Which is best ?

[Richard the Courier]

Which is best ,over 1.5 goals or BTTS ?

[Sir Puntalot]

@Richard the Courier While I understand they are similar bets, I think are very different at the same time. BTTS relies on both teams having the ability to put the ball in the back of the net, while Over 1.5 just relies on 1 team.

Let's take an example:

Barnsley v Fulham

Over 1.5 Goals is 2/7 (1.29) 

BTTS is 8/11 (1.72)

You wouldn't expect such a big gap between the 2 markets, but I've found that to be quite common. With most teams preferring to play a more attacking style of football these days, and perhaps even VAR may add to total goals, I think BTTS is by far the better value bet.

VAR is a speculative comment, of course we'd need 2/3 seasons of data to know what effect it has had on total goals.  

 

[Richard the Courier]

Thank you sir puntalot , i have been betting the BTTS on home favs , about 1.5 , and covering the 2-0 and 3-0 scores to give an overall price of about 1.45 to 1.5.

I agree VAR might add to goals but also might cut out diving for pens.