Xtc12 Posted December 18, 2014 Author Share Posted December 18, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Lochnagar 13.20 Exeter 4 Pts Win @ 2.63 (bog) Fairly useful on the Flat in Germany and much improved over hurdles when winning at Uttoxeter on handicap debut 9 days ago, by 9 lengths from Wordy's Boy (eased down). Big player despite 7 lb penalty. Unseated Rider soon led, went left 2nd, blundered and unseated rider next Bets 26 Wins 15 Total Bet 158 Total Won 155.88 Loss 2.12 SR 57.69% ROI -1.34% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 19, 2014 Author Share Posted December 19, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Milansbar 13.45 Uttoxeter 5 Pts Win @ Evs (bog) Clearly isn't the easiest to train, but unbeaten in 2 starts for this yard (formely with Henrietta Knight) landing a maiden at Folkestone and 2½m handicap here 10 days ago following 2 years off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Tarlan 12.10 Newcastle 5 Pts Win @ 2.75 (bog) Point winner who was a promising second in a Kelso novice hurdle back in November 2011. Proved he retains his ability when third on belated return at Perth in June, but off a further 6 months since. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Milansbar 13.45 Uttoxeter 5 Pts Win @ Evs (bog) Clearly isn't the easiest to train, but unbeaten in 2 starts for this yard (formely with Henrietta Knight) landing a maiden at Folkestone and 2½m handicap here 10 days ago following 2 years off. 1st @ 2.25 made all, drew clear on bit from 4 out, unchallenged, heavily eased flat Tarlan 12.10 Newcastle 5 Pts Win @ 2.75 (bog) Point winner who was a promising second in a Kelso novice hurdle back in November 2011. Proved he retains his ability when third on belated return at Perth in June, but off a further 6 months since. 3rd led, joined 7th, headed after 4 out, 3rd and weakened approaching next, tailed off Bets 28 Wins 16 Total Bet 168 Total Won 167.13 Loss 0.87 SR 57.14% ROI -0.52% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 21, 2014 Author Share Posted December 21, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Bon Chic 13.30 Fakenham 6 Pts Win @ 1.73 (bog) Similar form first 4 starts in bumpers, and stepped up to score at Punchestown (2m) in October. Joined shrewd new yard, and one to consider on hurdles bow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 21, 2014 Author Share Posted December 21, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Bon Chic 13.30 Fakenham 6 Pts Win @ 1.73 (bog) Similar form first 4 starts in bumpers, and stepped up to score at Punchestown (2m) in October. Joined shrewd new yard, and one to consider on hurdles bow. 3rd pressed winner, ridden 2 out, held when not fluent last, no extra and lost 2nd towards finish Bets 29 Wins 16 Total Bet 174 Total Won 167.13 Loss 6.87 SR 55.17% ROI -3.95% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Stone Lights 13.00 Bangor 7 Pts Win @ Evs (bog) Winner in France on debut who got off the mark over fences at the third time of asking for this yard in a 3-runner event at Warwick in March. Shaped encouragingly at Ascot on return and considered. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Stone Lights 13.00 Bangor 7 Pts Win @ Evs (bog) Winner in France on debut who got off the mark over fences at the third time of asking for this yard in a 3-runner event at Warwick in March. Shaped encouragingly at Ascot on return and considered. Pulled Up shared 2nd behind clear leader, not fluent 8th, closed before 10th, something amiss after 4 out and soon pulled up Bets 30 Wins 16 Total Bet 181 Total Won 167.13 Loss 13.87 SR 53.33% ROI -7.66% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 26, 2014 Author Share Posted December 26, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Delgany Demon 12.15 Huntingdon 8 Pts Win @ 1.17 (bog) Landed a 2m heavy-ground bumper at Towcester on Boxing Day last year and off mark at third time of asking over hurdles in 3m Southwell novice earlier this month. Excellent chance to follow up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 27, 2014 Author Share Posted December 27, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Delgany Demon 12.15 Huntingdon 8 Pts Win @ 1.17 (bog) Landed a 2m heavy-ground bumper at Towcester on Boxing Day last year and off mark at third time of asking over hurdles in 3m Southwell novice earlier this month. Excellent chance to follow up. 2nd not fluent at times, tracked leaders, hit 6th, ridden to chase winner approaching 2 out, not fluent last, driven and stayed on flat, always looked held Notonebuttwo 15.15 Wetherby 9 Pts Win @ 3.25 (bog) Proved as good as ever when winning over hurdles/fences at Newcastle last month. Hasn't gone up by as far as might have been expected and bound