Johnrobertson

Chelsea (1) 1.22
Man Utd (1) 1.30
Man City (2) 1.15
10pts treble, thanks.
 

Going in early, a couple I like:-
M Kinhault 90/1 bet365 1/5 8 places - Last year his price was around 66/1, his last three finishes on tour 14-20-12 and 23rd last year.
M Wallace 25/1 bet365 1/5 8 places - Back into form with a second place finish at the Czech Masters, finished 2nd here last year. 

Congratulations calva decoy, well done Johnrobertson! 👍

Windsor 1920   One Step Beyond each-way 11/4 hills
Cartmel 1636      Coeur Aimant each-way 11/4 bet365
Kilarney 1755      Auora Vega 1/6 bet365
Reserves
York 1500            Sacred 4/1 each-way bet365
Redcar 1730      Propitious 8/13 betvictor
 
Good luck @calva decoy
 

Windsor 1920   One Step Beyond each-way 11/4 hills
Cartmel 1636      Coeur Aimant each-way 11/4 bet365
Kilarney 1755      Auora Vega 1/6 bet365
Reserves
York 1500            Sacred 4/1 each-way bet365
Redcar 1730      Propitious 8/13 betvictor
 
Good luck @calva decoy
 

Windsor 1920   One Step Beyond each-way 11/4 hills
Cartmel 1636      Coeur Aimant each-way 11/4 bet365
Kilarney 1755      Auora Vega 1/6 bet365
Reserves
York 1500            Sacred 4/1 each-way bet365
Redcar 1730      Propitious 8/13 betvictor
 
Good luck @calva decoy
 

I like Wilco Nienaber too, came 8th last year on this course. He was 60/1 with bet365 on Monday morning, need to start looking at these tournaments early. Another couple that I liked are:-
Eddie Pepperall 50/1  - third last week and eighth last year.
Gavin Green 50/1 (was 70/1 early Monday morning) - second last year and had a couple of good finishes recently. 

Good luck !

 

With the Fedex Cup playoffs finals offering no interest at all from a punting perspective. Had a look at this week's European 'DP World' Tour event taking place at the Czech Masters.
Only one player takes my interest this week:
Wilco Nienaber 40/1 Bet365
A very all or nothing type of player, so could easily miss the cut as well as going on to win the whole thing. Young player and a big hitter, who played well last week in Northern Ireland.

1435 Newmarket
Array 1/3 bet365

Ascot 1410:            The Very Man 7/2 bet365 each-way
Haydock 1610:       Breege 7/2 bet365 each-way
Newmarket 1615:   Lethal Levi 4/1 bet365 each-way
 
Reserve
Redcar 1735: Michaels Pledge 4/1 betfair each-way
Good Luck @Zilzalian

Hi guys, just a quick update from my post in the new players thread.  I'm still waiting for the go ahead with prizes etc for this year so we won't be starting til (at least) next weekend.  I'm planning to run 3 seasons each of 10 weeks competition, with a week off in between, so we do have some leeway in start time. Probably best to miss the first games anyway as anything could happen!
In the meantime if you are a new player wanting to join in or a returning player who previously didn't complete the season, please post in the new player thread.
https://forum.punterslounge.com/topic/177992-tipsters-challenge-football-competition-new-players-apply-here/page/8/#comments
 

Been really busy with a new job, so not been able to post.
Looks like finally got a 1st rnd leader up Henley (33s). Also had McCarthy.
Went for Burns, Henley, Poston and McCarthy wins.
Horschell ew.
Dad has went Davis and Aberg.
Good luck all.

Great chance of a win on here with Henley and Horschel going well for @fd1972uk  and @Johnrobertson  best of luck lads 🤞
Of my golf Wolf pack, a very tame effort with only two making the cut and even those two of Laird and Duncan are well off the pace.

