BBOTD Thursday 25th July

[Blazing Bailey]

Sandown 3.40 - Ningaro 8/1 William Hill BOG This is an interesting little race which revolves around the favourite Sadiq who achieved sweet feck all on his last two runs but did win quite nicely at Brighton (11l LTO - 3 runner race) which isnt exactly what I would call a reliable track for form reading. Add that to the fact he has Barzalona on his back and the 6/4 on offer looks an awful price. Ducab has a decent chance with Ryan Moore in the saddle but he is also quite short for what he has achieved and Scottish Star has a squeek if he runs to form but looks to have been flattered by his LTO C&D 4th. With this in mind I am taking a chance on the Balding runner who incidentally has a pretty decent strike rate at this venue. Ningaro ran a race full of promise here over 9f in a C3 (3yo) handicap where he didnt have much room to manoeuvre until he got clear in the final furlong and stayed on nicely in a averagely run race. That form has worked out well in the grand scheme of things and a reproduction of that should see him go very close tomorrow. His LTO run was a little disappointing but it was again ran at a fairly sedate pace and 3 of the horses ahead of him all raced closer to the pace and it was only the 2nd placed horse (who was behind Ningaro the time before) who made up any ground and he made it against the rail which I think can be a big help. On a day when it paid to be out in front and near the rail he did pretty well and was incidentally last of the bridal as well. He has a decent inside draw tomorrow and I can see him tracking the pace and providing he gets the breaks, I think he has strong claims on what we have seen to date, especially as there looks to be much more to come.

[corky]

Re: BBOTD Thursday 25th July 1815 leopardstown 1pt win sir john hawkinds 11/10 sjames tried in blinkers today for 1st time,after a creditable run at newmarket last time out, step up in distance could help,only concern is that obrien has another horse in the field and as it is unbeaten could give josephs ride most to do