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Bulgaria>A PFG>2013-2014


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Outrights for Bulgaria! Odds for Botev Plovdiv to become champion are very good Betway have it at 6,00. Botev is for sure the best team in Bulgaria at the moment. They have retain there team and have added some very good players for Bulgaria. Very good value on the odds.

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Can Bulgarians still bet with online bookies? I've heard a lot of them have been blocked by the govt but here are some alternate links for some of the big bookies there. Bet365 - http://www.365sb.com/ Sbobet - http://www.sbo333.com or http://www.stonepen.com/ Pinnacle - http://www2.pinnaclesports.com/ Share if they work!

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Bulgaria>A PFG>2013-2014 I am opening this thread because there's only the one for the past season. To start there's quite good value for today's game- Lokomotiv Plovdiv will face Bero Stara Zagora. I am following closely the situation in Bulgaria and X2 double chance on this event @ 1.66 Bet365 seems like a very good bet. I also expect the game to be under 2.5 goals. Any thoughts?

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Re: Bulgaria>A PFG>2013-2014

I am opening this thread because there's only the one for the past season. To start there's quite good value for today's game- Lokomotiv Plovdiv will face Bero Stara Zagora. I am following closely the situation in Bulgaria and X2 double chance on this event @ 1.66 Bet365 seems like a very good bet. I also expect the game to be under 2.5 goals. Any thoughts?
1.66 is very bad value. Loko Plovdiv is a decent team with plenty of experienced players and some really good strikers. Do you think it is worth it to play double chance against them for the reward of 1.66 coefficient?!
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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Ludogorets - CSKA Sofia HW 7/10 Following all Bulgarian tipsters wrote in past weeks i see great odds on HW Ludogorets has better team.high morale,home advantage,maybe few tired after med-week match CSKA Sofia is only a"name" thta season.team almost new.many players left.poor matches played since now in these conditions is see great chances for Ludogorets to beat CSKA Sofia!maybe refree here is important but i can't know it! what do you think?

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Bulgaria 2013/2014 Lyubimets 2007 - Pirin Gotse Delchev the odds from local bookie 1,70 - 3,50 - 1,70. And online you can find odds for AW around 5,00, so it is real value. Two equal teams are meeting today. It can't have such big difference in the odds. Everything can happen and at this price for AW it is must try.

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Lokomotiv Sofia-CSKA Sofia 2 AW -1EH We saw last year a procedure of saving Lokomotiv by Litex and CSKA.Lokomotiv should have won all three games to avoid relegation and they did it.There were no doubts in Bulgaria that they will do it.Now it is time for them to lose.New championship had started and they have to give back the three points.Litex already won against them.Now it's csKA's turn and given the situation in the visiting team they must win.They will visit Loko Sf after a hard couple of seasons when they were humiliated by their owners and now after the board has changed they will be fully motivated to win.Their ex captain Todor Yanchev is back.During the summer CSKA has signed Emil Gargorov from Ludogoretz who is ex CSKA player.Except Gargorov and Yanchev there are many unexperienced youngsters from the academy who are hungry for football.Anyway CSKA will win this game maybe with even bigger margin but i will stick to 1 or 2 goals difference here.Clear AW

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Simeon, what you wrote is completely true, but there is one very important detail here. Loko Sofia indeed gifted the win to both Litex and Slavia as a return for the favors from the spring. However, over the summer CSKA switched ownership and now the team has completely new owners, directors and managers. The people who made the deal with Loko Sofia 3 months ago are not in CSKA anymore, hence I am not sure if the deal will hold with the new guys. In any case I don't recommend -1 EH even if the game is arranged, because this would only mean that Loko Sofia will gift the win to their visitors, but it doesn't mean they will have to lose by big margin - one goal will do. Nevertheless, even without arrangement, I feel CSKA is a good bet to win this match. Loko Sofia is missing two key players - best defender Branekov and most creative midfielder Tom. CSKA is a better team overall and they are finally finding their form - they were heavily behind in physical conditioning because they couldn't prepare properly during the summer because of the bankruptcy threat, but now they seem to have improved their fitness a lot. I feel CSKA is going to start some winning streak after their convincing victory over Neftohimik on Saturday. The mood in the team is also good as the first payments have been made by the new owners this week. CSKA to win would be my pick, but I don't recommend going very heavy on this, on the premise that the match will be fixed, because there is some good likelihood that the game will be real. But I still favor CSKA to win.

