Super Lig 2019/20 - Antepost

[_Ghost_]

Bet365 have gone back up with Istanbul Basaksehir at 12/1 for the outright after the weekends results - this is completely the wrong price. Basaksehir won 1-0 away at league favs Galatasaray on Friday night, Pinnacles closing prices for this match suggest that if the two teams met on a neutral ground that Basaksehir would be favs, implying the market rates them the better team. Galatasaray are as short as 6/4 with 365 despite being rated worse than Basaksehir and having amassed fewer points thus far which makes absolutely no sense. It looks as though they've priced this market on reputation only. Basaksehir have finished 4-2-3-2 in the last 4 seasons so it's not like they're coming from nowhere

[_Ghost_]

[StevieDay1983]

@black_baar and @vratislav are our two Turkish football experts. Interested to hear what their thoughts are on this!

[black_baar]

Yes, reputation is an important factor. But, what you saw in this weekend was a quiet different thing. As far as I can see there are some inside problems within the Galatasaray team, betweeen the coach Fatih Terim and administration. The team is formless for weeks, and adding to these first striker Falcao, second one Andone, goalkeeper Muslera and key defender Luyindama was missing, No surprise, Basaksehir won the game.

Of course, Basaksehir is quite a good team, and they are consistant forcing the title for years as mentioned. However, the main problem of the club is having lack of fans. Very few fans are supporting Basaksehir even in their home stadium. Sivasspor and Alanyaspor are also doing well this season.

Honestly, I dont think any club other than Fenerbahce, Galatasaray, Besiktas and Trabzonspor will win the championship. Fans and media power are factors. If any team others than these 4 will be champions, this would be Basaksehir, not Sivasspor neither Alanyaspor.