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Racing Chat - 29th October


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Bourdeaux 10.55

 

Cafe Saigon 7/1 ew Bet365

A relatively low grade 6f+ stakes race with the market made by the Godolphin underachiever Stormy Mountain. However with its dam sire being Exceed and Excel, which tend to perform much better on Tapeta or GF turf I'm happy to take it on with regards to the heavy going reported today. 

Likewise the 2Fav Queen Kalhua whose current ability level seems to be on a downward slope since a 4th place to Earthlight in a listed sprint at Deauville in the summer, with its recent run being a disappointing 10/14 place in a relatively weak 13k race. 

 The 3rd fav Ipping I would rate at a similar level to the selection however with the relatively small trainer and owner being in v good relative form, and with undoubted stamina having placed over further and won and placed at solid Handicap level at the distance the bigger priced horse has to be the value. 

The worry would be that with a relatively small field it gets overly tactical like quite a lot of French races turning into a madcap 1F sprint in the finish however the jockey is reasonable for this level so hopefully they will judge the pace correctly and try and make this a proper stamina test. 

 

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