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

Simeon, what you wrote is completely true, but there is one very important detail here. Loko Sofia indeed gifted the win to both Litex and Slavia as a return for the favors from the spring. However, over the summer CSKA switched ownership and now the team has completely new owners, directors and managers. The people who made the deal with Loko Sofia 3 months ago are not in CSKA anymore, hence I am not sure if the deal will hold with the new guys. In any case I don't recommend -1 EH even if the game is arranged, because this would only mean that Loko Sofia will gift the win to their visitors, but it doesn't mean they will have to lose by big margin - one goal will do. Nevertheless, even without arrangement, I feel CSKA is a good bet to win this match. Loko Sofia is missing two key players - best defender Branekov and most creative midfielder Tom. CSKA is a better team overall and they are finally finding their form - they were heavily behind in physical conditioning because they couldn't prepare properly during the summer because of the bankruptcy threat, but now they seem to have improved their fitness a lot. I feel CSKA is going to start some winning streak after their convincing victory over Neftohimik on Saturday. The mood in the team is also good as the first payments have been made by the new owners this week. CSKA to win would be my pick, but I don't recommend going very heavy on this, on the premise that the match will be fixed, because there is some good likelihood that the game will be real. But I still favor CSKA to win.
so if game will be real,which stake for AW?
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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

Simeon, what you wrote is completely true, but there is one very important detail here. Loko Sofia indeed gifted the win to both Litex and Slavia as a return for the favors from the spring. However, over the summer CSKA switched ownership and now the team has completely new owners, directors and managers. The people who made the deal with Loko Sofia 3 months ago are not in CSKA anymore, hence I am not sure if the deal will hold with the new guys. In any case I don't recommend -1 EH even if the game is arranged, because this would only mean that Loko Sofia will gift the win to their visitors, but it doesn't mean they will have to lose by big margin - one goal will do. Nevertheless, even without arrangement, I feel CSKA is a good bet to win this match. Loko Sofia is missing two key players - best defender Branekov and most creative midfielder Tom. CSKA is a better team overall and they are finally finding their form - they were heavily behind in physical conditioning because they couldn't prepare properly during the summer because of the bankruptcy threat, but now they seem to have improved their fitness a lot. I feel CSKA is going to start some winning streak after their convincing victory over Neftohimik on Saturday. The mood in the team is also good as the first payments have been made by the new owners this week. CSKA to win would be my pick, but I don't recommend going very heavy on this, on the premise that the match will be fixed, because there is some good likelihood that the game will be real. But I still favor CSKA to win.
The fact that CSKA has changed the ownership will not affect the arrangement because next time there will be no favour...and they know it Obviously only the referee didn't know about the arrangement.CSKA were 1 men short almost all of the time but managed to score an euqualizer.It was obvious.Lokomotiv took the lead,followed by red card and Lokomotiv "parked the bus"even that they were with 11 men...Big loss for me...
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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Botev-Slavia starts in an hour, and I like a lot the odds for over 2.5 goals at Sbobet - currently 2.04. I see no reason for the bookies to expect a low scoring game. All the games of Botev at home have been over 2.5 so far. H2H for the last year (since Botev returned to A League) have produced 3 over 2.5 out of 4 games. The only "under 2.5" game have been a return leg for the Cup after the tie has already been decided in the first game. Botev lost last home game in a surprising way from Lybimets and now they have big motivation to try to win convincingly and score a few goals. Slavia, on the other hand, won their first victory last week in a very attractive fashion - 3:1 against their Sofia rivals Lokomotiv. I liked a lot Slavia's performance in this game when they missed 6-7 excellent opportunities to make the score very big. I think Slavia has released some pressure after winning for the first time and will play with bigger self-confidence. This will mean Slavia will use more counter-attacking football and will not play cowardly bunker defense. Slavia counter-attacks can be very dangerous as they have very fast and sharp players like winger Galin Ivanov, attacker Kurdov and Brazilian players Diego Neves and Fernando Silva. I expect Slavia to score a goal here. Over 2.5 @ 2.04 (SBO)

