Wednesday Racing -

[BillyHills]

Brighton and Bath must my two least favourite courses so will be avoiding them tomorrow.

 

4.10 Pontefract

Flash City EW 8/1 Bet365

This one has been in tremendous form this season and the trainer Ruth Carr seems to be in good nick still. She seems to be able to run her horses every week and they hold their form. 4th last time at Cattterick making up ground when it was all too late and will have more of chance to reach the leaders on this track and will be able to tuck in from stall 10.

[BillyHills]

5.20 Yarmouth

Meetings Man EW 14/1 Bet365

Cant believe this one is the outsider of the party and i reckon he's been overlooked due to his age or something. I noticed him running well last time out Newbury, he was only 6th but ran much better than that in my opinion on his first run of the season.

Won this time last year and is not too badly handicapped and will strip a lot fitter this time and i'm expecting a big run.

[BillyHills]

3.40 Pontefract

Stars Over The Sea 11/8 BetVictor

Best bet of the day is at Pontefract and the Mark Johnston 5yo Stars Over The Sea. He had a year off the flat when he went hurdling with David Pipe but has been back with his original trainer this year and got his head in front on his third start at Newbury over 10f.

He went up 6lbs for that and ran with a lot of credit at Glorious Goodwood last week when third to his stable mate Fire Fighting, only going down by a length and three-quarters. He comes out quickly and if over his exertions he should be good enough to beat this field.

[chris34]

6.10 Kempton

Not totally convinced by the surface currently it would appear from Monday you need to be fairly near the pace to be winning with a few looking unlucky when trying to make up ground from the back.

Zarliman was in good form when last seen on the flat in this country winning over this CD off 51, not in the same form over hurdles since but has been a fair second over in Les Landes before another disappointing effort back over hurdles. Clearly his heart is in flat racing these days, likes to race prominently and only 5lb higher and change around of headgear aswell. Also has a nice draw in stall 1 and everything looks poised for a big run in a poor looking race.

 

2pt win Zarliman 4/1 PP

 

8.40 Kempton

Interesting handicap with a few improving and unexposed sorts in this handicap, theres no obvious front runner in this field which would be a concern.

Sbraase is looking exposed and high enough in the weights currently and is easily passed over on recent runs. Same has to be said for London Citizen. Sarsted has been soundly beaten off this sort of mark and needs to step up.

Ladurelli looks to need a strong gallop even stepping up in trip today and is unlikely to get that today which has to be a worry despite he is likely to appreciate this return to the AW and has been running respectably recently.

Angrywhitepyjamas is completely unexposed with just the 2 runs, winning over the extended mile at Wolves on last run. Looks likely to be suited by the step up in trip. Opening mark of 77 may underestimate him given the 3^rd has since won a handicap off 74 at Newmarket.

West Coast Flyer won his maiden on the AW at Wolves on 2^nd start in February, didn’t show much on handicap debut at Doncaster but bounce right back on the AW at Newcastle. Completely dismiss latest run off revised mark on soft ground and is likely to bounce right back on the AW, yard currently going well and Atzeni is strong booking on this improving sort.

 

1pt win Angrywhitepyjamas 9/2 hills

2pt win West Coast Flyer 4/1 coral

[robertob]

7.10 Kempton: Curriculum @ 4/1 Ladbrokes

Very interesting contender for William Haggas who has a 42% strike rate this season in Kempton maiden races and a 70%+ place strike rate over the last five years here i nthis type of races - so one would assume Curriculum is reasonably fit going to post today. The gelding showed promise in soft conditions at Doncaster last year and is open to a significant amount of improvement over this longer trip. 

8.20 Yarmouth: Fleeting Dream @ 2/1 Ladbrokes

This rather well bred three year old filly of Dream Ahead should be very hard to beat on her handicap debut, dropping down to five furlongs which is very likely to suit down to the grounds. Haggas seems to find always the right opportunities for this type of horse and while Fleeting Dream didn't show much in three maiden races, she showed plenty of speed the last time in a hot race. Her opening mark of 56 could be lenient. 

Edited August 3, 2016 by robertob

[robertob]

3.30 Bath: Forecaster: 11/8 Betfred

This looks seemingly a wide open race but closer inspection shows this is an excellent opportunity for 3yo Forecaster. The slight step up in trip should bring out further improvement after two subsequent placed efforts this season. First time cheeppieces can be a big help too. Michael Bell has a near 50% strike rate this year and consistently over time with his horses tried in this type of headgear. I suspect Forecaster will be able to find enough improvement to beat this very ordinary lot today.  

4.00 Bath: Hope Is High @ 8/1 Coral

She improved dramatically from her maidens last month on her handicap debut at Yarmouth, though got a bit a rough ride. Once in the clear she ran on strongly to finish an unlikely looking runner-up. There is more to come and a 2lb hike in the mark isn't enough to stop her to go close. I believe the slower ground will her here. Jockey booking is interesting, as the Gordon/Berry combo has proved very successful this year, albeit the sample size is on the small side. Still, her 3lb allowance look significant given the 60% strike rate these two enjoy.