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BillyHills

2019 German Grand Prix

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German GP (2.10 Sunday)

It's Sebastian Vettel's home GP this week and although i'd like to be more confident for him I just cant see his fortunes changing this week. He looks a shadow of his former self and dont forget he crashed here last year when leading on lap 51, just another error under pressure.

Lewis Hamilton got lucky with the Safety Car and came home in front after starting 14th on the grid. That proves you can come from behind here but the stats will tell you that 50% or races here have been won off pole and 26 out of the 36 GP's at Hockenheim from the front row.

The German GP used to be switched between Hockenheim and Nurburgring but has now settled here and Mercedes have dominated recently. Hamilton is 4/6 with Hills and Bottas second favourite at 7/2 with Betfair. There is not much to choose between Vettel. Leclerc and Verstappen for the podium spot.

 

Stats

Screen Shot 2019-07-24 at 09.33.54.png

Hockenheim Grid Stats

Screen Shot 2019-07-24 at 09.33.08.png

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Reliability is pretty good here so expect no more than 3 retirements (unless we have a pile up).
The bookies have got this about right and would take a punt at over 17 at Even money, that looks the value bet.

 

Screen Shot 2019-07-24 at 09.47.21.png

 

Screen Shot 2019-07-24 at 09.47.10.png

 

Screen Shot 2019-07-24 at 09.46.50.png

 

Podium betting is tight for the third spot
Leclerc 8/11
Verstappen 5/6
Vettel 11/10

 

 

 

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German GP

  • Well another pole for Lewis Hamilton and with the disaster Ferrari had it looks plain sailing for Hammy.
  • Lewis is 8/13 with Betfair and that looks decent enough as far as odds on fav's go, Max Verstappen will be popular at 3/1 with bet365.
  • After the front row Bottas is 4/6 to get on the Podium and that looks pretty solid as the only danger is the two out of place Ferrari's.
  • Vettel starts 20th but can reach top 6 on this track, he's 4/6 with Hills.
  • Kevin Magnussen starts 12th and should get into the points without much fuss at 8/13 Betfair
  • Haas double points finish looks value at 5/4 with bet365 (Magnussen/Grosjean)
  • Safety Car - 2/5 -Yes : 9/4 - No
  • Number of Classified Drivers - Over 17.5 at 5/4 Hills

 

 

:ok

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