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

Botev-Slavia starts in an hour, and I like a lot the odds for over 2.5 goals at Sbobet - currently 2.04. I see no reason for the bookies to expect a low scoring game. All the games of Botev at home have been over 2.5 so far. H2H for the last year (since Botev returned to A League) have produced 3 over 2.5 out of 4 games. The only "under 2.5" game have been a return leg for the Cup after the tie has already been decided in the first game. Botev lost last home game in a surprising way from Lybimets and now they have big motivation to try to win convincingly and score a few goals. Slavia, on the other hand, won their first victory last week in a very attractive fashion - 3:1 against their Sofia rivals Lokomotiv. I liked a lot Slavia's performance in this game when they missed 6-7 excellent opportunities to make the score very big. I think Slavia has released some pressure after winning for the first time and will play with bigger self-confidence. This will mean Slavia will use more counter-attacking football and will not play cowardly bunker defense. Slavia counter-attacks can be very dangerous as they have very fast and sharp players like winger Galin Ivanov, attacker Kurdov and Brazilian players Diego Neves and Fernando Silva. I expect Slavia to score a goal here. Over 2.5 @ 2.04 (SBO)
36th minute, score already 2:1, over 2.5 delivered very easily! :D
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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

What was with Loco-CSKA game did you guys watched ? Did it look like it was fix ?
No, it wasn't a fix. I warned here before the game that CSKA has new owners, management and directors, and even if there was some sort of arrangement from last spring, it was done with the previous owners and is not likely that it will hold with the new people that run CSKA. The match was solid battle, but CSKA should have won if it wasn't for the stupid red card in the beginning.
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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 My tip for tonight is for the last game of the round, featuring Litex and Lybimets. Lybimets is the big surprise of the league this year - they were at first place before the start of this round. Nevertheless, with all due respect to that team, I think they are more like a relegation material, and their sensational performance will be followed by huge drop and downtrend. Now Lybimets have big disadvantage as they are no longer being underestimated by their opponents and they are taken quite seriously. I think this is the game where Lybimets will be sorted out and shown what their real value is - fighting for survival. Litex is winning with many goals against lower class opponents - they defeated Neftohimik 4-1 at home and Pirin 5-1 on the road. They should score many goals against Lybimets tonight, as well. Litex have only one missing player - Brazilian winger Wander. He is a decent player, but not a key attacker and his absence won't hurt the goal prospects of Litex a lot. Litex have plenty of excellent attacking options which should provide plenty of goals against average defense like Lybimets'. Their Colombian striker Jordan is in hot former, the Albanian international winger Vayushi is playing great and is a constant threat, the Albanian attacking midfielder with Bundesliga experience Jazula is probably the most in-form player of Litex. From the bench they got Miro Manolov who is an established and experienced goal-scorer in A PFG and will be a good option to provide extra goals in the last 20 minutes of the match. I think Litex should score at least 3 goals and I like the odds for this, offered by bet365 - 1.80 at the moment. If you are a more adventurous punter and like to play at higher odds, I can recommend this game to try a higher amount of goals, like over 4.5 for instance. As I play with odds in the range of 1.50-2.00, I will go for: Litex to score 3 goals or more @ 1.80 (bet365)

