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2019 York Ebor Festival Handicaps - Tips & Trends


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Plenty of good handicaps during the week.

Start with the first race on Wednesday

Wednesday 1:55
S
KY BET AND SYMPHONY GROUP HANDICAP (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 5f89y

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2019-08-19 at 14.35.32.png

Trends
10/10 Ran within 30 days
10/10 Ran over 5.5f or higher
10/10 Ran at least 4 times thsi season
8/10 Aged 6 or less
7/10 Drawn 6 or higher
7/10 Won at 6f
7/10 Finished unplaced last time out
6/10 Rated over 97

 

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155 Wed:
10/10 Ran within 30 days
We lose Marnie James, Mythmaker Queen Of Desire, Makanah, Fool For You

10/10 Ran at least 4 times this season
We lose Dakota Gold, Justanotherbottle

8/10 Aged 6 or less
We lose Final Venture, Caspian Prince, Watchable, Foolaad, Duke Of Firenze

7/10 Drawn 6 or higher
We lose Gunmetal, Camacho Chief, Arecibo

7/10 Won at 6f+
We lose A Momentofmadness, Lord Riddiford

7/10 Finished unplaced last time out
We lose Stone Of Destiny, Jabbarockie, Orvar

6/10 Rated over 97

Selections
1pt EW Tarboosh 33/1 Hills
1pt EW Harome 20/1 Hills

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Thursday

3:00 :  CLIPPER LOGISTICS HANDICAP (Class 2) (3yo+) Winner £52,913 20 runners 7f192y

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2019-08-20 at 14.15.48.png

Trends
10/10 Aged 6 or less
9/10 Ran within 30 days
9/10 Carried 9-4 or less
6/10 Drawn 9 or higher 
16/22 unplaced last time out
17/22 Ran at least 3 times this season
15/22 Won at 1m previously

 

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Symphony hcap 

Main bet  MOMENTOFMADNESS 18/1 e/w 6 places. Not been at best this year back on a good mark top jock booked.

My 2 other e/w bets LORD RIDDIFORD 16/1 6places Top apprentice booked whick helps with a 5lb claim should be plenty more to come from this horse & QUEEN OF DESIRE 28/1 6places Looks a threat now back in handicap company and 28 is a very big price imo.

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Thursday 3.00:
Clipper Logistics H'cap

Trends
10/10 Aged 6 or less
We lose So Beloved, Firmament, Club Wexford

9/10 Ran within 30 days
We lose Silver Line, Kynren, Petrus, Thrave, 

9/10 Carried 9-4 or less
We lose Vale Of Kent, Whats The Story, 

6/10 Drawn 9 or higher 
We lose Qaysar, Via Serendipity, Blackheath

16/22 unplaced last time out
We lose Wafy, Seniority
15/22 Won at 1m previously
We lose Arbalet
0/10 Rated less than 96
We Bless Him, Crownthorpe

Cant split 3
1pt  Baltic Baron 9/1 Hills
1pt EW History Writer 25/1 PP
1pt EW Waarif 33/1 Hills

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Friday 

155 1m4f Handicap

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2019-08-21 at 18.44.35.png

Trends:

9/10 Aged below 6
9/10 Ran within 46 days
8/10 Rated 90 or more
7/10 Drawn 8 or higher
13/21 First 4 last time
18/21 Ran at least 3 times this season
12/22 Not won at 1m4f yet
18/22 Had ran over 1m4f previously

 

 

 

 

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1.55 Friday 

9/10 Aged below 6
We lose Hermoso Mundo, Restorer, 
9/10 Ran within 46 days
We lose Gibbs Hill, Epaulemanet, Tamreer
8/10 Rated 90 or more
We lose Speed Company, Western Duke
7/10 Drawn 8 or higher
WE lose Aquarium, Indianapolis, Mandarin, Persian Moon
13/21 First 4 last time
We lose Desert Wind, Anythingtoday, Tamleek
18/21 Ran at least 3 times this season
We lose Eynhallow
12/22 Not won at 1m4f yet
We lose Scarlet Dragon, Corelli, Genetics

Selections
1pt Jazeel 8/1
1pt Caradoc 9/1

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Saturday 

3.40: The Ebor Handicap

Screen Shot 2019-08-22 at 13.56.43.png

Trends
9/10 Aged 6 or below
9/10 Carried 9-4 or less
9/10 Double figure stall
9/10 Ran this season
16/21 First 4 last time
17/21 had 2 runs this season or more
13/21 Not won at the trip previously
18/21 Had ran over 1m6f previously

 

 

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340 Sat : The Ebor Handicap

9/10 Aged 6 or below
We lose Max Dynamite, Barsanti, Red Galileo
9/10 Double figure stall
We lose Withold, Raheen House, Mekong, True Self, Mustajeer, Making Miracles, The Grand Visir, Cleonte
16/21 First 4 last time
We lose Wells Farhh Go, Raymond Tusk, Prince Of Arran, Ben Vrackie, Desert Skyline, Dramatic Queen, both Reserves
13/21 Not won at the trip previously
We lose Kings Advice, Red Verdon, Weekender, 

Selections
1pt EW Baghdad 14/1 bet365
1pt EW Kellys Dino 25/1 Coral

 

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Some more/different trends for the Ebor:

20/20 aged 3-7
20/20 rated 109 max
20/20 drawn in stall 3+
20/20 finished in the top 10 last time out
20/20 had won 6 times max
19/19 had won in a field of 11+

These six trends reduce the field down to four (current best odds in brackets):
BAGHDAD (14/1)
DRAMATIC QUEEN (25/1)
THE GRAND VISIR (25/1)
BARSANTI (25/1)

Note that Sky Bet are going 8 places...

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Ebor 

Ben vrackie 225 +2 

Baghdad 222 +2 

Very difficult race as youd imagine ....baghdad looks fairly treated still so has ew appeal ...ben vrackie has a tendency to blow the start as he did last time but has ability if frankie can get him in s good position early ...interesting race 

Ben vrackie 10pts ew 10/1 bet365

Baghdad 10pts ew 14/1 b365

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EBOR

2 for me e/w  8 places skybet both 25/1 shots 

Desert Skyline & Red Galileo

Of the ones at the head of the market Baghdad generally 9/1 is the one i like but to short now  was 14/1 earlier with skybet  what a cracking e/w that would have been with  them paying first 8 home

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