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Everything posted by wisey10

  1. Aston Villa b Swansea: Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.40 VCBet Two sides in poor form and I think it's fair to say both managers are under pressure. For those reasons the market suggests that this is likely to be a low scoring game. I think the odds on the overs are too big though. Both sides have to view this as a winnable match and should look to take the game to the other. If we see a break through in the first half you've got to think the manager of the losing side will have to really go for it and I can see this developing into an open game. It's a tricky game to pick a winner in but at the odds avai
  2. Palace v West Brom: Both Teams to score @ 2.00 Betfred The stats on this one probably indicate a low scoring, tight game but I fancy both sides to find the net. At home, Palace have only drawn a blank against a Man City side who were in top form. No doubt Pulis will come to keep it tight against his old club but I think the Eagles will create enough chances to get on the score sheet. The Baggies have shipped 6 in their last 2 matches (albeit one in league cup) and away at a decent Palace side they could have their work cut out again. I do however think they could be in the goals as well though
  3. Ipswich @ 2.10 Betfred Mick Mcarthy has done a great job at Ipswich and his home record with the Tractor Boys is outstanding. After a good start they haven't won in their last two home games but I expect them to get back to business as usual against a Bristol side struggling at the bottom of the table. You can't really argue at odds against for a team in the top 6 playing a newly promoted side in the bottom 6. I would have expected to see the home side around 1.85 so they look a solid bet on my calculations.
  4. Hull -0.25 @ 1.85 Bet365 I can't quite work out why Hull are such a good price here. They've got strong home form where they are unbeaten and have conceded just 2 goals whilst Blackburn are winless on the road. I was expecting about 1.90 on the home win so to get -0.25 at just a bit shorter it jumps out as value. It's a Tigers win for me.
  5. Well of course it is! I'd say the value was all on Stoke but it's all about opinions. Good luck.
  6. Stoke -1 (AH) @ 3.90 Bet365 Stoke and Both teams to score @ 5.00 Stoke look too big a price due to their poor start and Bournemouth are getting much respect in the markets for a newly promoted side. The problem with Stoke is the centre halves and a lack of balance in the side. They've got numerous options in the attacking half but are missing a quality midfield destroyer who can tighten things up and protect the defence. The potters are still winless and are managing to put a good 45 minutes together but not a full game. For my money though, it's just a matter of time until things click int
  7. Chelsea -0.25 5 points @ 2.10 Bet365 Newcastle -0.25 5 Points @ 2.075 Bet365 Stoke -0.25 5 Points @ 2.075 Bet365 I'm grouping these bets and giving short reasoning for a simple reason. The three home sides are in poor form but think they all have a good chance of picking up the three points. Once the season has settled down, I would expect to to see these odds on them in these fixtures for the straight win. With half stakes returned in the event of the draw, I think they all represent decent value. Traditionally, Arsenal aren't great on the road against top 4 opposition. Yes Chelsea have had
  8. Stoke to be relegated: 2 Points @ 15.00 Bet365 As a Stoke fan, it's not the easiest pick and by no means am I saying that I expect the Potters to be relegated. I don't. However, this price is just too big. I shall explain why. We made a massive amount of progress last season and the last match of the season saw a deserved 6-1 win against Liverpool and everything was looking rosy. Steven Nzonzi was man of the match that day. In fact, he was also player of the season and man of the match in a number of games. So my first point is that the loss of him this pre season cannot be underestimated.
  9. This forum is now almost unviewable on my Pad. So I'm not inclined to post all my views. Agree about Palace. Stoke look big odds for relegation. I've got a lot to say for what it's worth but on this format I don't think it's worthwhile!
  10. Re: Ante-Post > Championship 2014/15 Winner CongratulationBournemouth on a fantastic season and in making me a few bob in the process!
