Im Lost

[robstars7]

Iv been betting more strategically on football for around a year now. After several deposits and not much return im feeling lost. Iv tried many different systems and different markets, using money management (usually 2-3% of my bank) but I dont seem to be getting anywhere. Im mainly betting on the o2.5 markets and home team win markets now.

I used soccerstats mainly as the site i study things from and iv got systems for both these markets. 

I feel like im kidding myself lately and I need some advice on what I could do differently to get better results.

I bet mostly in doubles and never go above trebles. 

I will only bet on things usually 2.0 or higher. sometimes I go a bit lower.

Had anyone been in this spot and come through it?! thanks. 

[rodolfotg]

I think every bettor has. I sepent almost 7 years trying to make a PreMatch system, I built databases and used inflection points. I think I was not wrong, but I did not have the results I wanted. I changed my style into trading live, just watching matches.

I have made money, a lot with so little, lost a big chunk and do it again. Been on this cycle and I have discovered there are so many ways to win inplay. I wanted to devise a system for this as well based on my results, I have some tips for you:

- Every round, look into the TOP 30% of the league you will focus. I say 30% because you have 20 teams on one league or 16 on another. Its not an exact science, but you get the idea.

- When they play home and are heavily favored, 1.50 or less, dont bother. Ignore them. When they play away, be ready, you will have more chances to make valuable bets in the second half depending on the situation. If they are drawing or losing, look into the way the have played for the last 10 minutes, you may see the intention to score a goal, a real definitive intention to do this with odds above 2.50, sometimes above 3.50. I would only study them at home when they have odds above 2.30 at Half Time.

- I had entry and exit points, trading on exchanges. I could risk a 10% on a team, sell it on a loss at 30%. Most of the time I wont get a goal against, sometimes I would score and exit, I avergaed a 40% risk on a 100% payout based on my stake. If my strike rate was better than 35%, I made money. You need to understand very well your risk/reward profile and how much you can expect.

- I just gave you an example, my psychology could handle those risks and match profiles, not everyone does. Look for something inplay, using a few stats, that you can bet on without difficulty. You can trade or let your bet ride into full time, just focus on something until you can understand how teams react and play into those stages.

-Do not use dobules, trebles nor any form of accumulator. Keep it simple, low risk high reward singles. Be patient, you need a lot of experience to get profitable with live betting, start working it out. PreMatch I think its a lot more efficient, therefore a lot more difficult to win money at.

Ideas  you can focus on:

Very Late goals, 80min +

Away teams

Last 10 minutes of the first half

Everyone gets lost from time to time. Take a look intro trading books, psychology and basic math. Give yourself time to understand something you like, if you do not like it, do something else.