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

My tip for tonight is for the last game of the round, featuring Litex and Lybimets. Lybimets is the big surprise of the league this year - they were at first place before the start of this round. Nevertheless, with all due respect to that team, I think they are more like a relegation material, and their sensational performance will be followed by huge drop and downtrend. Now Lybimets have big disadvantage as they are no longer being underestimated by their opponents and they are taken quite seriously. I think this is the game where Lybimets will be sorted out and shown what their real value is - fighting for survival. Litex is winning with many goals against lower class opponents - they defeated Neftohimik 4-1 at home and Pirin 5-1 on the road. They should score many goals against Lybimets tonight, as well. Litex have only one missing player - Brazilian winger Wander. He is a decent player, but not a key attacker and his absence won't hurt the goal prospects of Litex a lot. Litex have plenty of excellent attacking options which should provide plenty of goals against average defense like Lybimets'. Their Colombian striker Jordan is in hot former, the Albanian international winger Vayushi is playing great and is a constant threat, the Albanian attacking midfielder with Bundesliga experience Jazula is probably the most in-form player of Litex. From the bench they got Miro Manolov who is an established and experienced goal-scorer in A PFG and will be a good option to provide extra goals in the last 20 minutes of the match. I think Litex should score at least 3 goals and I like the odds for this, offered by bet365 - 1.80 at the moment. If you are a more adventurous punter and like to play at higher odds, I can recommend this game to try a higher amount of goals, like over 4.5 for instance. As I play with odds in the range of 1.50-2.00, I will go for: Litex to score 3 goals or more @ 1.80 (bet365)
Litex - Lybimets 2:1 Pick lost. Sorry, I overestimated Litex motivation - they started way too slow, move the ball around for too long and naturally helped the guests play bunker defense. The first half was wasted with few real chances, then Lybimets took surprisingly the lead in the beginning of the second half. Afterwards, Litex were all over them and netted two goals, could have scored a few more, but nevertheless, the slow start was the key to the loss of this bet.
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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 My next tip is for tonight's match between Lokomotiv (Plovdiv) and Lokomotiv (Sofia) The game is played at closed doors (due to punishment for Loko Plovdiv for unrest at the stands). This will hugely reduce the home advantage of Loko Plovdiv. Loko Sofia is just one place before the last, but their quality is much higher. They have some very experienced and class (for A PFG) players like Marquinos, Wellington, Bibishkov, Pisarov, Branekov, Trifonov - all of them have played with top teams in Bulgaria and have plenty of A PFG matches and goals in their records. Their coach Stefan Genov is also a very experienced and good specialist. Loko Plovdiv is close in quality to Loko Sofia in my opinion. All these facts make me believe that sooner or later these two teams will get closer together in the table. Tonight's game is a perfect occasion for the away team to mark their improved performance with some good result away from home. I think Loko Sofia will not lose this match and the handicaps look very generous. Loko Sofia +0.75 @ 2.20 (SBO)

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Hello, this is my tip for the match of the Bulgarian football league between Pirin and CSKA which starts in about one and a half hours. I like the odds for away handicap win. CSKA have very big potential, especially after adding new signings in the recent weeks. The big problem of the team has been that they missed the summer preparation and they started their selection few days before the first league match (because of change of ownership). So, the team was lacking basic physical fitness and needed time for the players to stick together. Over the last three games CSKA's performance drastically improved, especially the physical component. Prior to that, CSKA players would fade away in the last 30 minutes, while in the last two matches they first managed with a goal down and man less on the pitch to entirely outperform Loko Sofia at their own stadium and to get a draw, and then they played their best game so far - against one of the two best teams in Bulgaria at the moment - Botev Plovdiv. CSKA dominated them and showed very good and cohesive performance. During the break for international football, CSKA had high intensity mountain camp for further improving physical conditioning. In the end of it, they had a friendly with the leader in Macedonian league Turnovo and CSKA destroyed them by 4:0 and totally dominated them technically and physically. This is a must-win situation for CSKA. Their fans are very demanding and despite the objective difficulties (the lack of summer preparation and late transfers), they already demand results and are dissatisfied with the many draws. CSKA now desperately needs to push on higher gear and accumulate points to improve their position in the table. They play against the weakest team in the group and a certain relegation material - Pirin. Last season CSKA won here by 5:0. CSKA misses only the suspended central defender Jackson Mendy. It should be easy and comfortable away win. CSKA -1.5 @ 1.78 (SBO)

