Valiant Thor

WON SENSE OF DUTY 20pts @ 1.44 = 28.80 ( SP 2/9  ) Shoo in
STAKED 20..RETURNED 28.80..PROFIT 8.80
RUNNING TOTAL +112.43

CURRENT BANK +103.63

SENSE OF DUTY 20pts

WON  PORTERINTHEJUNGLE 5.94pts @ 4.00 BOG = 23.76
LOST  SECRET POTION 5.15pts
LOST  ROYAL RUBY 8.91pts
Staked 20...Returned 23.76....Profit 3.76
RUNNING TOTAL + 103.63PTS

WON  PORTERINTHEJUNGLE 5.94pts @ 4.00 BOG = 23.76
LOST  SECRET POTION 5.15pts
LOST  ROYAL RUBY 8.91pts
Staked 20...Returned 23.76....Profit 3.76
RUNNING TOTAL + 103.63PTS

In a bit of a 'Brenda Spencer' mood this morning due to next doors grand-kids running around the garden since 8.00 this morning screaming like banshees so today's selections could be anything.
Current Total 99.87pts

Stake 20pts
PORTERINTHEJUNGLE 5.94pts
SECRET POTION 5.15pts
ROYAL RUBY 8.91pts

In a bit of a 'Brenda Spencer' mood this morning due to next doors grand-kids running around the garden since 8.00 this morning screaming like banshees so today's selections could be anything.
Current Total 99.87pts

Stake 20pts
PORTERINTHEJUNGLE 5.94pts
SECRET POTION 5.15pts
ROYAL RUBY 8.91pts

LOST Goldenhurst 4.79pts
WON Endowed 8.3pts @ 2.5 = 20.75
LOST De Vegas Kid 6.91pts
STAKED 20..RETURNED 20.75..PROFIT  0.75pts
RUNNING TOTAL + 99.87

LOST Goldenhurst 4.79pts
WON Endowed 8.3pts @ 2.5 = 20.75
LOST De Vegas Kid 6.91pts
STAKED 20..RETURNED 20.75..PROFIT  0.75pts
RUNNING TOTAL + 99.87

Goldenhurst 4.79pts
Endowed 8.3pts
De Vegas Kid 6.91pts
20 staked
1 winner small profit / break even

WON Real World 13.04pts @ 2 = 26.08pts
WON Agartha 6.96pts @ 5 BOG = 34.80pts
Staked 20...Returned 60.88....Profit 40.88
Running Total + 99.12

WON Real World 13.04pts @ 2 = 26.08pts
WON Agartha 6.96pts @ 5 BOG = 34.80pts
Staked 20...Returned 60.88....Profit 40.88
Running Total + 99.12

WON Real World 13.04pts @ 2 = 26.08pts
WON Agartha 6.96pts @ 5 BOG = 34.80pts
Staked 20...Returned 60.88....Profit 40.88
Running Total + 99.12

WON Real World 13.04pts @ 2 = 26.08pts
WON Agartha 6.96pts @ 5 BOG = 34.80pts
Staked 20...Returned 60.88....Profit 40.88
Running Total + 99.12

WON Real World 13.04pts @ 2 = 26.08pts
WON Agartha 6.96pts @ 5 BOG = 34.80pts
Staked 20...Returned 60.88....Profit 40.88
Running Total + 99.12

WON ALBAHAR 11pts @ 2.25 = 24.75
LOST GLENIFFER 9PTS
Staked 20 returned 24.75
Profit 4.75pts
Running total  + 58.24
 

WON ALBAHAR 11pts @ 2.25 = 24.75
LOST GLENIFFER 9PTS
Staked 20 returned 24.75
Profit 4.75pts
Running total  + 58.24
 

WON Mishriff 8.12 @ 3.25 BOG = 26.39
WON Exelerator Express 5.2 @ 4.5 = 23.40 (sp 3/1)
WON Crystal Casque 6.68 @ 3.5 = 23.40 (sp 7/4)
Staked 20 Returned 73.17
Profit + 53.17

WON Mishriff 8.12 @ 3.25 BOG = 26.39
WON Exelerator Express 5.2 @ 4.5 = 23.40 (sp 3/1)
WON Crystal Casque 6.68 @ 3.5 = 23.40 (sp 7/4)
Staked 20 Returned 73.17
Profit + 53.17

WON Mishriff 8.12 @ 3.25 BOG = 26.39
WON Exelerator Express 5.2 @ 4.5 = 23.40 (sp 3/1)
WON Crystal Casque 6.68 @ 3.5 = 23.40 (sp 7/4)
Staked 20 Returned 73.17
Profit + 53.17

WON Mishriff 8.12 @ 3.25 BOG = 26.39
WON Exelerator Express 5.2 @ 4.5 = 23.40 (sp 3/1)
WON Crystal Casque 6.68 @ 3.5 = 23.40 (sp 7/4)
Staked 20 Returned 73.17
Profit + 53.17

1/4 shots have an implied probability of 80% therefore should  lose approx 20% of the time
In 1000 bets there will be approx 200 losers not 4
Its the 200 losers that have an Implied probability losing sequence ratio of 4 (4.29) in 1000 bets
 
I believe that's the same advice advocated by Dave Nevison (Failed Gambler,failed tipster) in one of his books who now sells his wares on Racing TV as some sort of expert mustn't be paying him that much as he looks like a tramp whose just slept in a skip when Ive seen him on tv.
Mind you John McCririck made a decent living out of talking crap and he was a failed bookie as well so couldn't do it as a pundit a poacher or a gamekeeper.

 

1/4 shots have an implied probability of 80% therefore should  lose approx 20% of the time
In 1000 bets there will be approx 200 losers not 4
Its the 200 losers that have an Implied probability losing sequence ratio of 4 (4.29) in 1000 bets
 
I believe that's the same advice advocated by Dave Nevison (Failed Gambler,failed tipster) in one of his books who now sells his wares on Racing TV as some sort of expert mustn't be paying him that much as he looks like a tramp whose just slept in a skip when Ive seen him on tv.
Mind you John McCririck made a decent living out of talking crap and he was a failed bookie as well so couldn't do it as a pundit a poacher or a gamekeeper.

 

I don't know what's in the updated version , but the version I had recommended Lotus 1-2-3 for the spreadsheets

A quick way which I used when I looked at lots of races ........ 
Look at the runners in your race and just put them in order of preference ....... so your first choice is 1 and your second choice is 2 etc
Then take a reputable site like the Racing Post and look at their forecast odds and put the odds for their favourite against your number one, the odds for their second favourite against your number 2 and so on
So you're using the 'expert' odds compiler to give you the overall shape of the market but substituting his order of market position for your order
take an example ......... if your number 1 is 4th in the forecast at 7/1 and you can get 7/1 then it's probably good value if your assessment that it's number one is correct
if the odds compiler has a horse as 2/1 Fav and you have 4th on your list it's probably bad value