TazaD Posted May 25, 2005 Share Posted May 25, 2005 Geelong -30.5 Geelong have won the last 8 meetings at home by an av. of 36 points. they are on an 11-0 run at home, winning by an av. of 35 points. Their 2 losses this year have been @ West Coast (no shame at all), and to Melbourne in a game where they had more shots at goal. 4 of their 6 wins have been by more than this spread, the 2 that weren't were as underdogs! Take out Freo's BIG win over Collingwood and they have been ordinary at best. Geelong are the best scoring team in the comp, av. nearly 115 points a game. Their midfield is dominant, having the most inside 50's per game, and alowing the 4th least. (2nd lest over their last 5) Their backline is solid, allowing a shot only every 2.12 times the ball enters the 50. (Only Sydney and West Coast better). ...This has been a huge waste of time really...Should have just said Geelong are far superior in all area's! Forecast of a cold day and some showers will only help the Cats, they won by 50 last year in atrocious conditons. Don't care how much of a pasting Freo get in the media this week, Geelong are simply too good at home for anyone at the minute. Adelaide -27.5 The Crows midfield and backline have been superb all season, and if they kick goals, they win! There has been some doom and gloom about the Crows forward line, but I don't think it's as bad as people are making out. They've topped 100 in 4 of the 9 games...3 low scoring games against West Coast, Collingwood and Kangaroos is no disgrace, and interesting to note that probably their 2 worst performances (v. Brisbane and Melburne) were both a night. Either way, Calrlton has allowed the most goals for the season (155), so if they can't score this week then I give up! The Blues form has been terrible, losing their last 3 by 85, 70 and 18 (but were 46 pints down at 3/4 time before Melbourne eased right off). The Crows have the 3rd most inside 50's for the year which will give them plenty of chances to score, and they might finally earn some respect with a big win here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted May 25, 2005 Author Share Posted May 25, 2005 Re: AFL Rd. 10. West Coast -20.5 Right up there with Geelong as the best team in the comp, and Port are a long way behind. There was an obvious lack of intensity last week from the Eagles and I expect them to make up for it in a big way back at home this week. Ports form has been poor, having won only 3 games, against 3 struggling sides, all at home. West Coast on the other hand are 8-1 this sesason, and are 10-0 at home in their last 10, with an av. winning margin of 39 points! port have a reasonable record in the west, but they were beaten by Freo this season by 35, and although they defeated the Eagles here back in Rd. 1 last year they had 12 more inside 50's for the game. West Coast's midfield is a well recognised strength, but their defense has been superb all year, allowing a league best 187 shots, only Sydney have allowed fewer inside 50's, and they allow a shot at goal every 2.25 times the ball enters their 50, which is second best to Adelaide. West Coast's 5 home 'victims' this season have all been traveling better than Port and with Judd back, they just have too many weapons for the Power to cover. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattsthebest Posted May 27, 2005 Share Posted May 27, 2005 Re: AFL Rd. 10. Taza, I know you've given up on your under/over type bets. But what are your thoughts on tonights game between Richmond and Melbourne. I'm thinking that there could be quite a few points in this matchup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted May 27, 2005 Author Share Posted May 27, 2005 Re: AFL Rd. 10. Sorry Matt. Nearly game time now. Neitz out for Melbourne. Agree with you about points, but a pretty high number @ Centrebet, will leave it alone. Playing Richmond @ 2.25. Really think they'll win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattsthebest Posted May 27, 2005 Share Posted May 27, 2005 Re: AFL Rd. 10. Sickening blow to Nathan Brown. :puke After that incident the game just went flat. Too bad about Richmond, who clearly showed that their midfield is not up to the level of the other top teams. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted May 28, 2005 Author Share Posted May 28, 2005 Re: AFL Rd. 10. Oh yeah. That was just disgusting! Richmond were never in it at all, and should be a good go against in the next month or so. Bit of rain about in Geelong, but hopefully it won't affect the game too much. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_Arsenal_ Posted May 28, 2005 Share Posted May 28, 2005 Re: AFL Rd. 10. Is a Fremantle win normal ? I thought they are the whipping boys? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
-Loki- Posted May 28, 2005 Share Posted May 28, 2005 Re: AFL Rd. 10. Freo only beat good teams e.g. melbourne. The next on there hit list is west coast. I am going to have a wager on that one.:rollin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted May 28, 2005 Share Posted May 28, 2005 Re: AFL Rd. 10. Chin up Taza, you're still a LEG end. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattsthebest Posted May 29, 2005 Share Posted May 29, 2005 Re: AFL Rd. 10. I don't know about you Taza, but I'm not trusting Adelaide with my hard earned ever again this season. Their accuracy is just horrible and that's an understatment! :@ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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