Torque Posted April 24, 2018 Author Share Posted April 24, 2018 Williams is three frames from victory at 7-2 up but I'm not counting my chickens yet. After Ding blew a 5-1 lead in a best of 11 when I was on him a few months ago it's possible that Robertson could come back. That said, with Williams now 50 to 1 on to win he should get the job done, unless his level drops dramatically and Robertson's improves dramatically from what I saw today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 25, 2018 Author Share Posted April 25, 2018 Williams won. Next stake £934.58 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 25, 2018 Author Share Posted April 25, 2018 Bet 26. Nadal to beat Carballes Baena at 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 25, 2018 Author Share Posted April 25, 2018 Nadal won. Next stake £971.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 25, 2018 Author Share Posted April 25, 2018 No football tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 26, 2018 Author Share Posted April 26, 2018 Bet 27. Nadal to beat Garcia-Lopez at 1.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 26, 2018 Author Share Posted April 26, 2018 Nadal won. Next stake £999.78 LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 26, 2018 Author Share Posted April 26, 2018 Tomorrow's shortlist - Fulham v Sunderland (7.45pm) Hoffenheim v Hannover (7.30pm) Goztepe v Kardemir Karabuk (6pm) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 26, 2018 Author Share Posted April 26, 2018 I'm sticking with Nadal for the next bet. Klizan is talented and in form and he might take a set as he has done in previous meetings with Nadal, but I can't see him ending Nadal's winning streak on clay - particularly as this is practically his home tournament and he needs to win the title here for an eleventh time to retain his place at the top of the rankings. Bet 28. Nadal to beat Klizan at 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 27, 2018 Author Share Posted April 27, 2018 Nadal won. Next stake £1039.01 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 27, 2018 Author Share Posted April 27, 2018 Missed the game in Turkey, I'll be looking at the other matches in-play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 27, 2018 Author Share Posted April 27, 2018 Both Hoffenheim and Fulham were winners, but I wasn't mad about either. I've passed on a lot of winners, which is to be expected given that I'm looking to back big favourites either to win or not to lose, but also a few losers too - most recently Man Utd against West Brom and Milan against Benevento. I've tried to only take things that I really like and I've tried to bear in mind that if I don't really like anything the best thing to do is wait for something better that I do like. I'll carry on like this and see how far it takes me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 27, 2018 Author Share Posted April 27, 2018 Tomorrow's (big!)shortlist - Wolves v Sheffield Wednesday (3pm) Liverpool v Stoke (12.30pm) Boreham Wood v Guiseley (12.30pm) Lyon v Nantes (4pm) Monaco v Amiens (7pm) Bayer Leverkusen v Stuttgart (5.30pm) AS Roma v Chievo (5pm) FC Emmen v Jong Utrecht (6.45pm) Benfica v Tondela (6.15pm) Dunfermline v Dumbarton (3pm) Raith v Alloa (3pm) Espanyol v Las Palmas (12pm) Real Madrid v Leganes (5.30pm) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 28, 2018 Author Share Posted April 28, 2018 Let's see about ruling out a few of the above matches so that the list is shorter and more manageable. From the early kick-offs, I'm probably going to leave Liverpool as I expect them to make changes with the second leg of the Champions League tie against Roma in mind. They'll probably still win, but team changes and a possible eye on a future match are usually enough for me to pass and move on to something else - that said, let's see what team gets put out. A lack of information means I'm not touching Boreham Wood - a quick look shows they're not in the best of form anyway. The other early match is Espanyol against Las Palmas, but there's no way I'm siding with a team just above the relegation places even if their opposition have been relegated. As for the 3pm kick-offs, I'm not backing Wolves as with promotion confirmed they don't need to win and could take their foot off the pedal as a result, plus Sheffield Wednesday have had some good results lately. I'm also not backing Raith as I can't see why they're so short and I'm not backing Dunfermline because their opponents have beaten the league leaders away from home already this season and that's put me off. Next up is the late afternoon matches, starting with Lyon against Nantes. This looks like it could be an option, as Lyon score so many compared to Nantes who don't. I'm not sure about Roma and Real Madrid, for the same reason as Liverpool in that they have Europe to think about - I'll wait for the team news in those matches but they could be possibilities. I'll be passing on Leverkusen as they've lost their last two and Stuttgart are in decent form. The evening