Boulder5111 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 I'm going to post lay selections on here whenever time allows, this is a LAY system with the following criteria : 1. Flat handicaps only (both turf and All Weather) in the UK 2. The maximum lay price is 13.0 (12/1) on the win market SP on Betfair 3. The starting bank is 250pts 4. Liability on each selection is 4% of the bank at the start of each day, however following a losing day the stake doesn't decrease, it remains the same as the last winning day 5. Results are recorded to Betfair SP less 5% commission Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 16, 2013 Author Share Posted July 16, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Day 1 - Tuesday 16/7/13 Liability on each of these is 10pts (250pt bank * 0.04 = 10pts) B2.45 Billyrayvalentine B3.00 Nashville B3.00 Tartan Jura B3.15 Faith Jicaro B3.45 Croquembouche B4.00 El Molino Blanco B4.15 Vincentti B4.30 Fame Again B4.45 Sulis Minerva B5.00 Hernando Torres K6.30 Hoonose Y6.50 Alfresco Y6.50 Sweet Talking Guy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 16, 2013 Author Share Posted July 16, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Results 10 from 11. Profit today is +14.85pts. B3.00 Nashville 4.6 +2.64 B3.00 Tartan Jura 4.79 +2.51 B3.15 Faith Jicaro 4.9 +2.44 B3.45 Croquembouche 2.49 +6.38 B4.00 El Molino Blanco 8.8 +1.22 B4.30 Fame Again 11.96 +0.87 B4.45 Sulis Minerva 3.9 +3.28 B5.00 Hernando Torres 6.7 +1.67 K6.30 Hoonose 7.4 +1.48 Y6.50 Alfresco 5.02 +2.36 Y6.50 Sweet Talking Guy 3.64 -10 New Bank is 264.85pts. New Liability is 10.59pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 17, 2013 Author Share Posted July 17, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Day 2 - Wednesday 17/7/13 Liability on each of these is 10.59pts L2.30 Sugar Coated L2.30 Uncle Bernie C2.40 Stoney Quine L3.00 Miss Tiger Lily Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 18, 2013 Author Share Posted July 18, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Results 3 from 4. Loss today is -5.99pts. L2.30 Sugar Coated 7.8 +1.48 L2.30 Uncle Bernie 11.0 +1.01 C2.40 Stoney Quine 7.64 +1.52 L3.00 Miss Tiger Lily 3.21 -10 Overall 13/15. Overall Profit = +8.86pts New Bank is 258.86pts. Liability stays at 10.59pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 18, 2013 Author Share Posted July 18, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Day 3 - Thursday 17/7/13 Liability on each of these is 10.59pts B2.50 Just Isla L3.40 Laughing Rock H4.00 Hawdyerwheesht B4.20 Aqua Ardens B4.50 Slatey Hen H5.00 Diddy Eric B5.20 Dark Lane B5.20 Cape of Hope E8.50 Khelac Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 18, 2013 Author Share Posted July 18, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System One more for today..... E8.50 Hawaiian Dream Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snoopdog Posted July 19, 2013 Share Posted July 19, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Boulder, What is the reasoning behind your lay selections? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 19, 2013 Author Share Posted July 19, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Hi Snoopdog - the selections are derived from a formula I've come up with based on stats and form. Having said that, yesterday was a shocker so I'm hoping for better today ! Results 4 from 7. Loss today is -18.20pts. B2.50 Just Isla 4.6 -10 H4.00 Hawdyerwheesht 6.54 -10 B4.20 Aqua Ardens 2.68 +5.99 B4.50 Slatey Hen 12.21 +0.90 H5.00 Diddy Eric 5.37 +2.30 B5.20 Dark Lane 1.82 -10 E8.50 Khelac 4.86 +2.61 Overall 17/22. Overall Loss = -9.34pts New Bank is 240.66pts. Liability stays at 10.59pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 19, 2013 Author Share Posted July 19, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Day 4 - Friday 19/7/13 Liability on each of these is 10.59pts H3.50 Red Baron N4.10 Take Two H4.25 Da Do Run Run N5.20 Admirals Walk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 20, 2013 Author Share Posted July 20, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Results 