to go close again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 28, 2014 Author Share Posted December 28, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Oorayvic 15.00 Catterick 7 pts Win @ 2.88 (bog) Built on previous promise over fences when gamely getting the job done over 19f at this venue earlier in the month. Remains of interest off revised mark, but drop down in trip possibly not ideal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 28, 2014 Author Share Posted December 28, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Notonebuttwo 15.15 Wetherby 9 Pts Win @ 3.25 (bog) Proved as good as ever when winning over hurdles/fences at Newcastle last month. Hasn't gone up by as far as might have been expected and bound to go close again. 1st @ 3.25 tracked leaders on inside, led briefly 4 out, hit next, ridden to lead after 2 out, held on gamely under pressure flat Oorayvic 15.00 Catterick 7 pts Win @ 2.88 (bog) Built on previous promise over fences when gamely getting the job done over 19f at this venue earlier in the month. Remains of interest off revised mark, but drop down in trip possibly not ideal. 1st @ 3.0 Bets 33 Wins 18 Total Bet 205 Total Won 215.13 Profit 10.13 SR 54.55% ROI 4.94% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 29, 2014 Author Share Posted December 29, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Top Notch 12.30 Newbury 3 Pts Win @ 2.0 (bog) Won both starts in France for Guillaume Macaire in the spring. Clearly a very interesting runner on first outing for new connections, but will need to be smart to concede 10 lb to Mick Jazz. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 29, 2014 Author Share Posted December 29, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Top Notch 12.30 Newbury 3 Pts Win @ 2.0 (bog) Won both starts in France for Guillaume Macaire in the spring. Clearly a very interesting runner on first outing for new connections, but will need to be smart to concede 10 lb to Mick Jazz. 1st @ 2.38 held up in 5th, closer order tracking leaders 4 out, pushed along before 2 out, challenged in 2nd at the last, led run-in, ridden out Bets 34 Wins 19 Total Bet 208 Total Won 222.27 Profit 14.27 SR 55.88% ROI 6.86% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 30, 2014 Author Share Posted December 30, 2014 Re: Short Priced Favs Maria's Choice 13.00 Taunton 3 Pts Win @ 3.00 (bog) Fairly useful on Flat for Alan McCabe and improved effort over hurdles when second on Plumpton handicap bow at the start of this month. McCoy retains ride and potential for better given Flat ability. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 1, 2015 Author Share Posted January 1, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Racing Europe 14.15 Catterick 2 Pts Win @ 1.4 (bog) Bought for £120,000 after winning the second of 2 starts in Irish maiden points and posted useful effort to win a 17f Bangor bumper in November. Good second on hurdles bow (19f), and the one to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 1, 2015 Author Share Posted January 1, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Maria's Choice 13.00 Taunton 3 Pts Win @ 3.00 (bog) Fairly useful on Flat for Alan McCabe and improved effort over hurdles when second on Plumpton handicap bow at the start of this month. McCoy retains ride and potential for better given Flat ability. 9th in touch, headway chasing leaders after 3 out, weakened 2 out Racing Europe 14.15 Catterick 2 Pts Win @ 1.4 (bog) Bought for £120,000 after winning the second of 2 starts in Irish maiden points and posted useful effort to win a 17f Bangor bumper in November. Good second on hurdles bow (19f), and the one to beat. 1st @ 1.4 tracked leader, ridden after 3 out, tried to challenge on inside when not much room and switched right approaching next, upsides last, led narrowly flat, asserted clear towards finish Bets 36 Wins 20 Total Bet 213 Total Won 225.07 Profit 12.07 SR 55.56% ROI 5.67% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 2, 2015 Author Share Posted January 2, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Beast of Burden 12.40 Ffos Las 1 pt Win @ 1.25 (bog) Closely related to top-class chaser Voy Por Ustedes. Very impressive when landing a gamble in bumper here in October and hard to beat having shaped well despite odds-on defeat on hurdles bow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 2, 2015 Author Share Posted January 2, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Beast of Burden 12.40 Ffos Las 1 pt Win @ 1.25 (bog) Closely related to top-class chaser Voy Por Ustedes. Very impressive when landing a gamble in bumper here in October and hard to beat having shaped well despite odds-on defeat on hurdles bow. 1st @ 1.25 made all, drawing clear when left