White Feather

Norman Fletcher 25/1 bet 365
15:15 Newbury- 6 places
I'm A Lumberjack 11/1 bet 365
16:25 Newbury  - 3 places 
2 x singles- each way double 

Norman Fletcher 25/1 bet 365
15:15 Newbury- 6 places
I'm A Lumberjack 11/1 bet 365
16:25 Newbury  - 3 places 
2 x singles- each way double 

Norman Fletcher 25/1 bet 365
15:15 Newbury- 6 places
I'm A Lumberjack 11/1 bet 365
16:25 Newbury  - 3 places 
2 x singles- each way double 

Norman Fletcher 25/1 bet 365
15:15 Newbury- 6 places
I'm A Lumberjack 11/1 bet 365
16:25 Newbury  - 3 places 
2 x singles- each way double 

Norman Fletcher 25/1 bet 365
15:15 Newbury- 6 places
I'm A Lumberjack 11/1 bet 365
16:25 Newbury  - 3 places 
2 x singles- each way double 

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Betfair Hurdle , 10/12 winners ran within the last 65 days
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 134 or higher
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Norman Fletcher 25/1 bet 365
15:15 Newbury- 6 places
I'm A Lumberjack 11/1 bet 365
16:25 Newbury  - 3 places 
2 x singles- each way double 

My stats based on the last 9 runnings.
1st last time, 0 from 51.
Last ran 17 to 48 days ago, 7 from 85, LSP 188 points. Remainder 2 from 97, LSP -81 points. 
This reduces the field of 25 to 5
LOOKAWAY 11/1
NORMAN FLETCHER 25/1
OUR CHAMP 33/1
YORKSEA 33/1
KAMSINAS 22/1
Forecast odds 16/1 to 33/1, 5 from 180, LSP 172 points.
This removes LOOKAWAY and KAMSINAS.
Age 5 or 6, 7 from 107, LSP 144 points.
This removes KAMSINAS.
Bred in Ireland, 3 from 66, LSP -19 points.
This leaves NORMAN FLETCHER at 25/1 WH 7 places
 
 

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Betfair Hurdle , 10/12 winners ran within the last 65 days
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 134 or higher
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Betfair Hurdle , 10/12 winners ran within the last 65 days
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 134 or higher
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

TELLHERTHENAME ticks a lot of boxes and is 14/1 -  An improving novice who is firmly on the upgrade and his yard are in flying form. 

Serial winners fund hurdle Saturday
Rating
Hititi. 8.9 10/1 
Young butler.  8.7 5/1 
These two clear of rest 
I'll try 5 PT wins these two ....5pt Ew tellherthename in above race at 12/1 and let's go for a huge win .....5pt Ew doubles all three 

My ratings ...
Tellherthename  9.0 
Brentford hope 8.7 
Aurigny mill.  8.6 
I think that looks a fantastic Ew bet ...let's hope it runs 🙏

TELLHERTHENAME ticks a lot of boxes and is 14/1 -  An improving novice who is firmly on the upgrade and his yard are in flying form. 

TELLHERTHENAME ticks a lot of boxes and is 14/1 -  An improving novice who is firmly on the upgrade and his yard are in flying form. 

TELLHERTHENAME ticks a lot of boxes and is 14/1 -  An improving novice who is firmly on the upgrade and his yard are in flying form. 

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Betfair Hurdle , 10/12 winners ran within the last 65 days
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 134 or higher
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Betfair Hurdle , 10/12 winners ran within the last 65 days
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 134 or higher
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Noble Birth 12/1 general - 15:00 Musselburgh - 4 places (BOG)
Meetingofthewaters 14/1 general - 15:20 Leopardstown - 6 places (BOG)
2 x singles - each way double.

Noble Birth 12/1 general - 15:00 Musselburgh - 4 places (BOG)
Meetingofthewaters 14/1 general - 15:20 Leopardstown - 6 places (BOG)
2 x singles - each way double.

320 leopard 
Iknothewayoutthinkin 8.9 6/1 
Fakir douderies   8.9 20/1 
These two are a little clear of the rest .....fakir douderies looks way overpriced for a horse that might go on to the chelt fest with a good show here for JP McManus ....I'll try 5pt Ew both 6 places 

