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Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS


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CAUTION ADVISED!!!
I HAD NUMEROUS SPREADSHEET ISSUES AND ALSO HAD MISINFORMATION ON SPORTINGLIFE FAST RESULTS
ACTUAL RECORD IS ON THE FINAL POST HERE

Sorry everyone :) I had a ton of work on, and did this as fast as I could. Happily, it ended well!!

____

I'm trialling a method that involves watching the books for every race in UK & IRE, and spotting where the steamers are before 10am.

At this time in a morning, everyone is making their book on Betfair, and early money is going on, so I think it's a good time to watch the markets. There's no influence other than what the newspaper tipsters are saying, and what the predicted SP is going to be.

My method (there's no hard & fast rle, and mostly visual cues):-

  • Look at races that have had a market move (steamer) and see what is happening with the top 3 horses in terms of odds. Use AtTheRaces and Oddschecker to identify.
  • A good race would be one where the FAV has had very little movement (2.50 > 3.00 < 2.88 > 3.00 odds for example)
    Also note the movement in odds of the 2nd & 3rd FAVs in these races
  • If the 2nd/3rd FAV has a big price movement (STEAMER) for example: 10.00 < 6.00 then this qualifies.

Here's what I've got for today using this method... (ALL £0.25 E/W BETS)

I've thrown in trebles & doubles for fun. I am keen to see how it actually performs, and I might knock up a spreadsheet to track it. Thought it might be of interest to a few folks :) We'll see...

7th May Bath 15:25 HANDICAP 0m 5f 160y - Each Way
Catheadans Fury 5.50
7th May Bath 17:10 HANDICAP 0m 5f 10y - Each Way
Glamorous Rocket 5.00
7th May Bath 17:45 HANDICAP 0m 5f 10y - Each Way
Impart 7.00
7th May Warwick 15:50 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 0f 0y - Each Way
Captain Jack 7.50
7th May Warwick 16:25 HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 3f 0y - Each Way
Druids Folly 7.50
7th May Windsor 15:45 HANDICAP 1m 2f 0y - Each Way
Roar 5.50
7th May Windsor 16:20 HANDICAP 1m 0f 31y - Each Way
Medburn Dream 4.50
7th May Windsor 18:00 HANDICAP 0m 5f 21y - Each Way
Kodiac Express 6.50
7th May Naas 15:20 5F HCAP 5f - Each Way
Amanaat 5.00
7th May Naas 16:30 7F STAKES 7f - Each Way
Xenobia 4.50

Edited by Redemption_
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