PokerWolf1 Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 (edited) I've been thinking about doing a football challenge as I've never done one on here and wanted to get creative. My aim is to win 20 acca's of 4 'outsider' selections... and obviously make a profit! Rules - All selections will be Evens or above. I will start with £200 and bet 1% of roll on each single within the acca, and 2% of the roll on the acca. Example: Wolves Home - 5/4 - £2 Leyton Orient Home - 5/4 - £2 Arsenal Away - Evens - £2 Plymouth Away - 6/4 -£2 Acca - £4 I will be doing this every Saturday and any other day there are masses of matches on (Sunday / Tuesday) I am hoping that the profit from getting a couple singles in will almost cover the loss of an acca losing. I will spend a couple hours before each session weighing it all up and trying to prove I can beat the bookie. Any advice, criticism or feedback is welcome. I am well aware this will probably be a bust and I take no responsibility for anyone following my selections. Thanks for reading. EDIT - The thread title says 100 acca. That's what I want to win... but let's start with 20 first and see how it goes! Edited November 22, 2016 by PokerWolf1 LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 22, 2016 Author Share Posted November 22, 2016 First one will be tonight! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 22, 2016 Author Share Posted November 22, 2016 So here's the first 4. Group A I singled out as what I thought was my most likely chance of a successful 4 fold. There is no thought process behind the other groups, though. I randomly put them together. Hopefully I will win enough back to continue and learn more about what I'm doing - and hopefully come up with some more successful thought processes. There is £2 on all singles and £4 on each acca. Group A Portvale (H Oldham) 8/5 Southend (H Swindon) 1/1 Sheff Utd -1 (H Bury) 10/11 ( Yes broke a rule already. As I was researching this price changed from Evens to 10/11. Bit annoying but took it anyway) Barrow - 1 (H Guiseley) 11/8 Acca - £94.31 return Group B Gillingham (A Oxford) 5/2 Cheltenham (H Colchester) 5/4 CSKA (H Leverkusen) 16/5 Exeter (A Orient) 15/8 Acca - 380.36 return Group C Draw - Copenhagen v Porto 11/5 Bolton - 1 (H Coventry) 2/1 Luton (H Portsmouth) 19/10 Bromley (A Braintree) 21/10 Acca - 345.22 Group D Draw - Sevilla vs Juventus 2/1 Lincoln (A York) 1/1 Draw - Notts County v Cambridge 12/5 Draw - Hartlepool vs Accrington 12/5 Acca - 277.44 return Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 The only rules you are breaking are your own rules so as long as you're ok with it go ahead. A bit adventurous at the prices but one every now and then should at least keep you ticking over. LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 22, 2016 Author Share Posted November 22, 2016 Cheers Skittle. Hoping that's the case and I don't plan to break any more of my own. Just that I did research at 9am and didnt place it til after 12 and lost out on some value. Lesson learnt. Think I duplicated this thread somehow as I posted it. Not sure how to delete it but if you can feel free. