JuMeSyn
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Posts posted by JuMeSyn
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Re: Group E - Switzerland v Ecuador > Sunday June 15th BTTS: Yes @ 2.05 (BF Sportsbook) for a 0.6 stake I really feel that Ecuador are being well underrated at the moment. Saw them in a couple of friendlies and they always surprised me and I expect it to happen once again, at least in terms of goals. Sure, Switzerland have a very fine time, surely favourites and will most probably be closer to winning today, but Ecuador have some very technical gifted players upfront, and when given the space to counter, they don't usually like to miss it. They will also want to pay homage to Chucho Benitez, play at "home", so motivation should be on high. Still rate them a bit below the Switzs, but will they score today? Yes, I feel they will, they have what it takes. Switzerland is the better team overall and I can't see them scoring against a very weak Equatorian defense, so BTTS looks like a big possibility, and I'm on it.
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Re: Group D - England v Italy > Sunday June 15th got to hate the crossbar sometimes!!
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Re: Group C - Ivory Coast v Japan > Saturday June 14th Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.2 (bet365 during the morning) for a 1.5 stake Took the bet during the morning, but did only have the time to come by now. Now on 2.00, although some bookies still offer 2.10. For me, one of the bets of the tournament as I just can't see this one ending with 0, 1 or 2 goals. Both teams are offensive-minded, Ivory Coast employs a more physical approach and have not only big man Yaya Toure, but great quality players upfront, such as Drogba, Salomon Kalou, Gervinho, and still have the guts to have Bony on the bench. Auerier also provides a lot of depth on the right, and Tioté has some good long ranging efforts. Although they're great on the attack, they lack a lot defensively, just like your usual african side. Might seem a surprise what I'm about to say here about Japan, but if they want, they will destroy this Ivory Coast defense today. Their offensive approach is high-quality and a joy to watch from a neutral point of view. Their main problem is the defensive line as well, and they will struggle not to concede, and that's why I'm avoiding match odds here. Actually, all matches with Japan are to avoid on match odds...but are great to be on overs. Both teams will want to win to bookmark their ambitions in this WC, so I'm expecting an open match since the beginning. If there is an early goal, we might be up for a big scoreline, something like 2-2, 3-2, 3-3, 2-3...who knows. But don't be surprised if first half could end with a low scoreline...typical Japan :)
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Re: Group D - England v Italy > Sunday June 15th Andrea Pirlo TSA @ 7.50 for a 0.10 stake Unpredictable game, could go anywhere, although unders most likely, so I'm going with a very speculative that makes sense in my eyes. Manaus grass isn't the best at the moment, play will be very slow and players may find it hard to start their acelleration under such climate conditions. We should see some tackles flying in at some moments, and Italy will try to get some set pieces to make a difference and score. If Pirlo manage to have a chance, I believe he could be close to scoring his usual WC free-kick. Moreover, this time we have the ref spray. Player can't cheat now, can they?
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Re: Group D - Uruguay v Costa Rica > Saturday June 14th Cavani to score 2 or more @ 7.50 for a 0.15 stake Stuani to be MoM @ 13.00 for a 0.1 stake Even with all the threat regarding the weather, I'm going with this one. Uruguay is far superior to Costa Rica even without Suarez, and Cavani and Stuani did look very good in the friendlies. I expect more of the same here, Costa Rica's defense will have a hard time in stopping them. Even though I feel this won't be a very easy match for Uruguay at some moments, can't see them not winning and not scoring at least twice. Fancy Cavani to score 2, looks good odds to me, but I can also see Stuani scoring and assisting, so I "hedge" him for MoM as there seems to be a lot of value there.
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Re: Group C - Colombia v Greece > Saturday June 14th for me, 3.2 is still value :) but if you're asking if I did took the best price, yeah, maybe you were right. Could have dutched that on betfair, that is quite true... big odd for 2-0 on BF. It is at 7.50 on most bookies I think.
