Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb

[staffy]

All bets with reasoning in here please. [TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR] [TH][/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Tuesday 31 January 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Barnsley v Derby County (19:45 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.37 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.2 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.77 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Hull City v Doncaster Rovers (19:45 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.6 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 6.8 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.21 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Ipswich Town v West Ham (19:45 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.2 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.7 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.02 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.34 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Leeds United v Birmingham City (19:45 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.82 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.45 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.75 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.81 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Millwall v Watford (19:45 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.12 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.95 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.90 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Nottingham Forest v Burnley (19:45 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.45 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.32 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Southampton v Cardiff City (19:45 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.92 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.7 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.4 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.84 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Blackpool v Coventry City (20:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.66 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.9 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 5.8 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.88 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Crystal Palace v Brighton & Hove Albion (20:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.32 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.45 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.39 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Wednesday 1 February 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Leicester City v Middlesbrough (19:45 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.2 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.45 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.75 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.11 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[mariobalotelli]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Hull City vs Doncaster Hull City (5th) Recent Home form: WWLWWL Doncaster Rovers (23rd) Recent Away Form: LLLLLL On home ground Hull City has won 8, drawn 0 and lost 5 matches. On away ground Doncaster Rovers has won 2, drawn 0 and lost 12 matches. They have the worst defensive record away from home in the championship having conceded 33 goals in 14 games (2.35 per game). I think that Doncaster lose again here too. Hull City (-1) @ 2.02 pinnacle

[mariobalotelli]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Crystal Palace -vs- Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton unbeaten in last six matches between the championship and FA Cup Cristal Palace won only one of their last six matches between the championship and FA Cup Two teams in different conditions. I think that Brighton can get some points here. Brighton & Hove Albion +1/4 @ 1.97 sbobet

[apoac]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb I disagree on brighton - my analysis was they unlucky against Cardiff in cup, and played a deliberately weakened side against Blackpool week before. Their luck likely to change against Brighton I suspect. I agree Brighton are a good team away though, just think palace will win home advantage and all Im calling this palace DNb myself. Not got the odds yet!

[apoac]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Ipswich v west ham Breaking cardinal rule of betting own team Ipswich at 3/1 (skybet) Ipswich in terrible form currently but suspect will turn it around against west ham. Reasoning is Ipswich always up their game against a top team. Leeds was a loss due to poor defense and giving the game away. Entire team had A week off to prepare. There will be a big crowd - and Ipswich always play better at night in these circumstances Rating 1/10. Ipswich. 3/1 2/10. DNb Ipswich 2.60

[Kumanovac]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Although I got burned by Blackpool's 1:1 this weekend, I'm taking them this round too. They play nice football, have quality players and against a weak Coventry side which in addition lost its best striker Jutkiewicz, I think they can win it. Blackpool HW @1,72 at local bookie Since Burnley is in a downtrend, maybe it is wise to try Nottingham, but I would like to hear some opinion from guys that watch them every weekend.

[RedDevil92]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Doncaster striker Sharp is having his medical to join the Saints. Big loss for Doncaster and I doubt they can do anything, Hull has a good team. Doncaster won just 2 matches away from home, and in the others they were defeated. Hull AH-0,75 seems to be a good bet with small stakes. GL

[MPLouis]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Leeds v Birmingham According to their respective home and away form this season, Leeds should be firm favourites here, but Birmingham's odds are slightly shorter. It certainly looks as though there is value 'opposing' Birmingham at odds of around 2.6 (i.e. laying them on an exchange or backing the Leeds +0.5 or +0.25 handicap). Nottingham Forest v Burnley Here, from their records, Burnley should be firm favourites, but Forest are the shorter odds. So I think there is value in opposing Forest at 2.5. Reading the report of Forest's last game, a 2-1 away defeat at West Ham, they seemed to play well. But reports suggest they have been very poor in other games.

[maliniok]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Are you taking those bets? If so what bookmakers and at what odds? Can you give your stats and your estimate of what the odds should be (i.e. What makes you think that your suggestions are value)? I am not taking any bets in the Championship this midweek. I know that Birmingham are bad away from home but Leeds are simply too inconsistent for me to back them at the moment. Hull should beat Donny but I like to take bets with the safety bracket of DNB and odds for those are too low. Anyway, good to hear your views.

