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Posts posted by Tiffy

  1. On 09/12/2018 at 5:27 PM, Darran said:

    So I thought I would give an ante-post update given we are pretty much at the halfway stage of the season looking at how the bets are going and what I think will happen in the leagues come Aprll.


    National League

    Barnet 1pt e/w @ 14/1 with Bet365/Ladbrokes/Coral/Paddy Power/Betway/BetVictor

    AFC Fylde 1pt e/w @ 16/1 with Paddy Power

    Ebbsfleet 0.5pts e/w @ 25/1 with William Hill

    Braintree to be relegated 2pts @ 7/4 with 188bet/BetVictor

    Braintree to finish bottom 1pt @ 13/2 with Skybet

    I was close to putting Leyton Orient up, but went with Ebbsfleet instead and obviously that was a big mistake, but then I had no idea of the off the field issues at the Kent side which only came to light in recent weeks. To be fair to Gary Hill he has improved them since he came in and they are on the edge of the play-offs, but they won't be finishing in the first 3. Neither will Barnet who have had a bad time of things injury wise. I think they will improve in the 2nd half of the season, but I'm not sure it will be enough to make the play-offs. Fylde are still in contention to finish in the top 3, but losing to Dover on Saturday wasn't great when they could have made 3 points on the top 2. As for those top 2 although both lost on Saturday I still think the title will go to either Leyton Orient or Salford. For me both look to have that little bit more class than anyone else in the division. Salford are slight favourites and that is probably right although I wouldn't want to back either. Harrogate are in 3rd and although I thought they would do OK, I certainly didn't have them in the title hunt. They don't seem to be showing signs of a drop off in form and they should reach the play-offs. Wrexham should as well although they need to get the right manager in. If they do they are the team most likely to push the other two although I can only see them finishing 3rd at best. Solihull have been a big surprise. I knew they wouldn't go down, but to be in 5th at this stage is amazing. They look a good side and unless they get an injury crisis I can't see them not finishing in the play-off positions. 

    At the other end of the table Braintree have been every bit as bad as I thought they would be. They already look like they will be going down and they are bottom by 5 points so there is a decent chance of the 13/2 on them to finish bottom coming in as well. Some of the other teams around them look capable of improving although I think Maidenhead will go down. Bromley, Aldershot and Halifax look possible relegation contenders. Aldershot will be relaying on their home form to stay up because their away form is awful. Bromley have added players last week, but they really need to improve fast. Halifax are really struggling to win games especially away from home and their fans will be looking over their shoulders.

    National League South

    Billericay 1.5pts e/w at 10/1 with BetVictor (already advised)

    Concord Rangers 0.5pts e/w @ 25/1 with William Hill & BetVictor (already advised)

    Welling 0.5pts e/w @ 20/1 with Bet365

    Well it was all going so well with Billericay looking hard to beat and then players have started to leave. Quite how fare it will go I am not sure, but Bet365 have pushed them out to 6/1 with seems a massive over reaction to me. The only player so far I am unhappy about leaving is Jake Robinson and even with a £10k budget that will still put them in a strong position. I do find it hard to see them winning the league now though, but they should certainly remain competitive. I also think they will be better off without Tamplin involved. I don't think the players respected it him at all and the win over Eastbourne on Saturday showed they are still more than capable of holding their own. I think Torquay will win the league though and they have been really impressive since Gary Johnson took over as manager. It is their's to lose now for me. I didn't fancy Woking at all for the title, but with the Cup run they may have money to spend so I am not so against them as I was. My other two tips in Welling and Concord are 4th and 5th so are giving us a great run for our money and I will be disappointed if at least one of my 3 bets don't hit the frame.

    National League North

    Southport 1pt e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365/Betfred

    Boston United 0.5pts e/w @ 20/1 with William Hill

    Alfreton 0.5pts @ 25/1 with Betway

    A bit of a disaster for the 2nd year running in this league although at least Boston have some sort of chance of getting involved. Southport are now showing why I put them up, but its about 3 months too late sadly and Alfreton after a good start have been hopeless for weeks. I was close to putting Chorley up as a bet and they started the season very strongly. They have had a bit of a wobble in recent weeks though, but in an open division they still have a chance. Bradford are currently top which is a big surprise for me. My gut is they won't stay there, but have a good chance of being in the play-offs again. I backed Spennymoor at a huge price last year and didn't touch them this time around, but they are certainly bang in contention. Chester, Altrincham and Kidderminster would be the other possible winners for me. After Saturday's win Kiddie may have gotten over their downturn in form and they would seem to be the ones that are over priced to me.

