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2019 Scottish National / Spring Cup - Tips & Trends


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Two big handicaps this weekend, one on the flat and one over jumps.

335 Ayr

4m (3m7f176y) Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (Class 1) (5yo+)

Screen Shot 2019-04-08 at 10.39.58.png

 

Trends:

9/10 Ran within 45 days
9/10 Carried 11st 3 or less
8/10 Aged 8 or more
7/10 rated 145 or less
14/20 Placed last time out
16/22 ran at least 5 times this season
21/21 ran over 3m1f at least 
 

 

 

240 Newbury

1m (Str) Elite Racing Club Supporting Greatwood Spring Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+)

Screen Shot 2019-04-08 at 10.41.46.png

Trends:

8/10 Aged 4 or 5
7/10 Drawn higher than 10
7/10 Had a prep race this year
7/10 carried less than 9st 1lb
6/10 Rated over 86
14/21 finished in first 6 last time

 

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Spring cup 

Ripp orf    190

Beringer  190 

Red starlight   187 

Very interesting race ....these 3 look clear of rest ....hannon red starlight is lightly race and has been running well at listed level non hcap but a mark of 100 is high so I'll scrub ......top 2 are almost matched pound for pound ....weighted to virtually dead heat at 8 and 10 they look very good value bets especially ripp orf who has Ryan Moore in the saddle Saturday ....early prices look very generous 

2x 10pt wins 8 and 10/1  willh  

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