[MPLouis]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb

Are you taking those bets? If so what bookmakers and at what odds? Can you give your stats and your estimate of what the odds should be (i.e. What makes you think that your suggestions are value)? I am not taking any bets in the Championship this midweek. I know that Birmingham are bad away from home but Leeds are simply too inconsistent for me to back them at the moment. Hull should beat Donny but I like to take bets with the safety bracket of DNB and odds for those are too low. Anyway' date=' good to hear your views.[/quote'] Good questions maliniok. This is a quick way I work out some idea of what the relative home/away odds should be based on home/away form so far this season. I think it's important to differentiate between home and away form, as these tend to be different - Leeds v Birmingham Leeds at home: w7/d2/l4 Birmingham away: w3/d3/l7 Adding the two sets of figures together: 14/5/7 So, on form so far, I reckon there is a 14/26 = 54% chance of a home win, and a 7/26 = 27% chance of an away win. These translate to decimal odds of: Leeds 1.85 (1/0.54) Birmingham 3.7 (1/0.27) The key thing here is that a Leeds win is rated twice as likely as a Birmingham win. But the current odds for Leeds are higher than Birmingham's. Nottingham Forest v Burnley The same method as above gives these odds - 3/2/9 7/0/6 9/2/16 Forest 3.0 Burnley 1.69 These odds are distorted by the fact that the teams have only had 2 draws between them. But the key thing is to compare the odds for the two teams, and a Burnley win is rated nearly twice as likely as a Forest win. Source for statistics: http://uk.soccerway.com/national/england/championship/2011-2012/regular-season/ Obviously, this is only based on season's form so far, and as we know form can change very quickly. But it is a useful starting point I think and can help identify possible value.

[aerodinamic]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Hull vs Doncaster FH for Hull city 2.05 with sportingbet Hull will set to continue their championship run over Doncaster, who are well known for conceding lots of goals on the road. Doncaster has lots of problems outside the fields such as their stadium and the resignation of part of their board of directors and I guess they will not be focused enough for this game. Strenght: 7/10 Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Here I like the odds on the away side - 2.85 with sportingbet. Forest has been unlucky to take none of the three points last game against West Ham. Their home record is 3-2-9 meaning they lose 65% of their home games. Forest has not scored a single goal at home since 19th November and I expect this tendency to continue or I suspect them to score a goal at best. Burnley are good at counterattack and last time they won at Middlesbrough using exactly this tactics. Also Burnley will be looking for a double over their opponent after 5:1 last year. I favour the guests to take all the three points. Strenght: 6/10 Millwall vs Watford These are two teams that I do not know very much but I place my bet on the current form and results. I go for the home win here as they are on fire recently. Scored 9 goals in 3 matches (5 vs D&R) while 6 of them were scored by Henderson.Furthermore on their last FA cup game they drawn against Southempton but they've made 15 attempts on/off target while the Saints threatened them only on four occasions. Watford on the other hand does not have the greatest start of the year waiting to win their first point. They do not tend to score much on the road holding a record of 2-5-6. Millwall are strong home side having won 20 of the total amount of 29 league points from their home games. Only thing that concerns me is that Millwall has played 3 games in a row in an unchanged squad and some substitutions might be made. Although I count on the recent form and back the home side @ 2.10 with sportingbet. Strenght: 4/10 Barnsley vs Derby Here I think Derby will lose for the second time in a row after the defeat against Stoke. They will definitely rest most of the players tryng to keep them fresh for the local derby against Nottingham Forest at the end of the week. Barnsley had 10 day to prepare for this game and I expect them to be focesed enough. After the defeat at home 1-3 to Millwall they've made some new signing and I expect them to come and play motivated in the upcoming match. Barnsley has a home record of 6-2-6 but has not kept a clean sheet in the last 10 matches. HW @ 2.30 with sportingbet. Strenght: 3/10

[maliniok]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Thanks. I use exactly the same method to calculate value. And so do bookies (although I think they have a bigger bank of stats than just current season). When you see one team's odds as overestimated as Leeds are I become cautious. I mean: stats give Leeds 54% chance of winning whether the bookies give them just 35%. Where' the discrepancy from? Did you see team news? Did they have a plague up there in Yorkshire or something? ;)