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 CSKA-Litex 1 CSKA host Litex at Monday.CSKA is more than capable of winning those kind of games especially on their own ground.They are a big team who must be in top 2 together with Levski Sofia(who will win today too)Litex has some problems to solve and are poor travellers for now.Couple of days ago CSKA destroyed Haskovo for the Cup of Bulgaria winning 6:2 and they will be fully motivated to win this game.They have had problems to score which seems gone now.They play well at the back while Litex cannot find good options in attack since they sold their best man to CSKA Moscow.(Georgu Milanov who is №1 in Bulgaria for 2012 year).I am all over Home win here with CSKA keeping clean sheet.2:0 correct score

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 I have been showing some poor form lately, but I hope I will catch up, starting now. This is tip for tonight match between CSKA and Litex. I like the handicap for CSKA set by SBO - CSKA 0.00 @ 1.79. First of all, it is very unlikely that CSKA loses this game, hence I consider it a safe bet. CSKA has only one loss so far in the league - against the best team in Bulgaria Ludogorets, away from home. CSKA losing at their own stadium is extremely rare event, which doesn't happen more often than once per year or two years. CSKA indeed lost their last match against Litex in Sofia, but before that they were in a series of 14 home matches without a defeat against Litex Lovech in Sofia (11 wins and just 3 draws). So, as you see, Litex is traditionally very convenient guest for CSKA. CSKA is missing their winger Omar Kossoko (important player, good dribbling and pace), but they will have back in their team after suspension their best defender - central defender Jackson Mendy. Defensively CSKA is extremely stable - the best defense in the league, record for clean-sheets and very rarely let other teams have good scoring chances. CSKA attack have suffered so far, but I expect improvement with the arrival of Mamady Sidibe - attacker from Mali, who have played many years in Premiership and Championship with Stoke City. Also young forward Dolapchiev is scoring goals every time he plays (unfortunately he doesn't get many minutes usually). Litex is a good and very stable team, but they are desperately missing their major player for the last several seasons - attacking midfielder Georgi Milanov (transferred to CSKA Moscow). Their creativity is hugely reduced now and they have lots of trouble creating chances. Litex have excellent forward - Colombian Jordan, but the midfield fails to provide good balls. Litex can potentially steal a point from CSKA, but I don't give them much chance to win this match. I believe CSKA will win this game, but I don't advise the straight win, because of the problems that CSKA have with scoring goals. But as I said, I don't think CSKA will lose this match and believe they have at least 50% chance of winning it. So, the draw no bet is an excellent and safe option here. I think the game will end with a narrow CSKA win - 1:0. CSKA 0.00 @ 1.79 (SBO)

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Lyubimets-CSKA 2 After winning the derby,CSKA will visit newly promoted Lyubimetz who actually started the campaign not bad winning against Ludogoretz but at the end they will be relegated for sure.Anyway CSKA is gaining confidence even they didn't impress at all they remain unbeatean at home and the teams find it very hard to score against them.Luybimets is highly limited upfront not having a clue how to score.They rely on counter attack to do this the only way CSKA not to win is to underrestimate them but with Mladenov being head coach this cannot happen as they are just starting to win games.CSKA forwards look good enough for evey defence with Marcinho,Stoke ex forward Sidibe,Gargorov and Milisavlevic.This is Luybimets 2nd game in 4 days as well as CSKA but while they have depth in the squad and have used to that schedule,Lyubemets have not.This game can easily finish with something like 0:5 but a narrow CSKA win again is very likely to be seen.ANyway i will stick to clear AW which i rate about 9.9/10 although i think we will see the home team being destroyed.