    Bostik Premier

    Kingstonian 1pt e/w @ 20/1 with Bet365

    Margate 1pt e/w @ 10/1 with Betway

    Enfield 0.5pts e/w @ 40/1 with Bet365

    Dorking 0.5pts e/w @ 33/1 with Bet365

    I said in the preview the bookies had made a complete mess with pricing this league up and so it has turned out.AFC Hornchurch were the favourites and they sit in 16th place with just 19 points and 2nd in Whitehawk are currently bottom having won just twice all season! My main bet Kingstonian started badly and it is a shame because they have got themselves in contention in recent weeks and I still wouldn't be ruling them out of getting into the 3. Dorking are currently top and it would be great to nail a 33/1 chance. They have cash to spend so I am hopeful they can do it. Enfield are in contention as well and giving us a good run for our money. Funnily enough Margate are the only ones who probably won't be involved as they have looked a mid-table side so far. Worthing were 40/1 and are now favourites and given they have at least 3 games in had over the teams around them it is easy to see why. It will be interesting to see if they can carry on in the same form over the rest of the season. There are a handful of other teams in contention, but Haringey could be the most dangerous. They have been in good form since their FA Cup run came to an end and if that continues they could play a part.

    Evo-Stik League Central Premier

    Kettering 1pt @ 6/1 with Betway

    Kings Lynn 1pt @ 13/2 with Betway

    Leiston 0.5pts e/w @ 12/1 with Betway

    Rushall Olympic 0.5pts e/w @ 20/1 with Bet365

    This league already looks a two horse race with Kettering and Stourbridge. I would be disappointed if Kettering didn't win it from here to be honest. Kings Lynn's slow start has cost them but they should get in the play-offs. Tamworth were the favourites for this division but they have struggled a bit and at best are outside shots at a play-off place.

    Evo-Stik League Southern Premier

    Weymouth 2pts @ 13/2 with Bet365

    Salisbury 0.5pts @ 7/1 with Bet365/Betway

    Taunton 0.5pts e/w @ 18/1 with Bet365

    I would be amazed if I don't have the winner of this league as Taunton are top with Weymouth in 2nd and Salisbury in 3rd. The Met Police have games in hand and have only lost 2 games, but it is hard to seem them staying with the other 3 over a whole season. Gosport were in single figures and they have done badly as I though they would.

    Evo-Stik League Northern Premier

    South Shields 2pts @ 3/1 with Bet365/Betway

    Basford 1pt e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365

    Gainsborough Trinity 0.5pts @ 7/1 with Bet365

    South Shields' away form has been pretty shocking at it might stop them from winning the league, but if they can improve it over the 2nd half of the season then they have a chance. Farsely are best positioned and they are the right favourites for me at the moment. Warrington are going well again and should go close. Nantwich and Scarborough are 1st and 2nd, but they have played more games then everyone else which isn't going to help their cause. Gainsborough and Basford are in with a chance as well so all is not lost on either of those two.

    This are my ideas of the winners of the leagues now.

    National League - Just siding with Salford, but it should be a great battle between them and Orient.

    National League North - Hard to call but I will side with Chorley

    National League South - Torquay

    Bostik Premier - Dorking

    Southern League Premier Central - Kettering

    Southern League Premier South - Weymouth although Taunton will push them close.

    Northern Premier - Farsley

    Jumping on my "Torquay to win the league" bandwagon are you now!:cheers

  2. On 23/01/2019 at 11:38 PM, Tiffy said:

    I went to the AFC Wimbledon V Fleetwood match last night. It's probably the worst game I have ever seen, and AFC were simply awful. No ideas, no pace, nervy at the back. The first pass was backwards, there was nothing going forward. Fleetwood weren't much better but did have a bit more about them. 

    I think they got their footballing style from Centre Court down the road. You felt like you were watching tennis not football. It's amazing how poor the  standard is, and it makes you realise how technically bad we are at this level.

    On the plus side, the fans were nice to chat to, and the liver, bacon & mash at the Fay Boy's cafe was worth making the trip for.

    On rhis showing, I think Wet Spam could put the tea ladies out on Saturday and still run out comfortable winners. I'll be backing

    WHU HT/FT & O2.5 goals

    I just really don't believe that happened!

    I won't be betting on ANY cup completion again, unless it for the underdogs

  3. I went to the AFC Wimbledon V Fleetwood match last night. It's probably the worst game I have ever seen, and AFC were simply awful. No ideas, no pace, nervy at the back. The first pass was backwards, there was nothing going forward. Fleetwood weren't much better but did have a bit more about them. 

    I think they got their footballing style from Centre Court down the road. You felt like you were watching tennis not football. It's amazing how poor the  standard is, and it makes you realise how technically bad we are at this level.

    On the plus side, the fans were nice to chat to, and the liver, bacon & mash at the Fay Boy's cafe was worth making the trip for.

    On rhis showing, I think Wet Spam could put the tea ladies out on Saturday and still run out comfortable winners. I'll be backing

    WHU HT/FT & O2.5 goals

  4. Brighton V Liverpool

    i'm with @thfc in so much as I don't think Brighton will get thrashed here. I won't argue against the Reds winning, but perhaps only by 1 goal. Brighton have scored in their last 20 league matches at home, and I don't see why that should change here. VIrgil Van Djike is out for the reds with illness, which is a massive plus for us. Brighton have become more offensive of late, and could show their intent early on. My only concern for Brighton is that we are missing Bernardo through injury (left back). 

