JuMeSyn
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Posts posted by JuMeSyn
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Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15 Vitoria -1 AH @ 2.17 (Unibet) for a 0.55 stake Vitoria Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 4 (Coral) for a 0.15 stake In all honesty, and even though Vitória lost 0-4 last week and Boavista won 3-2 with a lot of luck against last placed Gil Vicente, there is still a big difference in individual quality between teams. Boavista is still the worst team in terms of individual quality in the league, but they still managed to win twice at home and draw against FC Porto away (0-0), although they were playing against 10 for 70 minutes and...were completely dominated by FC Porto! This shows the overall quality of the team. And away, they struggle even more. One of the reasons is that at home, they play on a synthetic field, and they feel the difference when playing away. Vitória had a bad day against Maritimo, they are a good team. Although they will struggle a lot against top tiers due to lack of experience and some players are missing in defence, they have enough to win against this weak Boavista. If they managed to score early, then this could easily go to the 3-0, 4-0 scoreline. Vitoria manager already said that team looks wounded and wants to show in front of their fans what they are made of. I expect a good performance from them, players will be up for it and -1 AH looks good. Also a small stake on Over 2.5 Team Goals.
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Re: FC Schalke 04 v NK Maribor > Tuesday September 30th still think Maribor is the weakest team of the group, but surprising result once again, gotta give them the congrats for it!
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Re: FC Schalke 04 v NK Maribor > Tuesday September 30th Sporting will be willing to kill your thoughts when Maribor comes to Lisbon, I hope :)
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Re: Sporting CP v Chelsea > Tuesday September 30th BTTS and Chelsea @ 3.9 (Betfair Sportsbook) for a 0.3 stake Honestly, I do feel Sporting are being massively underrated in terms of goalscoring abilities for tomorrow. Sure, Chelsea might just win it mainly because Sporting Lisbon has 2 awful centre-backs, their best hope is that Rui Patricio delivers the exhibition of a lifetime (and actually he is in good form), but Mourinho's sides CL group phase form was never something to respect. Their teams usually have trouble in qualifying for the 1/8s, take for example last year. I think we will see a very strong Chelsea tomorrow due to the result of 1st matchday and will most probably win with the possible inclusion of Diego Costa, but they could also be struggling at some moment or another. I do think Sporting will step up with a positive attitude and perform well on this game, lots of young and talented portuguese players trying to prove themselves on the big stage against Mourinho (Adrien Silva, William Carvalho, Cedric, João Mário) and Nani and Carrillo, on a good day, can create amok on any defensive line. Set pieces could also be a way of scoring, and I do think they will be able once at least tomorrow. However, they are not that good in defense, and only Diego Costa might be enough to destroy both Sporting center-backs. Therefore, BTTS & Chelsea are @ 3.9 on Betfair Sportsbook. You can also get 4.2 on Bwin but I don't really like that bookie.
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 bloody awful. -1.13. Urawa and Kawasaki were simply disgusting today. More to come next weekend, hoping to recover the loss.