matches start with Benfica against Tondela, and this is tempting as the home side score plenty and don't let many in and are hosting a side that have trouble hitting the net. I'd still be happier laying rather than backing though, and ahead of the match the price to lay is likely to be prohibitive so I might look at this in-play. I'm putting a line straight through Emmen - their home form is dreadful and I'm always wary of reserve teams in the Dutch second tier. The final match on my shortlist is Monaco and I expect I'll be leaving them alone as their form has dipped recently whilst Amiens seem to be going in the opposite direction. So after all that I'm left with the following matches to look at again - Liverpool v Stoke (12.30pm) Lyon v Nantes (4pm) AS Roma v Chievo (5pm) Real Madrid v Leganes (5.30pm) Benfica v Tondela (6.15pm) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 28, 2018 Author Share Posted April 28, 2018 I'm glad I left the Liverpool match - would have been sweating until the end which is not what I want. Bet 29. Nadal to beat Goffin at 1.08 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 28, 2018 Author Share Posted April 28, 2018 Nadal wins. Next stake £1120.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 28, 2018 Author Share Posted April 28, 2018 I've missed Lyon and they're 1-0 up so probably won't be able to get involved in that one. Roma have just started their match but I've decided to pass on them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 28, 2018 Author Share Posted April 28, 2018 I've just seen the Real team and they've made wholesale changes such that the price on them has drifted markedly. For that reason I won't be backing them which means the only other option today is Benfica unless I take something in-play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 28, 2018 Author Share Posted April 28, 2018 Benfica are missing their top scorer so I'm definitely not going to back them before their match starts. Unless something in-play presents itself, that could be it for today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 28, 2018 Author Share Posted April 28, 2018 So Tondela beat Benfica. On the exchanges they were about 50 for the win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 29, 2018 Author Share Posted April 29, 2018 Today's shortlist - Midtjylland v Aalborg (3pm) Manchester United v Arsenal (4.30pm) PSG v Guingamp (8pm) Atalanta v Genoa (2pm) Feyenoord v Sparta Rotterdam (1.30pm) Norrkoping v Trelleborgs (4.30pm) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 29, 2018 Author Share Posted April 29, 2018 Bet 30. Nadal to beat Tsitsipas at 1.06 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 29, 2018 Author Share Posted April 29, 2018 Nadal won. Next stake £1181.59 LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 29, 2018 Author Share Posted April 29, 2018 Bet 31. PSG to beat Guingamp at 1.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 Unlucky, was hoping for a winner at 2-2 but not to be. Good run but shows how hard this is doesnt it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 29, 2018 Author Share Posted April 29, 2018 Out for 30. That was a strange game. I didn't watch the first half but the stats showed PSG had all the possession but Guingamp were creating all the chances so it was fair enough when they took a half-time lead. I did watch most of the second half and when Guingamp went 2-0 up I thought there was no chance of PSG winning. When they got back to 2-2 maybe they could have got a winner but in reality they'd left themselves with too much to do. I think what this losing bet shows is that trying to do something like this really is a lottery. I backed PSG because even though they had wrapped up the title they still had the league points record to go for and they named a strong side similar to the one that had put seven past Monaco without reply in their last home game. With hindsight because the result didn't matter maybe I should have left well alone, but then over in Germany where Bayern are in the same situation they named at least one reserve team player in their team yesterday amongst a host of other changes and still ran out comfortable winners. Anyway, another attempt bites the dust. Will I be back? Probably Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 19, 2018 Author Share Posted May 19, 2018 Glutton for punishment that I am, back for another try. Bet 1. Juventus to beat Verona at 1.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 19, 2018 Author Share Posted May 19, 2018 Juve win 2-1. Next stake £111.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 19, 2018 Author Share Posted May 19, 2018 Bet 2. Lay Eintracht Frankfurt to beat Bayern Munich at 15. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 19, 2018 Author Share Posted May 19, 2018 So Bayern lose 3-1. Against a team that they hammered with a bunch of reserve players just the other week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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