    BTTS & O2 5 goals

  5. As aformer Brighton season ticket holder, I was hugely impressed when Nathan Jones took over after Sami Hypia got sacked. He steadied the ship for 3 games, all unbeaten. I knew he would go onto better things, and as a LUTON fan I was delighted when he was appointed our manager. I've always been realistic enough to know that if he did well, a move to a bigger club would be inevitable.

    NJ has the qualities to succeed in this job. It's obvious that players respond to him, and he sets teams up to play good, attacking football.

    I'll be backing the Potters, who incidentally were the club my grandads supported, so I have a soft spot for them ( as well as some memorabilia passed down)

    Stoke to win

  6. 17 hours ago, Neubs said:


    Nice Opinions from you, but why you not fancy Shrewsbury. Most Players of Stoke are against Coach Rowett and Bojan and Bauer, both Players made this "offical" in Social Media. Lost against Birmingham and Bristol - and made a Draw against Bolton. In all 3 Games they played very poor. The quality is for sure very High, but maybe they didn´t want show it, because of Rowett.

    So i  think if Rowett will not get sacked today i will play in the evening a Double Chance here.

    I did look at this fixture and think about putting it on the list. Stoke are neither here nor there this season, so yeah there could definitely be an upset in this match.

  7. Last season I noticed that the underdogs priced around 4/1 did ok.

    Im looking at the teams at those prices, playing teams with either promotion or relegation on their minds.

    Burnley V Barnsley 4.2

    Sheff Weds v LUTON 3.1

    Bolton V Walsall 4.2

    Gillingham V Cardiff 4.0

    Newcastle V Blackburn 5.5

    And with 5000 travelling fans behind them at Selhurst Park, I fancy Grimsby to get something, (probably a draw) here @8/1

    Possibly Peterborough to get something away at Middlesborough


    Bristol City V Huddersfield 2.4



  8. Brighton V Everton

    Brighron haven't won in 4 games, so based on the law of averages, we are due a win soon! We were unlucky not to get all 3 points apparently against Arsenal, and  we could have snatched a draw against Chelsea. We have only lost at home to them and Spurs, and I don't rate Everton as good as either of them.

    Everton were very lucky last season to snatch a late draw with a penalty.

    Brighton [email protected] 1.61 (SX)

  9. Yeah I'm sure I've mentioned it on here before! I think we lived in a flat in Glossop Terrace, although I will have to find out which hospital I was born in. 

    I think we only lived there for a year or so, I was bought up in LUTON, they ended up in the 1st division when I started going to watch them. I have spent thee last 17years in Sussex, and they have also gone to the top division since I started watching them.

    I have now moved to Devon, and am watching Torquay, I just hope they are ready for the big time now I am watching them!

    ill make it back to Cardiff for a visit one day Stevie, and we can meet up for a pint of Brains:beer

  10. @StevieDay1983

    oh my god, I was at that game! It was my first trip back to Cardiff since I was born there.

    We took the National Express from LUTON and arrived in Cardiff about 12. The plan was to jump into a cab & find a pub near the ground. It was freezing, and we jumped into a cab to the ground

    "Can you take us to a pub please" We asked the driver

    "No, my advice to you is to get to the ground and stay there" said the driver!

    He dropped us at the ground. "Can you pick us up here after" we asked, "No, you needn't think I am coming anywhere near here after the game" he replied. 

    Christ - What had we come to? It was 3 hours to KO & bloody freezing.

    We were in the main stand, as opposed to the terrace. I remember Hartson getting showered with coins every time he went near the touch line. After the game the Cardiff fans tried getting on the pitch & caused some aggro with the police. They then started ripping their seats out and throwing them at the police horses, which by then, were on the pitch. The away fans were being kept in, whilst the ground was being cleared. The Cardiff fans went around to the away end and started throwing bricks into the open (terrace) away end. LUTON fans pushed forward to get away from the missiles, and as they moved forward the police thought they were trying to get on the pitch, so they tear gassed them!

    I am watching this from the stand at the side, thinking, I have got to get back to the bus station through this! In front of us was the family section, and I said to a young kid "Do you want to sell me your scarf? "What do you mean?" He said, "Well, I've got to walk back through this lot, and if I have your scarf, I might blend in a bit". I handed over a fiver, and put it on and we kept our heads down & mouths shut as we walked out. I know why the taxi driver didn't want to come back now! 

    Anyway we made it back in one piece, and I have a funny story to tell about that day. We lost in the semis against Chelsea at Wembley that season.

    My next and last visit to Ninian Park, was when we holidaying in the Forest of Dean.Cardiff were playing Birmingham, and we sat in the Bob Bank. I told my wife, don't speak, as the whole stand erupted into Men Of Harlech, and and I felt totally uncomfortable! We kept quiet, but enjoyed the rest of the game.

    It certainly was an intimidating ground, full of nutters! One thing that I wanted to know, is why was it called the Bob Bank? I'm presuming it's similar to the Bobbers at LUTON, so called because it used to cost a bob to get in!

    Good times, Great memories 

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