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Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15 that's a win. +0.70
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 Good hits mate. Actually, both of my bets are on them: Urawa @ 2.1 (Betfair Sportsbook) for a 0.4 stake Urawa Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.2 (Coral) for a 0.4 stake While I'm not the biggest Urawa fans, they do look unstopabble at the moment. Their recent run after their last loss against Kawasaki Frontale away (1-2) is impressive, with 5 wins in 6 matches. They only drew away against an in-form Tokyo at the time, in one of the best matches of this J-League (4-4). Other than that, they disposed low/middle-tier opponents with no trouble at all. Urawa are a very mature team, and with the defensive problems of last season were well corrected and grabbing Nishikawa (GK) was important as well. In attack, Kokori and Lee look in very good form, they could be on the scoresheet tomorrow. They will be facing Cerezo Osaka, which are on the relegation zone with 23 points. C-Osaka have Diego Forlan and Cacau, but both are on the bench and look clearly not motivated at all. Cerezo Osaka are also without captain Yamaguchi for a long time, which could play tomorrow but will probably not be 100% fit. Rumours that the dressing room atmosphere is not good at the moment as well. Recently, against harder opponents such as Gamba Osaka, Vissel Kobe and Nagoya Grampus, C-Osaka were disposed and with other teams with no trouble in scoring twice. Things are not looking good for C-Osaka, although their following calendar is not hard and they could barely escape from being relegated. I think there is big difference between both teams at the moment, and that will be shown during the match. I expect Urawa to take full control of the match incidences and I predict them to win at 2.10 on some bookies. However, I will also be splitting stakes for the Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.20, which I think it could be a bit lower. Kawasaki Frontale Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 3.05 (Unibet) for a 0.33 stake Kawasaki are 2nd placed right behind Urawa Reds and face Vegalta Sendai at home. Kawasaki come from a very good win against Omiya away (3-1), albeit their recent form has shown some signs of inconsistency. Their slips against Nagoya away (1-1) and Tokyo home (0-0) could have demolished some title hopes for them, but it is still not over for them. They are a good team, play outstanding football at times and with the likes of Okubo and Renatinho upfront, they cannot be stopped on their best days. Vegalta Sendai are closer to the edge, now 2 points away from relegation zone after 5 consecutive losses. Although they always lost by the small margins (0-1 and 2-1) in these losses, they were never convincing and always played against low/middle-tier teams. The only high-tier team was last match against Kashima (0-1), and Kashima could have won by more. Their calendar is not good and they could be on to being relegated. I believe their lack of quality will start to be shown against harder opposition from now on. Kawasaki Frontale have a good chance of winning tomorrow, and odds for that actually look value to me, but betting on
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Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15 +1.37 on the Nacional - Braga bet (1-1). Got a bit lucky there, Braga were with 10-men when they drew. Sporting - Porto: BTTS - Yes @ 2.00 (Coral/Ladbrokes) for a 0.7 stake. In Portugal, everyone is talking about the H2H between both teams, because it reveals some specific trends. Those trends are U2.5, BTTS: No and Sporting win or draw. However, it would be wrong to assume H2Hs assuming that things never change and that games are independent from one another. Another reason that why I totally avoid statistical analysis as a basis for a bet. Of course sometimes it matters, and should be respected and used as a decision support system, but never as the only decision support system. Anyway, on to the game. This is a classic! Sporting - Porto is a very historical game between two big clubs, and this one could be a good game as well. Although those trends of U2.5 and BTTS: No are important, this could go the other way. Sporting is showing some good exhibitions in spite of their big weaknesses at the back. They have scored in every single match so far because they know how to attack, although they lacked some finishing touch in the first matches. Last match they won 4-0 and produced an amazing exhibition! Nani is on fire and João Mário did a surprising start in the XI, made 2 assists and an incredible display. Should be on the XI once again. Whole team should be motivated to win a "classico" and playing at home, the ambience will be at their favour. Coach Marco Silva has a winner mentality, and will not stop until scoring and winning. Jefferson will be back to the left of the defence and Carrillo for Capel, while João Mário will stay in the XI. Sporting attack is really strong with Nani, Carrillo and Slimani well supported by attacking midfielders Adrien and João Mário. Defence is quite leaky though, Mauricio and Sarr are not good enough, while Jefferson opens up too much space in behind. Even though with a good GK such as Rui Patricio, they could concede. FC Porto are doing a regular season so far, in spite of their dip in form on the last 2 matches on the league. They had two consecutive draws (1-1 Vitoria away, 0-0 Boavista home) which made them lose the first place to Benfica, but they are looking excellent on Champions League, after winning the play-off against Lille 3-0 on aggregate, and 6-0 at home against BATE Borisov. Julen Lopetegui has a big squad, full of quality players in all positions. Their attack is, in honest opinion, the best on the league. Brahimi and Jackson Martinez are regulars, while they also rotate Quaresma, Tello, Oliver Torres and Aboubakar. That's too much talent! I expect Brahimi, Jackson Martinez and Tello tomorrow. Also, they usually have high possession, usually above 65%, although I expect that to drop to the 55% or less as Sporting also enjoys having the possession and plays at home. Plus, midfield seems to be lacking some nerve and clutch, and the Sporting midfield could win the battle with such quality there. At the back, they seem solid but that is because they usually have more possession. They suffer a bit of the Guardiola syndrome, where the possession is just on how to avoid goal-scoring chances from the opponent. When put under some good executed pressure, Porto's defense looks a bit insecure, just as it was seen against Vitória Guimarães. BTTS: Yes usually is very straightforward when we have two teams that play well and display good attacking moves, but are underperforming in defence. That's the deal here. Sporting has good attack, bad defense, but plays at home so goal expectancy is higher and should open up some spaces in the back. FC Porto has good attack (the best in the League, to me) and so-so defence that has some weaknesses that could be well exploited by a good attack like Sporting, and play away. Therefore, BTTS:Yes is 2.00 on Ladbrokes and Coral, I think there is a bit of value there and should be 1.83.
