sunrise e/w @ 10/1 with Bet35 (some bookies are going 4 places)

[black rabbit]

George Bowen  3 55  thirsk   1/2  pt  win  @  14/1  betfair

Kodikova   4 30  thirsk    1/2  pt  win    @ 8/1  betfair 

 

 

P/L   =  +  118  pt