waggy Posted June 7, 2015 Author Share Posted June 7, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports £120 Double: Noren to beat Keiffer @evs (Nordea 2 ball 12.06) and Peter Hanson to beat Tom Murray @1/2 (Nordea 2 ball 10-54) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 7, 2015 Author Share Posted June 7, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Must have a bet on the Russian 2nd leg relegation play-offs £140 Rostov to beat Tosno @4/7. Rostov won 1-0 away and the stats predict a Rostov win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 8, 2015 Author Share Posted June 8, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Results: Noren won, Hanson lost. Lost £120 Rostov won 4-0. Won £80 Total loss £40 In the bank £1393.39 Starting bank £1000 (8/3/15). Bank at 8/6/15 (3 months) £1393.39). Profit £393.39 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 8, 2015 Author Share Posted June 8, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports £110 North Queensland Cowboys-2 to beat Parramatta Eels @811 (NRL 10-00) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 8, 2015 Author Share Posted June 8, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Queensland losing 24-6 H/T. On quite a losing streak at the moment. Drastic measures needed. Despite all good intentions I must break my betting restraints and go fairly big. £280 MR LUPTON @5/4 (Thirsk 14-15) I think the price is good for this horse and I realise that ALL my profits will be wiped out if it loses but that's the chance I take. The profit will be £350 if it wins and get me back on track. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 8, 2015 Author Share Posted June 8, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Queensland were losing 28-6 into the second half but have rallied and now lead 36-30 with a minute to go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 8, 2015 Author Share Posted June 8, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports They have won 36-30 and now I wish I hadn't been so ridiculous and put the big horse bet on. Too late now but it is now a long wait to see if I can be lucky again. I have done this so many times and never learn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vilamoura04 Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Good luck :ok You were £280 in profit from your starting bank which is a considerable achievement and should not be underestimated. You've also only lost 9 of the last 16 - pretty standard allowing for variance when your average odds are around evens (which yours are). I wonder if the problem is you are doing much better than you think you are? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Thanks Vilamoura. Had a good think last night about the way to go and I think things will get better though a lot more steady (boring) Results Mr Lupton U/P. Lost £280 Queensland won 36-30. Won £80 Total lost £200 In the bank £1193.39 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports £110 Verdasco to beat Gimeno-Travers 2-0 @5/11 (Hertogenbosch 10-00) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vilamoura04 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports I know you know all this but I'll say it anyway :) My opinion is that your selections are exceptionally good especially as you are covering such a wide range of sports - I'm not sure you need to be more risk averse with your picks. You obviously like to have a bet on for the enjoyment of having a sporting interest in the event. This is a perfectly healthy reason for doing it, but it will make it harder for you to be more selective in your selections so why try - no point taking all your enjoyment out of it and setting yourself up to fail. It looks like its just your bankroll management that wavers a bit when you go through the inevitable dip, which is human nature. Maybe your focus could be to have another look at your staking rules and develop some that you really believe in? Therefore making you more likely to stick to them. Rather than doing a % of your bank I would look at your own confidence rating (say, £50 on low confidence, £100 on medium, £150 on high) or on odds (£50 on 2/1+, £150 on 1/2 or less, £100 on anything in between). A fair few professional tipsters just level stake everything, albeit usually within a fairly narrow odds range, but they stick rigidly to it because they know this is the way to maximise their edge. Your loss chasing is rare but obviously high risk. Its a horrible one though because you can pretty much guarantee it romps in if you don't back it... This is however a great position to be in because getting the selections right is the hard bit - bankroll management is relatively easy with a bit of effort to set rules that work for you and then add in a bit of motivated discipline. Good luck with Verdasco :ok MPLouis 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Thanks Vilamoura04 you are right of course. The emotions get a bit fraught during a losing run but my personality is to take risks and perhaps I shouldn't change too much. The 'confidence' point is a good observation. I feel really good today and think the results could turn in my favour. Just been taking a look at the cricket 1 day series. The England team looks very inexperienced to me. Don't like backing against England but the opportunities look too good to miss. £280 New Zealand to win the 1st ODI against England @4/7. There are so many bets available if you think NZ are a good thing but I'll stick with a simple win bet for today. Thanks again Vilamoura04 for your input. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports A further £280 @4/7 on NZ to beat England. £560 on a single bet is big even for me (scary) but this is the game to do it. No more today. I will be having a stressful afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 10, 2015 Author Share Posted June 10, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports England lost. Lost £560 Verdasco lost 2nd set. lost £120 Total lost £680 In the bank £513.39 £300 Troicki to beat Zverev @1/3 (Stuttgart Tennis 10.00 am) Fight back begins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 10, 2015 Author Share Posted June 10, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Result: Troicki won 2-1. Won £100 In the bank £613.39 £250 Lopez to beat Groth @2/5 (Stuttgart Tennis 1-30) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 10, 2015 Author Share Posted June 10, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports £300 Kohlschrieber to beat Janowicz @1/3 (Stuttgart Tennis 3-00) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Results: Lopez lost 1-2. Lost £250 Kohlschreiber won 2-0. Won £100 Total lost £150 In the bank £463.39 £200 Bautista-Agut to beat Mahut @3/4 (10.00 Hertogenbosch Tennis) This really looks a good bet, especially at the price Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vilamoura04 Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Good luck today chap Please don't give up on this if you lose the bank, you have a talent its just a case of extracting maximum value from it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports No way will I give up Vila. My betting fund is very healthy and this latest 'blip' is quite new to me. I usually bet in hundreds but a thousand has been my limit on a single bet (one bet excepted many years ago, and that was big in relative terms). Any loss hurts but if the long term success is there the good days outnumber the bad ones. I find it hard to back against the obvious, hence the bigger bets on short odds selections. Latest bet is going badly, 0-3 down in 1st set Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports £250 Germany Women v Norway Women (Tonight) OVER 2.5 goals @4/7. Germany's goal scoring goes without saying but Norway score a fair amount themselves and to be honest over 3.5 was a temptation but the chosen bet is safest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Tennis looking bad. 0-2 down in 2nd set. Lost 1st Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Tennis bet lost 0-2. Lost £200 In the bank £263.39 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vilamoura04 Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Tough luck, all on the ladies then! Saw the opening Germany game and they looked suspect defensively. Took best striker Sasic off at HT to save her for this match too. Sorry to bang on and Ill shut up after this but Ive been looking at your June numbers. Small sample size (23 selections) but with very basic fixed profit staking you would have staked 6% more and lost 25% less. So with the same selections you could have won more if they had come in and lost considerably less when they didn't! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 Re: Waggys AllSports Germany drew 1-1. End of thread. New and LAST thread soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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