further ahead last, unchallenged Bets 37 Wins 21 Total Bet 214 Total Won 226.32 Profit 12.32 SR 56.76% ROI 5.76% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 3, 2015 Author Share Posted January 3, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs L'ami Serge 14.25 Sandown 4 Pts Win @ 1.5 (bog) Showed promise in France and is 2 from 2 for this yard, taking a Newbury handicap in November and a 2-finisher Grade 2 at Ascot last time. Sets a good standard and remains open to further improvement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 5, 2015 Author Share Posted January 5, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Jalingo 13.00 Musselburgh 3 pts Win @ 1.29 (bog) Fairly useful on Flat for Mark Johnston and ran to a similar level when second to Zarib on last month's Newbury hurdling bow. Reproduction of that form should be good enough here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Knocklayde Express 13.30 Sedgefield 2 Pts Win @ 1.91 (bog) Made a winning start to her career in a Kelso bumper in February for Stuart Crawford and got to be of interest now hurdling for new yard after absence. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs L'ami Serge 14.25 Sandown 4 Pts Win @ 1.5 (bog) Showed promise in France and is 2 from 2 for this yard, taking a Newbury handicap in November and a 2-finisher Grade 2 at Ascot last time. Sets a good standard and remains open to further improvement. 1st @ 1.5 Jalingo 13.00 Musselburgh 3 pts Win @ 1.29 (bog) Fairly useful on Flat for Mark Johnston and ran to a similar level when second to Zarib on last month's Newbury hurdling bow. Reproduction of that form should be good enough here. 2nd Knocklayde Express 13.30 Sedgefield 2 Pts Win @ 1.91 (bog) Made a winning start to her career in a Kelso bumper in February for Stuart Crawford and got to be of interest now hurdling for new yard after absence. 1st @ 2.1 tracked leaders, led after 3 out, kept on well run-in Bets 40 Wins 23 Total Bet 223 Total Won 236.52 Profit 13.52 SR 57.5% ROI 6.06% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Vago Collonges 14.10 Taunton 1 Pt Win @ 2.88 (bog) Smart in bumpers and looked potentially useful over hurdles after 19 months off when runner-up behind Thomas Brown in Exeter novice event. Not seen to best effect at Haydock latest, and shortlisted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Vago Collonges 14.10 Taunton 1 Pt Win @ 2.88 (bog) Smart in bumpers and looked potentially useful over hurdles after 19 months off when runner-up behind Thomas Brown in Exeter novice event. Not seen to best effect at Haydock latest, and shortlisted. 1st @ 3.0 held up in mid-division, steady headway approaching 7th, tracking leaders going well when slightly hampered on bend after 3 out, 2nd on bit 2 out, upsides last, quickened to lead run-in, soon pushed clear, easily Bets 41 Wins 24 Total Bet 224 Total Won 239.52 Profit 15.52 SR 58.54% ROI 6.93% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Verona Opera 15.40 Catterick 3 Pts Win @ 1.67 (bog) Made highly promising debut behind subsequent winner Another Bill at Ayr in November. Hard to beat on the back of that with improvement to come. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bodmin Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Hi, many thanks for posting, do you have a staking method for this and your other selections. Many thanks. Bodmin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Verona Opera 15.40 Catterick 3 Pts Win @ 1.67 (bog) Made highly promising debut behind subsequent winner Another Bill at Ayr in November. Hard to beat on the back of that with improvement to come. 1st @ 1.67 held up in rear, headway over 4f out, led over 2f out, ran on strongly Bets 42 Wins 25 Total Bet 227 Total Won 244.53 Profit 17.53 SR 59.52% ROI 7.72% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Hi, many thanks for posting, do you have a staking method for this and your other selections. Many thanks. Bodmin Hi Bodmin, Yes there is a staking strategy. Starting point is always three points. If we are not in profit basically it is increase stake at a loss and decrease after a win. There are another few rules thrown in along the way. i know many people here do not like this staking strategy but it works well for me in the systems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 9, 2015 Author Share Posted January 9, 2015 Re: Short Priced Favs Josses Hill 13.00 Doncaster 3 Pts Win @ 1.5 (bog) Quickly reached a very smart level over hurdles, runner-up in a well-up-to-scratch Supreme prior to a decisive Grade 2 success at Aintree. Built for fences and will have learnt from opening chase run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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