Leopardstown 1.10 The 2M 5 1/2F Ladbrokes Novice Chase is a grade 1 contest which has attracted just the five runners, three from Willie Mullins and a brace from Gordon Elliott. Gaelic Warrior has looked smart in winning both of his starts over fences this season and he’ll be hard to beat with so much in his favour. Stable companion Fact To File is also potentially smart and can give him a race for a Willie Mullins 1-2.   GAELIC WARRIOR 1 point win @ 11/10 William Hill   Musselburgh 1.20 The Scottish Triumph Hurdle is a listed juvenile hurdle for four year olds run over just short of two miles and has attracted a decent field of nine. The two to concentrate on are the Jack Jones trained An Bradan Feasa and Paul Nicholls’s Liari and its the latter who maybe able to outclass his opponents despite a 5lb penalty. He comes here unbeaten in two starts at Wincanton and Aintree and with Harry Cobden in the saddle and riding so well looks the one to be with.   LIARI 1 point win @ 15/8 bet365   Leopardstown 1.40 The Tattersalls Ireland 50th Derby Sale Novice Hurdle is a Grade 1 contest with ten lining up to face the judge. Once again we have a short Willie Mullins trained favourite in Ballyburn who put a respectable defeat by Firefox behind him when bolting up in a maiden hurdle here at big odds on. He beat little that day and this will be more exacting especially dropping back to the minimum trip but he looks smart and is the one they all have to beat. Mullins saddles five in the race but it maybe well be the Gordon Elliot trained Farren Glory that offers the most resistance to the selection.   BALLYBURN 1 point win @ Evens William Hill   Musselburgh 1.50 A field of seven face the starter for this 2M class 3 handicap chase in which all seven have a chance of sorts. Paul Nicholls sends a seven strong challenge to Scotland and looks likely to have a good day which can include his six year old Beau Balko. This will be only his fourth start over fences with his latest second to Chanceaux already boosted by that one winning again since at Doncaster. Off of the same handicap mark and with the added assistance of Harry Cobden on board can go one better here.   BEAU BALKO 1 point win @ 9/4 William Hill   Leopardstown 2.10 Just the five go to post for the Grade 1 Ladbrokes Dublin Chase where its very hard to look past he Willie Mullins trained El Fabiolo who’s five from five over fences including the Grade ones over two miles for novices at last year’s meeting and the Cheltenham and Punchestown Festivals. He teed up for this with an easy win at Cork in December and it will be a major shock were he not to score again. Mullins smart mare Dinoblue can chase him home for a yet another 1-2 for the master of Closutton.   Musselburgh 2.25 An interesting renewal of the bet365 Scottish Supreme Novice’s Hurdle featuring seven promising hurdlers. The best form is probably brought to the table by the Irish trained Hypotenus but I’m happy to take him on with the Fergal O’Brien trained Recoup who made a winning debut over hurdles at Ludlow back in late October when getting the better of the Henderson runner Choccabloc in a ding dong battle on the run in. He’ll need to improve on that but as he’s so lightly raced that’s quite possible and he looks the value play under Paddy Brennan.   RECOUP 1 point win @ 4/1 Betfred   Leopardstown 2.45 Just the five again for the 2M Chantelle Pharma Irish Champion Hurdle. Willie Mullins saddles three of the quintet including the most likely winner in State Man who has only been beaten the once in eleven starts for Mullins and that was by Constitution Hill in last year’s Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham. He has already beaten stablemate Impaire Et Passe this season who can again chase him home again for yet another 1-2 for team Mullins.   Musselburgh 3.00 A good turnout for this class 2 Pertemps Network Group Handicap Hurdle run over 3M with a maximum fifteen declared to run. Despite the numbers it’s not the strongest of races and it may pay to stick with Gordon Elliott’s Irish challenger Absolute Notions. A winner of three of his six career start as he makes his handicap debut here from a mark of 143 and has some good novice hurdle form to his name from last season including when runner up to Good Land in a Grade 1 novice hurdle at this very meeting. He missed two outings in December due to the heavy ground so today’s drier terrain looks sure to suit and can reward an each way wager with additional places.   ABSOLUTE NOTIONS 1 point each way @ 9/2 bet365 1/5th 1234   Leopardstown 3.20 In contrast to the previous races at Leopardstown today we have a highly competitive 25 runner Grade 3 handicap chase where many have chances and will need plenty of luck. Leading owner J P McManus runs four and it maybe the Gavin Cromwell trained Inothewayurthinkin who’s worth an each way wager with additional places. A lightly raced six year old he’s shown some smart form in three novice chases won by the likes of Imagine and Gaelic Warrior and is making his handicap debut here off of what may turn out to be a workable mark.   INOTHERWAYURTHINKIN 1 point each way @ 6/1 bet365 1/5th 123456   Musselburgh 3.35 Nine chasers line up for this 2m 4 1/2F bet365 Scottish Champion Chase. Paul Nicholls can cap a good day at the Scottish track by taking this with his eight year old Outlaw Peter who will be having his fourth start over fences with his best effort coming at Kempton last time out when a 1 1/2L runner up to Blow Your Wad. A reproduction of that effort should see him go close.   OUTLAW PETER 1 point win @ 7/2 Coral  

Temptationinmilan 12/1 Coral - 14:15 Musselburgh - 4 places
 Collingham 16/1 Coral - 14:50 Musselburgh - 4 places
2 x singles - each way double

Temptationinmilan 12/1 Coral - 14:15 Musselburgh - 4 places
 Collingham 16/1 Coral - 14:50 Musselburgh - 4 places
2 x singles - each way double