[MPLouis]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb

Thanks. I use exactly the same method to calculate value. And so do bookies (although I think they have a bigger bank of stats than just current season). When you see one team's odds as overestimated as Leeds are I become cautious. I mean: stats give Leeds 54% chance of winning whether the bookies give them just 35%. Where' the discrepancy from? Did you see team news? Did they have a plague up there in Yorkshire or something? ;)

All very good questions. Another one is - why should experienced bookmakers give you a price that is clearly wrong? But I suppose occasionally they do. I think these stats can only be used as the basis for possible good value bets. I think perhaps another factor is where the money from backer will go - the bookmaker will adjust their odds accordingly as far as I know.

[winbet]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Nottm Forest v Burnley (pick Burnley best priced 21/10 @ betvictor) opposing my own team here, well they are rubbish.. just sold our best defender to Leicester, our other experienced centre back is suspended; which basically leaves us with just one first team centre back in lynch, who has about 50 games experience in this division & about 70 in leagues 1 & 2. partnering Lynch is likely to be a makeshift defender in Moussi. Moussi is really a centre mid, and in defence he gets exposed quite easily.. Our only club left back who is a loanee (cunningham) may not be back from injury; though he'll have to play whether fit or not cos no one else can fill in.. We have no fit wingers, Reid doesn't count as he is wide but can't really play wide. We do have about 7 central midfielders to choose from (including new loanee Guedioura) & about 7 strikers, but the only one who knows where the back of the net is is our wonder kid Bamford. Despite Bamford scoring 8 goals in the FA Youth Cup against Wigan & Southampton recently, Cotternil says he is not ready for first team action.., whilst Forest have no defence, we also barely score any goals, & haven't scored a goal at home since 19th November... Forest home league record this season sees 9 defeats out of 14, whilst Burnley have won 7 out of 13 away from home this season. Oh and last 5 h2h's read: burnley 5-0 forest forest 2-0 burnley burnley 1-0 forest burnley 5-0 forest forest 1-2 burnley

[winbet]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb just a few pointers on the brum v leeds match guys; brum are the form team in the championship hence the odds. Taking last 6 league games into account, leeds have only picked up 7 points, while Birmingham have picked up 16. So it's a no bet for me... Taken from bbc website: Birmingham City • The seventh-placed Blues are top of the Championship's "form" table, and are unbeaten in nine league and cup games, of which the last five have been won. • Chris Hughton's side, who'll be visiting Chelsea in the FA Cup, have racked up 14 points from the last 18 available, and are one of three clubs on a three-match winning run currently in the Championship. • They have scored 14 goals in four games, while not conceding any (all comps). • Birmingham are chasing a sixth win in seven league and cup games against Leeds, and three in a row. Meanwhile Leeds have picked up seven points out of nine following a three-match losing sequence, to leave them three points outside the play-offs.

[SALVO7ITALY]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb You will have to be careful here because Hull lost on the weekend to lower opposition (Crawley) in the FA Cup. So could be better value for money on Doncaster result because of Hulls FA Cup result.

Hull City vs Doncaster Hull City (5th) Recent Home form: WWLWWL Doncaster Rovers (23rd) Recent Away Form: LLLLLL On home ground Hull City has won 8, drawn 0 and lost 5 matches. On away ground Doncaster Rovers has won 2, drawn 0 and lost 12 matches. They have the worst defensive record away from home in the championship having conceded 33 goals in 14 games (2.35 per game). I think that Doncaster lose again here too. Hull City (-1) @ 2.02 pinnacle

[dj rob]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb

Since Burnley is in a downtrend' date=' maybe it is wise to try Nottingham, but I would like to hear some opinion from guys that watch them every weekend.[/quote'] Is Burnley in a downtrend? Don´t think so. Seen over last 10 matches they only lost twice and their last defeat in the league vs. Leeds was a little bit unlucky (two late goals). They had a bad start but improved and went up from 21. position to 12. In general Burnley is dangerous away (7-0-6) and it wouldn´t surprise me if they took all points vs. Nottingham who have scoring problems. Last game away they beat Boro. Think the value is on Burnley seen from a statistical point of view (form, home, away). What puts me off a little bit is the fact that recent H2H shows many home wins for either side. So a medium stake might be recommendable (but still the biggest bet I played for today). Burnley 3.1 Pinnacle 4/10

[korzychxp]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb why odds on Nottingham are dropping?

