hornetsmad Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 After getting a little bored of "Trading Correct Scores", I'm going to try something a little different. This will mainly be laying on betfair, but occasionally backing with other bookies or even trading if I see an opportunity. Again, I will only post the bets that I believe to be "value". If for any reason you think I'm not getting value, please let me know. I'm starting with quite a big bank but will likely be withdrawing a lot of it as and when I can so as to retain profit. I may even withdraw funds after every bet, if I feel it necessary. Starting Bank: £110.00 Bet 1: Southampton versus Man Utd Lay Southamption @ 6.8 Liability £103.12 to win £17.78 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CookieMonzter75 Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value United havent started too well, and with Fergie kicking off with the FA releasing news about ashley youngs injury, all isnt well in the camp. Add to that losing the 1st game, struggling to a poor 3-2 win over Fulham (who got hammered yesterday 3-0) in the 2nd game, no rooney, citeh winning yesterday to heap even more pressure onto utd. Add to that Southampton played great in the 1st game at citeh when no expectations, yet struggled when they were expected to do well at home to wigan. Well they will be under no pressure today on southampton, so they can play freely, and freedom equals positive results generaly Also, laying home teams at odds bigger than 3 over the years is proven to failure. You may get away with this, but 6.8 could be WAY overpriced. Just saying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CookieMonzter75 Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value 6.8 looks BIG now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CookieMonzter75 Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Better now for you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 3, 2012 Author Share Posted September 3, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Phew, it appears I got away with one. Thanks for your comments CookieMonzter, when I looked at the price this morning I saw Southamption had gone to around 7.8 so I was pleased that I layed at shorter odds. As it turns out though, you were right, and I was lucky to win this bet in the end. Perhaps you could let me know what you think of my next bet? I'd love if this thread could spark some decent discussion. Bet 1: Southampton versus Man Utd Lay Southamption @ 6.8 Liability £103.12 to win £17.78 WON: Final Score: 2-3 Profit/Loss: £16.89 Current Bank: £126.89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 3, 2012 Author Share Posted September 3, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 2: Lens versus Angers Lay The Draw @ 3.2 Liability £67.06 to win £30.48 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CookieMonzter75 Posted September 3, 2012 Share Posted September 3, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value All I can say about that bet is that laying draws in notoriously low scoring french football is crazy! The price should tell you that. Your dodging bullets here son, and im not trying to be negative in any way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 3, 2012 Author Share Posted September 3, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Thanks for your comments, CookieMonzter. I'm not trying to be arrogant, but I feel that this must have been a good bet considering the final score? Please keep commenting as I am really interested in your advice and opinions. Bet 2: Lens versus Angers Lay The Draw @ 3.2 Liability £67.06 to win £30.48 WON: Final Score: 1-3 Profit/Loss: £28.96 Current Bank: £155.85 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CookieMonzter75 Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Was 2-1 to Angers and Lens were battering them for the last 10mins, could have levelled on several occasions before Angers made it 3-1 deep into stoppage time (94) as Lens had sent everyone forward, even the keeper. You got away with it, AGAIN :rollin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 4, 2012 Author Share Posted September 4, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 2: Hereford versus Woking Lay Woking @ 5.2 Liability £97.86 to win £23.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CookieMonzter75 Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value No comment on that muck, lol , good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 4, 2012 Author Share Posted September 4, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 3: Hereford versus Woking Lay Woking @ 5.2 Liability £97.86 to win £23.30 WON: Final Score: 2-1 Profit/Loss: £22.13 Current Bank: £177.98 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 4, 2012 Author Share Posted September 4, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value My next bet is on a match that doesn't take place for another few weeks, but I feel that with Zenit signing Hulk today, the price of them winning this match has dropped significantly enough to make this a value lay, and I want to get on it before the odds may rise again. Just a few days ago Zenit were trading at 3.1, so I feel I've got on at the right time here. Bet 4: Malaga versus Zenit St Petersburg Lay Zenit St Petersburg @ 2.82 Liability £45.99 to win £25.27 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CookieMonzter75 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value I agree with this one. Malaga have spent big, are at home, and russian teams traditionally dont do well in Spain. Also Zenit are in a sub standard russian league, so theyre current form is overestimated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 15, 2012 Author Share Posted September 15, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value As an update, the price for Zenit to win has drifted slightly again, just as I expected. They can now be laid at 2.92. This pleases me as it appears that I got on at the right time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CookieMonzter75 Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value They also got stuffed last night at home by Terek Grozny Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 18, 2012 Author Share Posted September 18, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 4: Malaga versus Zenit St Petersburg Lay Zenit St Petersburg @ 2.82 Liability £45.99 to win £25.27 WON: Final Score: 3-0 Profit/Loss: £24.01 Current Bank: £201.99 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 19, 2012 Author Share Posted September 19, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 5: Columbus versus Chivas USA Lay Chivas USA @ 8.383 Liability £165.82 to win £22.46 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 20, 2012 Author Share Posted September 20, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 5: Columbus versus Chivas USA Lay Chivas USA @ 8.383 Liability £165.82 to win £22.46 WON: Final Score: 1-0 Profit/Loss: £21.34 Current Bank: £223.33 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 20, 2012 Author Share Posted September 20, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 6: Werder Bremen versus Stuttgart Lay Werder Bremen @ 1.99 Liability £51.03 to win £51.55 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 23, 2012 Author Share Posted September 23, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 6: Werder Bremen versus Stuttgart Lay Werder Bremen @ 1.99 Liability £51.03 to win £51.55 WON: Final Score: 2-2 Profit/Loss: £48.97 Current Bank: £272.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 23, 2012 Author Share Posted September 23, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 7: Norwich versus Doncaster Lay Doncaster @ 7.2 Liability £238.45 to win £38.46 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CookieMonzter75 Posted September 24, 2012 Share Posted September 24, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Nice going :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 26, 2012 Author Share Posted September 26, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 7: Norwich versus Doncaster Lay Doncaster @ 7.2 Liability £238.45 to win £38.46 WON: Final Score: 1-0 Profit/Loss: £36.54 Current Bank: £308.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 26, 2012 Author Share Posted September 26, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 8: Juve Stabia versus Padova Lay The Draw @ 3.4 Liability £40.70 to win £16.96 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 29, 2012 Author Share Posted September 29, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 8: Juve Stabia versus Padova Lay The Draw @ 3.4 Liability £40.70 to win £16.96 WON: Final Score: 1-0 Profit/Loss: £16.11 Current Bank: £324.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 30, 2012 Author Share Posted September 30, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 9: Kaiserslautern versus Braunschweig Lay Kaiserslautern @ 2.32 Liability £32.71 to win £24.78 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 30, 2012 Author Share Posted September 30, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 9: Kaiserslautern versus Braunschweig Lay Kaiserslautern @ 2.32 Liability £32.71 to win £24.78 WON: Final Score: 1-1 Profit/Loss: £23.54 Current Bank: £348.49 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted September 30, 2012 Author Share Posted September 30, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 10: Stuttgart versus Leverkusen Lay Stuttgart @ 2.62 Liability £32.77 to win £20.23 Staying in Germany for my next bet, although this match doesn't take place until next Sunday. However, I strongly believe that this is another value bet and the Stuttgart price will rise throughout the week. Hopefully this will be another winner and I can make it ten in a row! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hornetsmad Posted October 7, 2012 Author Share Posted October 7, 2012 Re: Hornet's Hunting For Value Bet 10: Stuttgart versus Leverkusen Lay Stuttgart @ 2.62 Liability £32.77 to win £20.23 WON: Final Score: 2-2 Profit/Loss: £19.22 Current Bank: £367.71 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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