Jump to content

Racing Chat - Sunday 18th December


chris34

Recommended Posts

1.30 Lingfield

2 of the outsiders in this race interest me at a price. Moon Over Mobay was a good 4th at first try at this trip at Kempton when staying on from an unpromising position on the unfavoured inside. Drops a 1lb for that effort and has cheekpieces on for the first time looks the sort to build on that effort.

The other that could out run his price is Mamoo who tries this trip for the first time having run a promising race over1m4f around here when staying on and looking badly in need of further.

 

1pt win Moon Over Mobay 8/1 bet365

1pt win Mamoo 6/1 bet365

 

2.35 Lingfield

Artful Rogue appears to have found his feet the last twice over this CD backing up his previous promising run. Ran on nicely last time out winning with something to spare a 6lb rise looks very lenient more progression looks likely. Although drawn wide he appeared to appreciate getting a bit of cover to begin with and swinging off the homebend.

 

2pt win Artful Rogue 10/3 coral

 

3.05 Lingfield

Goodbye Inheritence was a good 2nd over 1m2f around here after being off the track for nearly 13months. Steps up in trip which is likely to suit given the way he finished the race. He also raced quite keenly last time out and has been known to front run before, there is no pace angle in this race therefore he could get a soft lead if they decide to take that option and it paid to race prominently here yesterday.

 

2pt win Goodbye Inheritence 7/2 bet365

Link to comment
Share on other sites


1.45 Fakenham (Sun) – The At The Races Handicap Steeple Chase.

Having tipped this horse three weeks ago I am keeping the faith with SHANROE SANTOS on Sunday’s card at Fakenham. Returning from a lengthy absence the seven-year-old shaped with plenty of promise at Doncaster last time out. Understandably fitness told in the end and he weakened to finish fifth of seven, but there was enough from that performance to suggest he retains the ability that earned him a crack at the 2015 Albert Bartlett. At home on decent ground conditions should be ideal providing we don’t have much rain over the weekend. Another reason to be bullish is Lucy Wadham operates at a 40% strike rate with her chasers at the course over the past five years, returning a healthy +16.58 level stakes profit. All in all I think this horse has a bright future over fences and can get his career back on track here.

Drumlee Lad finished ahead of the selection last time out but there are reasons to believe we can reverse the form. Firstly, Drumlee Lad had race fitness on his side, and secondly the selection receives a 7lb pull in the weights now. Drumlee Lad is likely to be shorter in the betting, but for me he will have it all to do to confirm the form over Lucy Wadham’s charge.

Cody Wyoming was an impressive winner at Lingfield last time but finds himself 6lbs higher in the ratings as a result. He has previously found like tough off marks in the mid-120s so it would be a surprise if the ten-year-old could win off this sort of mark now. He also tends to perform better with more cut in the ground so the likely better ground has to be viewed as a negative.

The rest of the field look set for a battle for the places. Templehills and Play The Ace have both been caught out by revised marks having both won three starts ago, and whilst Noble Legend is 8lbs below the mark he won off here in December 2015, his last three runs, one of which came here, are very uninspiring.

Miami Present looks the most solid to run his race. He was beaten by just a length at the track two starts ago off a 3lb lower mark, and despite disappointing at Catterick, a return to this venue could see him bounce back to form (also won a Maiden Hurdle here in October 2015). He certainly shouldn’t be the outsider of the field like one betting forecast predicts.

Advice

SHANROE SANTOS – 1pt win @ SP

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...