[Simao BVB]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb

You will have to be careful here because Hull lost on the weekend to lower opposition (Crawley) in the FA Cup. So could be better value for money on Doncaster result because of Hulls FA Cup result.

Hull played with really mixed squad and at least 7 players who will start today did not against Crawley in FA Cup. So that's indication that Hull takes Championship much more seriously. Doncaster just sold their best attacker Billy Sharp to Southampton, because they have financial problems. His missing is a blow for sure. Good luck

[sportxtipster]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Ipswich vs West Ham United West Ham is going in this match decided to win all the points. Ipswich has quality players, but the chemistry is not at all something brilliant there. west Ham are targeting to remain on the first spot and will come to win. The from is with the West Ham as they have already won in Portsmouth after 3 defeats and 1 draw. West Ham @ 2.05 with Ladbrokes

[sportxtipster]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Nottingham Forest vs Burnley The reconstruction that Nottingham Forest wanted to do it in the summer is seen now: total disaster. A team that is unable to win a match and concedes a lot of goals. Burnley are in form as for me seems if they were able to win against Boro. The draw with Derby at home is also a good result as Derby are in a good period this season. Expect a good match for Burnley and at least 1 point! a+0.25 AH @ 1.78 with Pinnacle Sports

[sportxtipster]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Leeds vs Birmingham Away side is in a fantastic form and will go away, to an unpredictable team. Birmingham are solid, have 9 matches without a defeat, already reached a position very close to the Play Offs and now will target at least one draw. Despite the fact they have 7 defeats in last 13 matches, Birmingham is solid, achieved this position, they want to stay in touch with the Play Off area and will treat extremely serious this match! away 0 AH @ 1.88 with Pinnacle Sports

[sportxtipster]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Crystal Palace vs Brighton Palace will want to forget that defeat they suffered in Cardiff. Brighton is full of confidence, but will sweat seriously tonight in London as the home side looks for the win. I think this match is too tough to call for a win for one side of another. Both sides are looking good, but I have a great feeling that Brighton is going to make their first draw today on an away match! Expect a draw @ 3.30 with Coral

[wisey10]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Forest v Burnley + 0.25 @ 1.80 bet365 (8 points) Burnley -1 (AH) @ 5.25 (2points) Im not sure why forest should be on a minus handicap against anyone at the moment.they can't score so therefore they can't win games. They have won just 1 game from their last 12 and have the worst home record in the league. How can they be made favourites on those stats? Throw into the mix that they have just sold their key defender wes Morgan and have no money to spend themselves and things look grim. Burnley on the other hand are in fine form. They have one of the best away records in the division, create more goal scoring opportunities than any other side in the league and have won 7 of their last 10 championship games. I really fancy Burnley tonight and I'm amazed that they are on a + handicap. Max bet for me.

[dangelove1]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb I am thinking to back the visitors in this match Blackpool v Coventry City 2 DNB odds 4.00 @ sportingbet or +1 Coventry City odds 2.25 @ sportingbet. Coventry away for is awfull 12 games ( 9 defeats (6 defeats in a raw )and 3 draws ) 6:21 GD , but on other hand they have 3 wins in a row as a home side ( the last one against Boro (2nd) with CS 3:1 ) this sound to me that they are not so weak at all and just someting misses them to win as a visitors. Balckpool had a FA midweek game wich ended draw. They might be tired .

[MPLouis]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb

Leeds v Birmingham According to their respective home and away form this season, Leeds should be firm favourites here, but Birmingham's odds are slightly shorter. It certainly looks as though there is value 'opposing' Birmingham at odds of around 2.6 (i.e. laying them on an exchange or backing the Leeds +0.5 or +0.25 handicap). Nottingham Forest v Burnley Here, from their records, Burnley should be firm favourites, but Forest are the shorter odds. So I think there is value in opposing Forest at 2.5. Reading the report of Forest's last game, a 2-1 away defeat at West Ham, they seemed to play well. But reports suggest they have been very poor in other games.