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 22, 2016 Author Share Posted November 22, 2016 Bad start. At 80 mins I was looking at a small loss of a couple quid with an acca still possible but then things went terribly! A lot of teams going to be going home disappointed tonight there were some very poor performances out there. So only 4/16 correct..... awful when you think of it that way. Shame I didn't put all 4 in the same group.... Roll down to £172.90 Group A Portvale (H Oldham) 8/5 LAST MIN GOAL! Southend (H Swindon) 1/1 Sheff Utd -1 (H Bury) 10/11 Really? The amount of goals scored recently and yet couldn't score until late at home to a team that was down to 10 and then 9 men??? Barrow - 1 (H Guiseley) 11/8 - £4.75 Acca - £94.31 return Group B Gillingham (A Oxford) 5/2 Cheltenham (H Colchester) 5/4 CSKA (H Leverkusen) 16/5 Exeter (A Orient) 15/8 - £5.75 Acca - 380.36 return Group C Draw - Copenhagen v Porto 11/5 - £6.40 Bolton - 1 (H Coventry) 2/1 Luton (H Portsmouth) 19/10 Bromley (A Braintree) 21/10 Acca - 345.22 Group D Draw - Sevilla vs Juventus 2/1 Lincoln (A York) 1/1 - £4 Draw - Notts County v Cambridge 12/5 Draw - Hartlepool vs Accrington 12/5 Acca - 277.44 return Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 24, 2016 Author Share Posted November 24, 2016 Roll - £172.90 Felt there was enough football on tonight to be able to put together a few more groups. A profit looks a big ask on the face of it but lets see how it goes! There is £1.73 on each single and £3.46 on each acca. Group A Krasnodar (H Salzburg) Evens Genk (H Rapid Vienna) 23/20 Olympiakos -1 (H Young Boys) 13/8 St. Etienne (H Mainz) 13/10 Acca - £89.83 Group B Nicosia (A Astana) 12/5 Qarabag (A Slovan Liberic) 13/10 Draw - Sparta Prague v Southampton 23/10 Draw - Athletico Bilbao v Sassuolo 18/5 Acca - £410.73 Group C Draw - Celta Vigo v Standard Liege 3/1 Draw - Zurich v Villareal 5/2 Steaua Bucharest (H Osmanlispor) 6/4 Dundalk (H AZ) 21/10 Acca - £375.41 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 25, 2016 Author Share Posted November 25, 2016 NEAR MISS! A loss on the night but came close to my first one! I was actually offered £105 to cash out Group C but that's not the purpose of the challenge.Considering I posted this in the Glory hunters section it's win big or go bust and that's exactly what I intend to do. Big day tomorrow and I shall put all the group up in a bit. Group A Krasnodar (H Salzburg) Evens Genk (H Rapid Vienna) 23/20 £3.72 Olympiakos -1 (H Young Boys) 13/8 St. Etienne (H Mainz) 13/10 Acca - £89.83 Group B Nicosia (A Astana) 12/5 They were winning but an early red card saw this one dead... Qarabag (A Slovan Liberic) 13/10 Draw - Sparta Prague v Southampton 23/10 Draw - Athletico Bilbao v Sassuolo 18/5 Acca - £410.73 Group C Draw - Celta Vigo v Standard Liege 3/1 £6.92 Draw - Zurich v Villareal 5/2 £6.06 Steaua Bucharest (H Osmanlispor) 6/4 £4.33 Dundalk (H AZ) 21/10 Really thought the price was good enough for Dundalk to continue making history. They gave it a good go but it just wasn't enough. Acca - £375.41 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 25, 2016 Author Share Posted November 25, 2016 Roll: £162.79 Total Singles: 28 Singles won: 8 Acca's won: 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 25, 2016 Author Share Posted November 25, 2016 I didn't fancy ANY bet in the prem tomorrow. Probably hardest set of fixtures to predict I've seen all season. My latest groups have £1.63 on each single and £3.26 on the acca. I'm hoping that seeing as the English leagues are my bread and butter that a profit can be made tomorrow... so without further waffle here are the groups. Group A Preston (H Burton) 21/20 Reading (H Bristol) 13/10 Luton (A Exeter) 7/5 Boreham Wood (A Guiseley) 13/10 Acca - £84.85 Group B Villa -1 (H Cardiff) 9/4 Draw - Wimbledon v