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 +1.16 +0.81 +0,82 Enjoy! Won't be betting on next matchday (tuesday).
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 Here we go again: Nagoya Grampus @ 2.35 (Unibet) for a 0.4 stake Nagoya Grampus Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.55 (Unibet) for a 0.4 stake Nagoya looking good lately, and not losing for four matches is very impressive. Actually, they won 2 very hard away matches (G-Osaka 1-0 and Yokohama 2-0), while drawing at home against tough forces in the J-League (1-1 both against Kawasaki and Kashiwa). They were in the relegation zone but these last matches brought them back to life. New signings Leandro Domingues (attacking midfielder) and Kengo Kawamata (striker) were important in turning things around. Now they face Ventforet Kofu, a direct oponnent in the fight for avoiding relegation. Kofu is 3 points behind and come from a home win against Sagan Tosu. They haven't won since the WC break and you can feel what this victory could mean to them. However, Sagan Tosu is completely out of form, and Kofu has a load of injuries. Upfront, they lack firepower as well. There is a big difference between both teams in terms of quality, and with that many injuries and without a threat upfront, Kofu will have a hard time even scoring a goal, I think. Nagoya Grampus will want to avoid the relegation battle once and for all, and I predict Nagoya to win 1-0, 2-0. Therefore, splitting 0.8 stake in Nagoya @ 2.35 and Nagoya Over 1.5 TG @ 2.55, covering some scenarios. Omiya Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.15 (Coral) for a 0.7 stake Omiya had a very important win against Kashima Antlers last week, and that will surely bring them back to life. Since new manager took over, team has looked much sharp and very effective upfront. Moreover, with Mrdja and Ljubankic as strikers, they always have a chance to score. They are playing against bottom-table Tokushima, which are almost relegated. Tokushima truly need a win to achieve any slim hope of not getting relegated, and they actually achieve good results against teams of the relegation fight (Omiya, for example), but lately, they have been on a goal drought. Takasaki not looking so good in a long time, he used to score much more. Moreover, their defense has been horrid against stronger attacking opposition. Tokushima might score as Omiya not sharp in the back, but Omiya will definitely score as well, as they are looking good in attack and they know how important a win is here. With a win, they get closer to avoiding relegation zone, so I'm quite sure they will leave blood on the pitch. I can see them score twice and odds on Coral for that are 2.15, I rate that as a touch of value, would price 1.95/2.00. G-Osaka -0.75 AH @ 2.20 (bet365) for a 0.4 stake G-Osaka -1 AH @ 2.70 (bet365) for a 0.2 stake A local derby is always a derby, so lower stakes for this one. Although, G-Osaka is the much, much better team. In 11 official matches (including J-League cup) since the WC break, G-Osaka won 8, draw 2 and lost 1. They drew 2 matches away and lost unfairly at home against Nagoya (0-1). Other than that, they have doing masterful exhibition once in a while, and last week the did a great one as well, winning 1-0 in Hiroshima against Sanfrecce. Usami looks unstoppable at the moment! What a player! Plus, Patric is a very important striker and is doing very well in Japan. Can't see him stay here playing like this for the next season. C-Osaka is doing a very disappointing season, but they look like coming back to life lately after the home win against Kashiwa (2-0). Diego Forlan and Cacau are main strikers but are completely out of form. Cacau is even in the bench at the moment, still not adapted to Japan. They look much more organized in the back now, but their offensive processes are very predictable and dependent on players skills, although that is changing slowly for the better. Although C-Osaka look better with the new manager, they will have a lot of trouble away from home and against such an opponent as G-Osaka. I think differences between both teams will be visible during a point in the match, even if it ends up as a narrow 1-0 win. G-Osaka will probably win this one!