2 from 2. Profit today is +3.82pts. H3.50 Red Baron 5.48 +2.25 N5.20 Admirals Walk 7.40 +1.57 Overall 19/24. Overall Loss = -5.52pts New Bank is 244.48pts. Liability stays at 10.59pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 20, 2013 Author Share Posted July 20, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Day 5 - Saturday 20/7/13 Liability on each of these is 10.59pts R3.45 Contradict R3.45 Salutation R3.45 Fersah N3.50 Lilbourne Lass R4.55 Wadacre Sarko L5.30 Wise Venture H7.00 Rock A Doodle Doo H8.30 Jullandar L8.45 Chrissycross H9.00 Big Thunder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 22, 2013 Author Share Posted July 22, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Results 5 from 7. Loss today is -0.82pts. R3.45 Salutation 3.43 -10 R3.45 Fersah 3.20 +4.57 N3.50 Lilbourne Lass 5.04 +2.49 R4.55 Wadacre Sarko 2.62 +6.21 L5.30 Wise Venture 3.04 +4.93 H8.30 Jullundar 11.29 +0.98 H9.00 Big Thunder 2.2 -10 Overall 24/31. Overall Loss = -6.34pts New Bank is 243.66pts. Liability stays at 10.59pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 22, 2013 Author Share Posted July 22, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Day 6 - Monday 22/7/13 Liability on each of these is 10.59pts A3.05 Forrest Flyer A5.15 Hab Reeh B8.30 Attention Seaker B8.30 Crystal Mist B9.00 Six Wives Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 24, 2013 Author Share Posted July 24, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Results 4 from 5. Profit today is +3.96pts. A3.05 Forrest Flyer 2.63 +6.17 A5.15 Hab Reeh 5.40 +2.29 B8.30 Attention Seaker 4.98 -10.59 B8.30 Crystal Mist 6.23 +1.92 B9.00 Six Wives 3.41 +4.17 Overall 28/36. Overall Loss = -2.38pts* * I've just realised when doing this update that since the liability has been 10.59 since day 2, any losses should have been -10.59 but have been recorded at -10. There's 6 such instances so that's an extra loss of 3.54pts (6 * 0.59) making the corrected current loss -5.92pts. New Bank is 244.08pts. Liability stays at 10.59pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 24, 2013 Author Share Posted July 24, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Day 7 - Wednesday 24/7/13 Liability on each of these is 10.59pts C4.30 Windforpower C4.30 Laylas Hero C5.00 Amir Pasha C5.00 Strikemaster L7.15 Mankini L8.20 Red Paladin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 25, 2013 Author Share Posted July 25, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Just rushing to get these up, will update P/L later..... Day 8 - Thursday 25/07/13 Liability on each of these is 10.59pts S3.40 Ducab B3.50 Banreenahreenkah B4.25 Alzavola S4.50 Scottish Glen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted July 25, 2013 Author Share Posted July 25, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System a few more.... B5.00 Sonnetation Y5.10 Arch Walker Y5.10 Fit For a King D6.45 Uprise D6.45 Clubland Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted August 1, 2013 Author Share Posted August 1, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Results Catchup.... C4.30 Windforpower 7.00 +1.68 C4.30 Laylas Hero 4.00 +3.35 C5.00 Amir Pasha 6.08 +1.98 L7.15 Mankini 1.56 -10.59 S3.40 Ducab 4.2 +3.14 B4.25 Alzavola 1.51 -10.59 S4.50 Scottish Glen 10.0 +1.12 B5.00 Sonnetation 6.82 -10.59 Y5.10 Arch Walker 4.95 +2.55 Y5.10 Fit For a King 9.75 +1.15 D6.45 Uprise 5.52 +2.26 D6.45 Clubland 6.27 -10.59 8 from 12. Loss for these 2 days is -25.13pts. Overall 36/48. Overall Loss = -31.05pts New Bank is 218.95pts. Liability stays at 10.59pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted August 1, 2013 Author Share Posted August 1, 2013 Re: MAX13 - A Lay System Day 9 - Thursday 01/08/13 Liability on each of these is 10.59pts N4.30 Knight Owl N4.30 Aerodynamic N4.30 Not Rigg N5.00 Stellar Express N6.00 Frederick Alfred F7.15 Montaff F7.15 Sign Manual F7.15 Presto Volante F7.45 Sir Bedivere F7.45 Astra Hall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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