Fleetwood 12/5 Scunthorpe - 1 (H Oxford) 9/4 Doncaster - 1 (H Orient) 15/8 Acca - £336.59 Group C Brentford (H Birmingham) 23/20 Draw - Bury v Millwall 5/2 Yeovil (A Accrington) 14/5 Draw - Eastleigh v Chester 13/5 Acca - £335.59 Group D Draw - Brighton v Fulham 12/5 Draw - Chesterfield v Bristol 13/5 Draw - Cambridge v Cheltenham 9/4 Draw - Southport v Braintree 23/10 Acca - £427.95 Group E Bolton (A Northampton) 7/5 Peterboro (A Oldham) 13/8 Southend (A Walsall) 9/5 Grimsby (A Crawley 6/5) Acca - £126.51 Group F Shrewsbury (H Port Vale) 13/10 Barnet (H Notts County) 11/10 Lincoln -1 (H Maidstone) 11/10 Gateshead (A Woking) 13/10 Acca - £76.05 Group G Newcastle -2 (H Blackburn) 9/4 Gillingham (H Rochdale) 9/5 Crewe (A Colchester) 5/2 Forest Green (A Wrexham) Evens Acca - £207.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 Nice attempt, but a look at cash out, i know it's glory or bust... but a cash out for a 3rd of the win, is not bad..... how about looking when cash out is available, to recover the stake, and a small profit, and let the rest run, for a lettle less than the original return... Just a thought Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 25, 2016 Author Share Posted November 25, 2016 39 minutes ago, kevsul said: Nice attempt, but a look at cash out, i know it's glory or bust... but a cash out for a 3rd of the win, is not bad..... how about looking when cash out is available, to recover the stake, and a small profit, and let the rest run, for a lettle less than the original return... Just a thought I think in hindsight I should of done this. This might be a very short challenge if I don't take advantage of that kind of thing. It would of course allow me to increase stakes too. Thanks for the feedback I think if one is coming in for a profit tomorrow I will take it and let the others run. There is 7 groups tomorrow after all! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 29, 2016 Author Share Posted November 29, 2016 Again unfortunately didn't come close but we will keep going! A real shame about group B and top of the league blowing that for me. Group A Preston (H Burton) 21/20 Reading (H Bristol) 13/10 £3.75 Luton (A Exeter) 7/5 Boreham Wood (A Guiseley) 13/10 Acca - £84.85 Group B Villa -1 (H Cardiff) 9/4 £5.30 Draw - Wimbledon v Fleetwood 12/5 £5.54 Scunthorpe - 1 (H Oxford) 9/4 Doncaster - 1 (H Orient) 15/8 £4.69 Acca - £336.59 Group C Brentford (H Birmingham) 23/20 Draw - Bury v Millwall 5/2 Yeovil (A Accrington) 14/5 Draw - Eastleigh v Chester 13/5 Acca - £335.59 Group D Draw - Brighton v Fulham 12/5 Draw - Chesterfield v Bristol 13/5 Draw - Cambridge v Cheltenham 9/4 Draw - Southport v Braintree 23/10 Acca - £427.95 Group E Bolton (A Northampton) 7/5 £3.91 Peterboro (A Oldham) 13/8 - VOID Southend (A Walsall) 9/5 Grimsby (A Crawley 6/5) Acca - £126.51 Group F Shrewsbury (H Port Vale) 13/10 Barnet (H Notts County) 11/10 £3.42 Lincoln -1 (H Maidstone) 11/10 £3.42 Gateshead (A Woking) 13/10 Acca - £76.05 Group G Newcastle -2 (H Blackburn) 9/4 Gillingham (H Rochdale) 9/5 £4.56 Crewe (A Colchester) 5/2 Forest Green (A Wrexham) Evens Acca - £207.