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Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15 Nacional x Sp. Braga: BTTS - Yes @ 2.00 (Betfair Sportsbook) for a 0.8 stake Nacional x Sp. Braga: BTTS & Draw @ 4.75 (Betfair Sportsbook) for a 0.15 stake Nacional and Sporting Braga had a rough last week. Nacional lost 1-2 away to Estoril in a very entertaining match. Sp. Braga were blocked by Arouca away, losing 0-1 in a very ugly match (usual from Arouca). Their attack wasn't that good this time, but credit had to be given to Arouca. Both teams are starting to look really good upfront, especially Nacional. After a very rough start of season (still no wins for them), attack looks like starting to play as it should. However, their backline is surely one of the worst of the championship. Mexer left during the summer transfer window and that is making the difference. Marçal and Miguel Rodrigues are good, but not in-form, while other central defenders are not quality enough and Zainadine (right-back) is not consistent enough. Ali Ghazal (defensive midfielder) not as good as last season as well. This makes them sure candidates to concede in every single match, even though their GK is good. I expect a moment in this championship that the Sp. Braga will be a nut hard to break. Sergio Conceição teams know how to defend really well but they only achieve their defending potential in the second half of the championship. Nacional stadium is always a very hard stadium for Sp. Braga and I expect that once again. Upfront they are having trouble is scoring away (they still haven't scored away) but they faced teams that know how to defend really well (Moreirense and Arouca). Nacional is not like that and I expect them to score this time. Both teams will be fighting for the win as they have the need to bounce back from last week loss. Both teams not defending well (especially Nacional) but loads of talent upfront (especially Braga). I think BTTS is a solid bet here @ 2.00, and I also like the BTTS & Draw @ 4.75 as both teams could want it so bad that they will end up in a 1-1, 2-2 draw.
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Re: NK Maribor v Sporting CP > Wednesday September 17th Sporting backers seething... bet lost -0.75
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Re: NK Maribor v Sporting CP > Wednesday September 17th Sporting Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.38 (Coral) for a 0.75 stake I think this is some crazy odds here! Maribor had enough to narrowly beat Celtic, but this Celtic can't be rated as something, to be honest. They seem to me quite below average, but this is the match where they'll have a better chance on winning, so I expect them to open up a bit upfront and try to score while their back gets more exposed than usual. Sporting has had a rough start of season, although they still haven't lost a match. 3 1-1 draws and a narrow 1-0 win (in the last minute), coupled with some good football makes me believe Sporting will score at least once. They have been playing really good football with the likes of Nani and Carrillo tearing defensive lines apart, but they are having some trouble in scoring goals. Slimani looks a bit out of form and Montero is not your cinical striker. Defensively they haven't been looking great, so they could also concede unless Rui Patricio is in good form and Cedric finally gets to play as a right-back. If Sporting will finally start to score as they should and will, eventually, this Over 1.5 Team Goals should be priced something as 1.8. Sporting attack is a different kind of quality from anything Maribor has faced so far.