  11. Re: Sky Bet Championhip > October 24th - 25th Sheff Wed +0.25 v Norwich @ 1.90 Bet365 (3 Points) Taking a chance on Wednesday to avoid defeat here as I think this should be a level ball (DNB) handicap. Both sides are a little short of form at the moment and Wednesday particularly need to improve at home. Norwich will continue to create plenty of chances and remain a big danger but they are failing to make their chances count too often. Wednesday were outplayed and well beat in their last home match, losing 3-0 to Watford. They followed that up with a better performance and clean shee
  12. Re: Southampton v Stoke City > Saturday October 25th Stoke +1 (AH) @ 1.85 Bet365 (3 Points) Geoff Cameron Anytime Goalscorer @ 19.00 PaddyPower (1 Point) Im either brave or stupid backing against Southampton in their current form but ultimately their price is too short here and as such I shall be backing Stoke on the handicap. Stoke really haven't quite hit form yet and things just aren't quite clicking like they were towards the end of last season. But it's not a million miles away from happening and once it does they should hit some real form. Southampton on the other hand are alre
  13. Re: Sky Bet Championhip > October 24th - 25th Leeds +0.25 v Wolves @ 1.95 Bet365 (4 Points) Leeds might not be impressing too much this season but the fact is, their home record isn't actually too bad and they've only lost 1/6 at Elland Road. It's funny times there at the moment but they do have some decent players. Wolves look far too short here and I've got to oppose them. Whilst Leeds have only lost 1 at home, Wolves have only won 1/6 away. Now fair enough, they've drawn in 4 of those so they aren't easy to beat either. But it's Leeds who are gaining the positive handicap on this lin
  14. Re: Sky Bet Championhip > October 24th - 25th Ipswich -0.5 v Huddersfield @ 2.025 Bet365 (4 Points) Ipswich have got really strong home form with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss out of 6. Their fine home form continues from last season and PortmanRoad isn't an easy place to go for anybody. Huddersfield's form has dramatically improved since Chris Powell took over but this match is arguably his toughest yet. So far they've lost 3 and drawn 1 of their 6 away games (winning 2) It's not too bad a record but ultimately I think anything at evens or above on the Tractor Boys is worth taking. I expe
  15. Re: Sky Bet Championhip > October 24th - 25th Brighton v Rotherham @ 1.90 WillHill (4 Points) Sometimes you can't back bets up with hard stats and this is one of those occasions. On paper Brighton are too short and they are in shocking form having only won 1 home game all season. I've opposed them a few times this sesason as they keep getting over rated. They just aren't the same side they have been the last couple of seasons; Ulloa is a massive loss and they haven't replaced him. Their strikers have 1 goal between them and that was from Mackail-Smith who is out injured. The two new st
  16. Re: Sky Bet Championhip > October 24th - 25th Middlesbrough v Watford +0.5 @ 1.90 Bet365 (4 Points) Boro look a bit short here considering they are up against one of the best sides in the league. Boro's home record is surprisingly average having won just 3 out of 6. They are up against a Hornet's side who have lost just 2 away and they earned a fine 3-0 win in their last match on the road against Sheff Wednesday. I was expecting to see a 0.25 handicap in this match and on that basis Boro are worth opposing at a price that just looks too short against quality opposition. I'm backing Wat
  17. Re: Sky Bet Championhip > October 24th - 25th Nottm Forest -0.25 v Blackburn @ 1.90 Bet365 (4 Points) Forest's unbeaten record has finally gone but they still remain very tough to beat. They've got a strong home record with 3 wins and 3 draws from 6. It's actually 7 games since their last victory but they have only lost 1 game in that run. I expect Pearce to go 442 in this game as he really needs to go for the 3 points and I think they have a good chance of getting them against an average Blackburn side who have been struggling for goals recently. Blackburns away form isnt anything to
  18. Re: Wisey's Asian Handicapping Round 5 Selections: Championship: Charlton +0.5 @ 2.10 (2 Points) Birmingham +0.5 @ 1.875 Rotherham + 0.5 @ 1.875 (2 Points) Leeds + 0.25 @ 1.925 Watford +0.5 @ 1.90 Forest -0.25 @1.90 Blackpool + 0.75 @ 2.00 (2 Points) Sheff Wed + 0.25 @ 1.85 8 bets, 11 Points staked League 1: Barnsley +0.25 @ 2.10 Crewe + 0.5 @ 2.025 Fleetwood +0.75 @ 2.025 Notts County + 0 @ 2.05 Colchester +0.75 @ 1.80 5 bets, 5 Points staked League 2: Luton -0.25 @ 1.825 Plymouth -0.25 @ 1.975 Burton +0 @ 1.90 Morecambe -0.25 @ 2.0 4 Bets, 4 points staked
  19. Re: Wisey's Asian Handicapping Combined Totals: Starting Bank: 300 Current Bank: 310.31 p/L + 10.31 Total Staked: 107 Yield: 9.63 %
  20. Re: Wisey's Asian Handicapping Staked: 7 Return: 9.325 P/L + 2.325 New Balance: 110.6 League 2 Doing the business again.
  21. Re: Wisey's Asian Handicapping Staked: 7 Points Return: 10.9 P/L: + 3.9 New Balance: 98.225
  22. Re: Wisey's Asian Handicapping Staked: 13 Return: 14.125 P/L + 1.125 New Balance: 101.4875
  23. Re: Wisey's Asian Handicapping League 2, Round 4: Burton +0 @ 1.825 Morecambe +0 @ 2.025 (2 Points) Newport +0 @ 1.85 Northampton -0.25 @ 2.025 Mansfield + 0.25 @ 1.85 Luton -0.5 @ 1.80 6 bets, 7 Points
  24. Re: Wisey's Asian Handicapping League 1, Round 4 Selections: Notts County +0.25 @ 1.925 Bradford +0.75 @ 2.025 Crawley + 0 @ 2.05 (2 Points) Crewe + 0.75 @ 1.825 Doncaster + 0 @ 2.00 (2 Points) 5 Bets, 7 Points Staked
  25. Re: Wisey's Asian Handicapping Championship Round 4 Selections: Blackpool + 0.75 @ 1.975 (2Points) Reading +0.75 @ 1.925 (2 Points) Ipswich +0.25 @ 1.825 Charlton -0.25 @ 1.975 (2 Points) Huddersfield +0 @ 2.00 Leeds +1 @ 2.10 (2 Points) Rotherham + 0 @ 1.95 (2 Points) Milwall +0.5 @ 1.975 8 bets, 13 Points staked
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