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 29, 2016 Author Share Posted November 29, 2016 Roll: £130.55 Total Singles: 56 Singles won: 16 Acca's won: 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 29, 2016 Author Share Posted November 29, 2016 Tonight's picks. Each single has £1.31 on and each acca has £2.62 on. Have split them into trebles instead of fourfolds tonight due to the high variance nature of cup matches. Group A Sheff Utd -1 (H Walsall) 6/5 Queens Park -1 (H Montrose) 17/10 Empoli -1 (H Cesena) 5/2 Acca - £54.47 Group B Draw - Gateshead v Tranmere 9/4 Draw - Southport v Solihull 13/5 Draw - Woking v Bromley 13/5 Acca - £110.35 Group C Dover (A Sutton) 9/5 Brechin (H Ayr) 2/1 Barrow (A Macclesfield) 13/8 Acca - £57.77 Group D Espanyol (A Alcorcon) 11/8 Eibar (A Gigon) 6/4 Real Betis (H Deportivo) 6/5 Acca - £34.22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 30, 2016 Author Share Posted November 30, 2016 Another loss for about £7. Espanyol denied us our first acca win as they couldn't find a winner against 'lesser' opposition. Group A Sheff Utd -1 (H Walsall) 6/5 (Think I have single handed caused Sheff to have a bad run) Queens Park -1 (H Montrose) 17/10 £3.54 Empoli -1 (H Cesena) 5/2 Acca - £54.47 Group B Draw - Gateshead v Tranmere 9/4 Draw - Southport v Solihull 13/5 £4.72 Draw - Woking v Bromley 13/5 Acca - £110.35 Group C Dover (A Sutton) 9/5 3.67 Brechin (H Ayr) 2/1 Barrow (A Macclesfield) 13/8 VOID Acca - £57.77 Group D Espanyol (A Alcorcon) 11/8 Eibar (A Gigon) 6/4 £3.28 Real Betis (H Deportivo) 6/5 £2.88 Acca - £34.22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 30, 2016 Author Share Posted November 30, 2016 Roll: £123.75 Total Singles: 72 ( 2 void ) Singles won: 21 Acca's won: 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted November 30, 2016 Author Share Posted November 30, 2016 Try a few today. Each single has £1.24 on and £2.48 each acca. Group A Draw - Arsenal v Southampton 13/5 Draw - Hearts V Rangers 12/5 Barcelona -2 (A Hercules) 7/5 Acca - £72.85 Group B Malaga (A Cordoba) 13/10 Osasuna (A Granada) 11/4 Celta Vigo (A Murcia) 13/10 Acca - £49.20 Group C Atalanta -1 (H Pescara) 5/4 St . Etienne (H Marseille) 23/20 Toulouse (H Montpellier) 11/10 Villarreal - 1 (A Toledo) 17/10 Acca - £68.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 Near miss again! Let down by St Etienne not finding the net. Group A Draw - Arsenal v Southampton 13/5 Draw - Hearts V Rangers 12/5 Barcelona -2 (A Hercules) 7/5 Acca - £72.85 Group B Malaga (A Cordoba) 13/10 Osasuna (A Granada) 11/4 Celta Vigo (A Murcia) 13/10 £2.85 Acca - £49.20 Group C Atalanta -1 (H Pescara) 5/4 £2.79 St . Etienne (H Marseille) 23/20 Toulouse (H Montpellier) 11/10 £2.60 Villarreal - 1 (A Toledo) 17/10 £3.35 Acca - £68.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 (edited) Roll £115.20 Total Singles: 82 ( 2 void ) Singles won: 25 Acca's won: 0 Edited December 3, 2016 by PokerWolf1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PokerWolf1 Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 Each single has £1.15 on and each acca has £2.30 on. Group A Chester (H Guiseley) 7/5 Plymouth -1 (H Newport) 21/10 Hearts (A Ross County) Evens £34.22 Group B Palace (H Southampton) 23/10 Blackburn (H Huddersfield) 8/5 Brighton (A Cardiff) 23/20 Acca - £45.39 Group C Draw - West Brom v Watford 11/5 Draw - Stevenage v Doncaster 13/5 Draw - Chesterfield v Wycombe 12/5 Acca - £90.09 Group D Birmingham -1 (H Barnsley) 9/4 Yeovil (H Crawley) Evens Dover (H Dagenham) 23/20 Acca - £32.14 Group E Ipswich (A Bristol) 13/5 Reading (A Fulham) 14/5 Boreham Wood (A Aldershot) 21/10 Acca - £97.54 Group F Blackpool -1 (H Brackley) 11/10 Carlisle (H Rochdale) 6/4 Charlton (H MK Dons) 7/5 Acca - £28.98 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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