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 +0.96
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 Don't like tomorrows coupon and only rate this as value so far. In case I find anything more I'll let you know: Kawasaki Frontale Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 2.28 (Unibet) for a 0.75 stake Kawasaki Frontale will be facing last placed Tokushima Vortis. This is a must-win match if they want to grab Urawa Reds, who are 4 points away on top. Urawa have a troubling away match against Shimizu so this a chance they cannot miss at all! Even in low-form at the moment, Kawasaki have enough to start bringing their A-game back up and what a match to do it. Kawasaki Frontale will be without his best player Yoshito Okubo for tomorrow's match. However, Renatinho, Kobayashi and Morishima are enough to get some goals. Plus, Koji Nakamura is back from physical troubles. While it is true that Tokushima have been having some terrific away results lately, it should be noted that they could only win or draw at home or away when facing low-tier teams such as Albirex, Kofu and Omiya. When facing stronger teams away such as Yokohama, Kobe, Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce, they usually crumble and lose. Their individual quality is well below most of the team in J-League and when there is too much of a difference, their exploits are fully visible. I think the most probable result is something around the 3-0, 3-1, 2-0. I'm expecting 2-0 isn't enough for Kawasaki and they force their way back into another goal. 2.28 for Over 2.5 Team Goals is above evens and I price at 2.00, so there is value to be taken there.
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Re: US Open 2014 Djokovic x Murray - Djokovic 3-1 @ 3.8 (TitanBet) for a 0.3 stake Can only bet this one as there's only value here in this match. Djokovic is 1.29/1.3 atm to win against Murray and I price it accurate. Actually I would even price it lower. Conditions suit Djokovic so well and he seems well enough after that strange US Masters results. He was unfocused back then, but not this time. Murray seems to be lack match fitness and his back problem is killing him sometimes. He did have a good match against Tsonga, but I expect Djokovic to be dominant in this one. Problem is that value is on 3-1, and I expect Murray to win first or second set, and to gradually lose his match fitness and temper against a much more focused and strong Djokovic.
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Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15 4-0 Rio Ave. +1.14 :)
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Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15 +1.41 in the SC Braga match.
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 Nailed it on Gamba Osaka. +1.12. Solid on Kashiwa. +0.37 Bad beat on Vegalta. -0.8 Overall: +0.7.
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Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15 Braga Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.3 (Coral) for a 0.4 stake Braga Estoril Over 2.5 @ 2.38 (Coral) for a 0.3 stake Braga to win and Over 2.5 @ 3.40 (bet365) for a 0.2 stake Splitting stakes well for this one. Braga come up in this new season with a new manager, a seriously competent one to be honest. They brought some new players that will have a big impact, especially Tiba. Then, they already have Eder, Pardo, Alan, Rafa and Ruben Micael as attacking choices, which is really good. They have a big amount of quality upfront, and didn't get to score against Moreirense as they are ultra-defensive, but they had the chances in the 2nd half. And even not playing well, they won against Boavista 3-0. Estoril looked really bad in defending in both matches so far (Arouca away 1-1, Rio Ave home 1-5 loss), although they were attacking well. I think we could see overs here. Braga surely have to quality to score at least twice (hence the enormous Over 1.5 TG @ 2.30 on Coral) for playing at home and will want to win this. Estoril are leaky at the back and are traditionally an attacking team. Result against Rio Ave was clearly abnormal. Think Braga will win this as well, and I'm coupling it with Overs. Rio Ave -1.5 AH (bet365) @ 2.75 for a 0.65 stake For me, this is one of the bets of the soccer week, although it is only on Monday. Rio Ave with 6 points, 2 wins so far, with a good win at home against Setúbal (2-0) and an impressive away win against Estoril (5-1). Although Estoril didn't deserve to lose by 5 goals and could have scored one or another, Rio Ave were impressive in attack. Hassan is scoring goals for fun and Del Valle, Bressan and Tarantini know how to support upfront. Boavista is just too short for this Rio Ave. Most of the players quality are still weak while they are waiting from the money from the Portuguese Federation to build a better team. Much of the players come from the 3rd division, although they bought Owusu Abeyie recently, which should add quality to the team if he wants to play football (which is usually not the case). Other players are expected to come in before the transfer market closure, but not in time to play against Rio Ave. Boavista played reasonably well defensively against Benfica but Benfica was not at their best. Against Braga, a very below-average Braga did enough to win 3-0. Rio Ave should be motivated after yesterday's qualification for Europa League group phase, and it is just a matter of knowing how will the team cope emmotionally. Even if they are not at their best mentally, they are arguably the much better team and will want to win against the weaker side of the Primeira Liga. Braga won by 3 goals, think Rio Ave might assure a win against Boavista and I expect it to be by two goals at least. Handicap lines look IMMENSE at the moment, and will crash before kick-off.
