Jump to content

Sunday Racing -


Recommended Posts

Exeter goes ahead, loads of NR's which could lead to a strange dividend so worth a little dabble.

56c04c96f173a_ScreenShot2016-02-14at09.4\

 

Tipped up The Eaglehaslanded for a race on Saturday but has chosen to run today instead so he can qualify for the Pertemp Final i imagine. Anyway he's well handicapped and should go close in the 3rd leg. Not a bad EW bet at 15/2.

Nap goes to Midnight Prayer (3.40), ran well at Warwick in similar ground and ought to bear these as long as he has recovered from that slog. We have a couple of long odds-on fav's and i wouldn't  be surprised if one of them got turned over in these conditions.

Black Hercules was really impressive at Warwick last time out and i hope he wins at Navan (4.00) He's 10/11 and I've doubled him up with Arsenal to beat Leicester. (9/4 Double).

:ok

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3.10 Exeter – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) 

Harry Fry’s Unowhatimeanharry has been rapidly progressive this term winning his first three starts since joining the yard at the beginning of the season. Following two handicap successes, the eight-year-old justified favouritism in a Grade 2 novice hurdle at Cheltenham in December and it would seem foolish to rule him out of going in again. He is now 15lb higher than he was at the start of the season but the way in which he has performed in handicap company suggests that may not be enough to stop him. You would have to have a slight question mark over the heavy ground he is likely to encounter here and at the likely prices, it might be best to look elsewhere.

Paul Nicholls has always had high hopes for The Eaglehaslanded and whilst he has yet to show his full potential, there have been signs in his last couple of runs that he is starting to get the hang of things. He won over course and distance back in October when showing a few signs of temperament before finishing a close second to another progressive horse at Chepstow. He stayed on well to finish fourth at Cheltenham in December and looks to have a good chance off the same mark. He may well need a stiffer test than this as he is a strong stayer but he is likely to be doing his best work late on and can make the frame.

Two runners who catch the eye are Alan King’s The Tourard Man and Salmanazar with the last named of most interest having won impressively in similar conditions at Market Rasen last month. He seemed to relish every yard of the 2m4f that day so the extra couple of furlongs should suit and he has plenty of form on heavy ground. The Alan King stable continue to fire in the winners left, right and centre and this eight-year-old looks likely to be thereabouts at the business end here.

However there could be a handicap blot in this race in the shape of SCOOP THE POT who gets in at the foot of the weights here off a mark of 124. The six-year-old has only had three starts over hurdles to date but he ran a fine race in the handicap won by Unowhatimeanharry at Cheltenham in November. He finished an eye-catching third that day and has not been seen since, presumably in a bid to keep his mark as it is. He gets a massive pull in the weights this time around with Harry Fry’s horse and when you consider he was only beaten just over five lengths, it doesn’t take too much imagination to see him running well. We saw the JP McManus silks carried to victory in one of these qualifiers last weekend and I fancy we will see those famous silks carried back into the Winners’ Enclosure for a second week running.

Advice

SCOOP THE POT – 2pts win

 
3.40 Exeter – The Bathwick Tyres Veterans’ Handicap Chase 

Since the inauguration of the Veterans’ Chase Series, these races have become more competitive and made them much better betting races to boot.

Venetia Williams is renowned for her work with the older generation and she has a double-pronged attack on the opening leg of the 2016 series. Shangani looks the pick of her duo on jockey bookings with Aidan Coleman in the plate but he would need a bounce back to form to feature here. He opened this campaign with a pleasing effort in defeat at Taunton but has since disappointed rather, failing to finish twice when well behind and tailing off when fifth of seven at Kempton back in January. The handicapper has eventually relented though and dropped him 3lb which will help but three miles in heavy ground may stretch his stamina given he has never won over that far in the past. Her other runner Howard’s Legacy is an interesting contender now only 1lb higher than his last winning mark. He will surely strip fitter for his seasonal reappearance at Ludlow in December and will be well suited to the heavy ground that faces him here.

Golden Chieftain arrives in arguably the best form on the back of his Somerset National win last time out. Colin Tizzard’s stayer had endured a prolonged spell in the doldrums since landing the Festival Chase at Cheltenham in March 2013 but was back to somewhere near his best when landing the Southern National first time up. He stays well and handles testing conditions so should be in his element here but it remains to be seen whether he can defy a 7lb rise in the handicap at this stage of his career. Connections believe he could be a player in the Cheltenham race again this year so he must be a leading contender in this.

However, preference is for another Festival scorer and MIDNIGHT PRAYER is a strong fancy following his fine second in the Classic Chase at Warwick last month. The Alan King inmate landed the National Hunt Chase a couple of years ago and has returned this season in good heart. He ran a perfectly adequate race in a strong Newbury handicap on his return from a year off the track and backed that up with an improved effort in extremely testing conditions when runner-up behind Russe Blanc at Warwick. The Cheltenham Festival has been all but ruled out with the Grand National his main aim this campaign. With the weights for the Aintree marathon being announced on Thursday, it is more than likely that he would need to win this in order to bolster his chances of gaining a place in the big one in April. A 4lb rise for his latest run looks perfectly acceptable and the fact that Champion Jockey-elect Richard Johnson is steering can only be a plus.

Advice

MIDNIGHT PRAYER – 2pts win

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This thread has more posts. To see them, you'll need to sign up or sign in.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...