Same strategy as last week, five win only bets with Bet365 and a Top40 finish acca with PaddyPower
Aaron Rai 35/1
Kevin Streelman 80/1
Sam Stevens 90/1
Martin Laird 140/1
Tyler Duncan 140/1
Top40 Fivefold 97/1
 

Wednesday 02/08/2023
Redcar 03:45 TIFFANY
f/c.   4/5
Stake =  10 pts. WIN
 
Sandown 07:27 ALHAMBRA PALACE
f/c.   8/13
Stake =  10 pts. WIN
there were two more but they are Non-Runners CAVE COURT @ Perth 03:55  and YOUCRACKMEUP @ Galway 06:10

Team Name: Jambos2828
Name: David Notman
Good luck

I see a bit of value this week early on:-
Alex Smalley  66/1 ew 8 places betfair - A man in form with form figures of 25-9-47-2-mc and he came 13th on this course last year.
Denny McCarthy 33/1 ew 8 places skybet- Form figures of 2-20-7-6-mc
Billy Horschel 60/1 ew 8 places paddypower - Was 22/1 last year and could be coming back into form after a 13th at the 3M 
 

Many thanks for crunching the numbers @Fader always appreciated and well done to @BOOKIEBASHER 13 on an excellent win.
And I'm always game for any golf comps, in fact, I think I would enter any competition if it involved sport and stats lol.
Out of curiosity, how would the Ryder Cup format work?, with it being a team event and not a traditional event etc.

I may do a Ryder Cup competition actually (29sep - 1oct) if people are interested?

A few statistics from the naps tables since Jan 21, some maybe relevant, others maybe not.
Over 52,000 entries so certainly a reasonable data size. The overall ROI is -4%.
The ideal odds range is 11/10 to 11/4 with 2,451 wins from 6,967 selections and a profit of 391 points (ROI 6%).
Those selections settled at SP show a loss of 29%. This perhaps shows the importance of taking an early price and BOG.
Win selections show a return of -5%, each way -1%. The each way selections are settled at standard terms so the returns will be better if extra places were taken into account.
God's own county is the place to be. The top 2 courses are in Yorkshire, Thirsk with a profit of 286 points and Doncaster 237.
The course with the biggest loss is Wolverhampton (-543 points, ROI -17%).
Players that have recorded a profit of over 30 points in their last 50 selections have produced 557 wins from 3,618 selections with a profit of 550 points (ROI 16%). 50 day moving averages have proved significant in share investing.
Players that have recorded at least 2 wins from their last 5 selections have produced 3,152 wins from 10,383 selections and a profit of 456 points (4% ROI).
A 20 day strike rate of over 26% has resulted in 3,987 wuns from 13,326 runs with a profit of 465 points (3% ROI).
A 10 day strike rate of greater than 33% has resulted in 2,827 wins from 8,736 runs with a profit of 495 points (6% ROI).
A 5 day strike rate of 40% and above has produced 3,421 from 11,540 runs with a profit of 485 points (4% ROI).
A 50 day ROI greater than 32% has produced 1,996 wins from 10,721 runs with a profit of 629 points (6% ROI).
The best month is May with a return of 4%, the worst is January at -10%. April to September is -1%, October to March is -8%.
Thursday and Friday show a profit of 4%. Sunday shows a loss of 13%. This may be because of the lack of racing on a Sunday and members struggling to find a selection. Monday (-9%) and Tuesday (-8%) also show big losses.
The first 7 selections have produced 1,316 wins from 6,273 selections with a profit of 510 points (8% ROI). This may show the importance of grabbing the early prices. In reality it may prove difficult to generate these returns now that most bookmakers do not offer BOG the night before racing.
 
 
 

Newmarket 2010
diamond vega 16/1 bet365
 

1715 Beverley
Dickieburd 11/2 hills
 

Southwell 1620
Presenting Pete 7/2 bet365
 

Thanks LeMale , but for anyone thinking i've had an unlucky competition month then read on..........
Know absolutely nothing about Soccer and neither watch , follow or bet on the sport , but felt i should enter as PL are generous enough to run the comp so entered out of courtesy , so Just guessed on a draws treble throughout the competition and fluked a 43/1 treble on the last weekend in one of the lower division , that's entirely a fluke for sure.
Worth mentioning that also in the same division was Bluenose who selected a near 33/1 winning treble on the last weekend , so anyone thinking it's just horse racing he excels at think again , ignore him at your peril   😁
 
Great stuff