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 Value for tomorrow hides in the handicaps and match odds. Hard to find value in the Overs this time. Gamba Osaka AH -1 (bet365) @ 2.30 (bet365) for a 0.55 stake Gamba Osaka to win to nil @ 3.00 (unibet) for a 0.25 stake Gamba Osaka 1-0 @ 8.00 (unibet) for a 0.10 stake Gamba Osaka took some big blows recently and their title chances are getting very slim now. Their best chance is to get to the 4th place and grab and ACL qualification spot. But they still have to expect a major slip from one or two in the top four. Currently they stand on 8th place with 31 points, 8 behind the 4th place. Their last home loss against Nagoya was a real blow in their hopes, and a 3-3 draw against Kofu away didn't help as well. However, they surely want to be on the right track now, and playing in front of their fans, and such a strong force upfront in Usami and Patric, well supported by Endo, they have a real opportunity to get back to winning days against Albirex Niigata, one of the worst form teams of the leagues. Albirex lost goal-scorer Kengo Kawamata for Nagoya and are having some trouble in coping since the WC break, winning 2 (at home) and losing 5. their last loss was unnaceptable for the fans, who saw them lose against Tokushima (1-2). In those 7 matches, they scored 3 goals, both in the last 2 matches and against weaker teams. Against stronger sides, they struggle to score, albeit unlucky in some matches (Urawa, for example). They stand at 11th with 28 points, and their momentum is worrying. Albirex isn't your typical covering handicap team. AH -1 still wasn't covered in their away matches, as they won some against below top-10 teams, but against top teams they always lose away...but by 1-0 ALWAYS. This surely makes the bet I want (AH -1) seem weaker, as it could only be returned. But I do think Gamba Osaka has a big advantage as they will want to get back to winning more than ever. Also think Gamba Osaka could concede, as they don't seem top form behind. My best bet is that their dominative approach at home shows up and they don't let Albirex breathe for a single moment until the final whistle, or that Albirex struggle to score once again against top sides. Therefore, AH -1 @ 2.30 for Gamba if they wake up wanting to dominate, to win to nil if Albirex can't score any goals once again, and a bit of split stake on the to win to nil in the 1-0, which is Albirex Niigata most regular loss in the year. Actually, away and against top sides, they always lost 1-0 so far. And even if 1-0, AH -1 is returned...so win-win situation. Vegalta Sendai to win either half @ 2.2 (bet365) for a 0.5 stake Vegalta Sendai AH 0.0 @ 2.54 (betvictor) for a 0.3 stake I really think odds should be turned around here, or Vegalta should be at least odds-on. Yokohama really have been having some good results lately, two consecutive wins against Tokushima away (3-0) and an impressive home win against Kawasaki (2-0), although with the ref helping out Yokohama F-Marinos in the first half...but since the WC break, they have been struggling away. Discarding Tokushima match due to obvious reasons, they lost against Gamba Osaka (0-2) and against C-Osaka and Nagoya, they were winning by 2-0 and 1-0, and let the other team come back into the match and draw (final results were 2-2 and 1-1, respectively). Yokohama sure lack the power to control a match away, or at least to show up in both halves. Moreover, some important players had a dip in form (Ito and Saito), and Rafinha is injured for tomorrow's match,so their goal-scoring power is lower. It is hard to beat Vegalta at home. Since the WC, they have 1 wins and 2 draws, and since new manager took over, that's 2 wins and 3 draws. He really wants to make home games feel like secure games to win or at least to draw against harder sides. They have some worries in attack so their firepower could be lower than usual, but they had some absences before and still knew how to score at least 2 or 3. I expect Vegalta to win at least one half, should Yokohama only show up in one half, as I expect it to happen. Vegalta have a good team-spirit and Yokohama could be engulfed in that at some point in the match. 