Results: Leeds 1 Birmingham 4 Forest 0 Burnley 2 I ended up backing Burnley and leaving Leeds alone, because Burnley's odds were higher. Lucky for me that the team with the higher odds ended up winning, but perhaps there is also a lesson that the value if roughly the same with two bets, it makes sense to choose the one with the higher odds. (Sounds simple, but easy to do it the other way if you convince yourself that your choice can't really lose.). I actually laid Forest on Betfair, and also backed the Burnley clean sheet at 3.75. I don't like clean sheet bets, but this seemed crazy value as everyone knows Forest hardly ever score. Should have been odds-on really instead of nearly 3/1 :) I haven't seen match reports on either game, but according to BBC Radio Five Live, Leeds had plenty of chances in their game and perhaps should have won. I'm fairly happy that both bets were good value.

[apoac]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Excellent day for me - Palace bet DNB'ed out safe. Ipswich won with style as expected for a nice return on both the DNB and the outright win bet. May have been first win since 1978, but was quite predictable if you'd seen how the team played in the last 3 games (despite the losses, most were down to individual errors by Ipswich, not class by the other teams, which were not present today) - West Ham clearly hadn't and were totally unprepared in midfield for Martin and Hyam..

[Jase82]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb

Results: Lucky for me that the team with the higher odds ended up winning, but perhaps there is also a lesson that the value if roughly the same with two bets, it makes sense to choose the one with the higher odds. (Sounds simple, but easy to do it the other way if you convince yourself that your choice can't really lose.). I actually laid Forest on Betfair, and also backed the Burnley clean sheet at 3.75. I don't like clean sheet bets, but this seemed crazy value as everyone knows Forest hardly ever score. Should have been odds-on really instead of nearly 3/1 :)

It has little to do with what you suggest, but more a case that the higher odds require a lower strike rate in order to attain a respectable ROI. And have you considered the possibility that Leeds were poor value given Birmingham's strengths, and didn't they just sell Johnny Howson? The first part of that sentence doesn't make sense to me either because the 'value' is a punters own estimate, and the likelihood is that the lower the odds the smaller margin there is, which means that the estimated 'value' can't be the same. Personally I think that sort of thinking just leads to taking larger odds, just because, which is a huge punters trap IMO. Please don't after event either ;)

[MPLouis]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb

It has little to do with what you suggest' date=' but more a case that the higher odds require a lower strike rate in order to attain a respectable ROI. And have you considered the possibility that Leeds were poor value given Birmingham's strengths, and didn't they just sell Johnny Howson? The first part of that sentence doesn't make sense to me either because the 'value' is a punters own estimate, and the likelihood is that the lower the odds the smaller margin there is, which means that the estimated 'value' can't be the same. Personally I think that sort of thinking just leads to taking larger odds, just because, which is a huge punters trap IMO. Please don't after event either ;)[/quote'] Sorry Jase, but I only half understand your point. Maybe you can explain it a different way using an example? When you say 'don't after event', you mean don't refer to bets that I didn't mention before an event - although it might be satisfying for me, I guess it could frustrate or annoy others - so OK - sorry.

[Nervous Anorak]

Re: Midweek > England > Championship > 31st Jan/1st Feb Hi, my first posting on this site, hopefully this tip being a winning selection : Leicester v Middlesbrough - Wednesday Night I saw the Sunderland Mbro FA Cup game on Sunday and have to say Bro performed very well in what was an excellent game. The last highlights of Leic I saw was their 4-0 win over Forest, which is hardly anything itself on which to base anyones form ! Leic have not conceded in their last three performances, the other two of these being against an out of form Southampton side and lower league opposition Swindon in the FA Cup. Mbro looked so confident at Sunderland that I expect them to break Leicesters three clean sheets run. There's been at least one goal in the first half of the last 10 league games Leicester have played, and in that sequence a high percentage had two or more. The earlier meeting this season at Mbro between these two finished 0-0, however at the time Mbro went three consecutive 0-0 games. The last time this fixture was played at Leicester, guess what, 0-0. So in summary, I don't anticipate a Leicester win, recent form suggests both teams to be capable of scoring but we do have two 0-0's from their recent meetings to consider. My tip therefore is : Leicester Not To Win : Lay Odds on Betfair @ 2.06 at the time of writing. There may be a better value option on the Asian Handicap, perhaps someone with a bit more knowledge in that market could respond. Thanks A Winning Selection : Final Score 2-2