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 So, here is the tip for today's match Botev-Cherno More (10/10 confidence) Botev is terribly hit by injury crisis. Their midfield and offense are missing 4 key players! The most important and best player of Botev - Todor Nedelev, just got injured and will be out till Christmas. A heavy blow for "the canaries" - he is the guy that makes work in creative as well as attacking plan for Botev. He is fast, excellent dribbler, a player with "outside the box" moves and thinking, and the one who carves open opposition defenses and brings much speed and cleverness to Botev's attacks. Without him, they are losing 1/3 of their offensive potential. Besides Nedelev, Botev are missing three other very important players. Best scorer and striker from last season Ivan Tzvetkov - long term injury, Marian Ognyanov - important winger with good pace and dribbling, Domovchiyski - a good striker with many years in Bundesliga. So, to sum up - Botev are missing their three best offensive players from last year - Nedelev, Tzvetkov and Ognyanov, and the newly purchased Domovchiyski, who has been also expected to play key role in the team. Surprisingly, the Canaries have no missings in their defense - all the 4 main defenders, the goal-keeper and the holding midfielders are fit. Cherno More is coming with full squad. They are the most under-ish team in the league and they have been such for over a decade. Last round they made one of the only two (out of nine games) "over 2.5" this season. Interestingly, both overs of Cherno More took place in Varna. Away from home they are 100% under 2.5. Last year games finished 0:0 (in Varna) and 3:1 (in Plovdiv), but two of the three goals for Botev were scored by players who are injured and unavailable tomorrow. I have been wondering between the "under 2.5" priced at 1.75 and the "Cherno More +1.25" asian handicap, priced at 1.80. I will go for the first option, as I see a 1:0 home win a very likely correct score here, and such result will eat much of the profit. Under 2.5 @ 1.75 (SBO) cleardot.gif

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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

So, here is the tip for today's match Botev-Cherno More (10/10 confidence) Botev is terribly hit by injury crisis. Their midfield and offense are missing 4 key players! The most important and best player of Botev - Todor Nedelev, just got injured and will be out till Christmas. A heavy blow for "the canaries" - he is the guy that makes work in creative as well as attacking plan for Botev. He is fast, excellent dribbler, a player with "outside the box" moves and thinking, and the one who carves open opposition defenses and brings much speed and cleverness to Botev's attacks. Without him, they are losing 1/3 of their offensive potential. Besides Nedelev, Botev are missing three other very important players. Best scorer and striker from last season Ivan Tzvetkov - long term injury, Marian Ognyanov - important winger with good pace and dribbling, Domovchiyski - a good striker with many years in Bundesliga. So, to sum up - Botev are missing their three best offensive players from last year - Nedelev, Tzvetkov and Ognyanov, and the newly purchased Domovchiyski, who has been also expected to play key role in the team. Surprisingly, the Canaries have no missings in their defense - all the 4 main defenders, the goal-keeper and the holding midfielders are fit. Cherno More is coming with full squad. They are the most under-ish team in the league and they have been such for over a decade. Last round they made one of the only two (out of nine games) "over 2.5" this season. Interestingly, both overs of Cherno More took place in Varna. Away from home they are 100% under 2.5. Last year games finished 0:0 (in Varna) and 3:1 (in Plovdiv), but two of the three goals for Botev were scored by players who are injured and unavailable tomorrow. I have been wondering between the "under 2.5" priced at 1.75 and the "Cherno More +1.25" asian handicap, priced at 1.80. I will go for the first option, as I see a 1:0 home win a very likely correct score here, and such result will eat much of the profit. Under 2.5 @ 1.75 (SBO) cleardot.gif
2:0.In fact in the last 1/4 hour the bet was almost lost but we got lucky.CHeers!
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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Hello, this is my tip for the match Chernomorets - Slavia which starts in one hour. I think the odds for "over" are set way too high at the moment and I believe this game will be more "over"-ish. Both teams are at the same place in the table (divided by goal difference), and they are direct competitors for place among the first seven (hence, play-offs). So, neither of the two teams will be satisfied with a draw here. Slavia is a team which is set to play counter-attacking football. They have fast players, but they are not good in the gradual build-up, that's why they suffer against defensive units. And that's why they score more on the road, when the opposition plays more open football. Their top-scorer Kurdov is in great shape and will be the main danger. They have no important injuries/suspensions. Chernomorets doesn't have very good attacking players, but they create many chances. Against a top team like Levski Sofia last weekend, Chernomorets attacked heavily and had 5-6 great scoring opportunities, although they managed to score only once. On the other hand, Chernomorets central defense is a total mess. Brazilian defender Oliveira was terrible against Levski (stupid own goal and a number of vital mistakes), so he is out of the team today, but his replacement is a reserve guy with little playing experience. The last six games in Bourgas between the two teams featured 5 over 2.5 and only one under 2.5 (2:0). Over 2.25 @ 1.93 (SBO) cleardot.gif

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