2.20 surely looks good for Vegalta to win a half. Also think Vegalta has a good chance of winning. Think they will not lose, their home factor at the moment is important. I think the most possible result is a draw, but Vegalta could really snatch a winner here and in odds-against, I like the AH 0.0 line that betvictor is offering. Both teams lack offensive power so unders could be likely, but both teams are not good defensively, so avoiding overs/unders. Kashiwa @ 2.15 (unibet) for a 0.5 stake Kashiwa and Under 2.5 @ 4.5 (betway) for a 0.2 stake Kashiwa Reysol have climbed their way into the top-10 after an awful season start. Their home form and Masato Kudo good exhibitions have been an important factor for Reysol's comeback. Ventforet Kofu are trying to escape from relegation once again. They play bad football most of the time, but they always manage to escape! Currently and since the WC break, they still haven't won a single match. 6 draws and 2 losses, and 5 draws in the last 6 matches make them a team not in-form. Kashiwa Reysol are excellent at home and I expect that to happen here. Although they have trouble is breaking the deadlock against weaker sides that shut up shop behind, I think we will see a good exhibition from Kashiwa and they have a good chance of winning here. Think odds should be 1.95 for them to win, so good value on unibet @ 2.15. Also think, due to Ventforet Kofu defensive approach away, that they will struggle to score. Kashiwa look terrific in defending while at home, conceding only 8 goals in home matches in all season, so I think we could be having a 1-0, 2-0 win for Kashiwa here. 4.5 for Kashiwa and Under 2.5 on betway is seriously good odds!
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Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15 First match, Adrien was the main penalty taker. Sporting has penalty, new player Nani takes the spot (and even failed). Sporting won 1-0, no goals scored by Adrien and André Martins. -0.5. Second match is for the ages. Rio Ave won 5-1, in a match were every single shot they took went in. Estoril just missed too much for my kind, horrific finishing. The sitter near the 90' should be watched by everyone. -0.5. That's a bad start. Don't usually like to throw all the culprit into the bad luck, but there was surely some this time. Next time will be better I hope.
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 +0.89 -0.2 -0.45 really bad luck with the Tokyo FC, they should have won it.
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 Nagoya Grampus Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.20 (bet365) for a 0.45 stake A bit of a lower stake than usual as I'm not fully confident here but there is definite value to be taken for a possible Over 2.5 match. Nagoya Grampus bought Leandro and Kawamata for their frontline, and that will surely boost their second half of season. Actually, Leandro already caused an impact, and Nagoya did a very impressive win against Gamba Osaka away, in last week (1-0). I believe they will start to play better now, and probably to score much more. I expect Kawamata to have a strong impact, to be honest. They will be facing Kashiwa Reysol, who look well impressive at the front as well. they have been scoring for fun lately, but seem to be having some trouble at the back, especially when playing away. I think Nagoya will be very motivated from last week and might as well score lots. they still can't defend for life and were quite lucky not to concede against Gamba even though that was a massive win and I expect them to be the usual since the start of season: ultra-ofensive, lots of scoring chances, but very leaky at the back. I expect Nagoya to score at least twice, although I have my questions if they will be able to win. And that's why I don't pull Nagoya + Over 2.5 @ 4.50. I'll just stick with the Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.20.
Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15
in Portugal Football Predictions
Posted
Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15 Vitoria 3-0. +1.08