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Re: Group C - Colombia v Greece > Saturday June 14th Colombia and Under 2.5 @ 3.2 (bet365) for a 0.25 stake After some thinking, this is my bet. Can only see a tight array of results such as 1-0, 0-0, 2-0, 1-1 in happening, all of them Under 2.5. Greece are very secure at the back, and Colombia, even with all that talent, may employ a more pragmatic approach. They know they can't lose this one, so I think we are about to see a boring game during most of the minutes. However, Colombia has the talent to win this one, with the likes of Jackson Martinez, Cuadrado, James Rodriguez, Bacca, Teo, all of them are great attacking players and will def get the Greeks into trouble in the last third. Can predict a very tight affair, with Colombia having the edge on a set piece or a good piece of finishing by one of the strikers. Feel odds are still good (were 3.5 during morning), so I'm going for a little nibble.
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Re: Group G - Germany v Portugal > Monday June 16th Can you explain that further with stats and your thoughts, please? :)
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Re: Group C - Ivory Coast v Japan > Saturday June 14th Would write down something more elaborate but still don't feel like it. Maybe 1 hour before the match and after I see initial XIs. But I fully agree with kevshat. odds just too high, boths teams know how to attack very well, but defending is poor. Japan is a clear outsider for me, btw, can see them get a result (draw or win) tomorrow. But for me, the goals market is still the way to go on this one. Odds look too big, and I still didn't figure it out why..
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Re: Group B - Spain v Netherlands > Friday June 13th Brilliant selcum!!! My bet won as well, never in doubt :)
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Re: Group A - Mexico v Cameroon > Friday June 13th 97% humidity? Holy sh*t, players will be physically destroyed.
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Re: Group B - Spain v Netherlands > Friday June 13th Most Goals 2nd Half @ 2.20 (bet365) for a 0.5 stake With both teams and especially Netherlands knowing that a defeat will place them under pressure against the very possible win of Chile, I'm expecting a very boring 1st half, with almost no chances at all. Netherlands will def be employing the 5-3-2 to shut up shop. Louis Van Gaal has already admitted he is ready to avoid great football to achieve good results with a stronger tactical approach. We are also aware of Spain underachieving in the first game. 2010 saw them lose to Switzerland in the first match (goal on second half), while they were surprised against a very good Italy side on the first game (Italy scored first, for a 1-1 - goals on second half). Spain usually relies on having even more possession when employing a low-risk approach in a high-risk game, playing for the 1-0, 2-0...usually goals show up in second half. I'm expecting more of the same here.
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Re: Group B - Chile v Australia > Friday June 13th Chile and Over 2.5 @ 2.30 for a 0.65 stake Eduardo Vargas TSA @ 2.75 for a 0.40 stake This one looks very straightforward to me. Chile are a full attacking team, Sampaoli is a Bielsa-influenced manager which enjoys the 3-4-3 that's based on pressure all over the pitch, having over 60% possession, but with more direct play than your Guardiola typical team. Chile have some outstanding quality upfront, with the likes of Vargas, Alexis and Valdivia and now Vidal (looks like he recovered), and on a good day, can fight against anyone. They have shown their quality in friendlies against Spain (2-2 with Spain scoring the draw in the stoppage time, 2-0 on Wembley, lost 0-1 against Germany but fully dominated the whole match) Chile know they have a chance in this group, and so they know that the group could be decided by goal difference or goals scored, as Spain and Netherlands will be more difficult. So I'm expecting a strong start from them, and I can see them scoring at least 2/3 goals without no trouble at all against a very unconvincing and transitional Australia squad. Australia can also score one though, Chile's style of play is very risky and they could get surprised at the back. Chance of Over 2.5 is good, but I just can't see Chile not winning here, so those odds at 2.30 are to back. While I expect Chile to score 2 or 3, Edu Vargas could be one of those goalscorers. On great form on recent friendlies, Alexis doesn't have that much importance in terms of goalscoring in this Chile team and Vidal might just not be fit enough to play the 90 mins and without match fitness to get himself next to the finishing zone as often. Edu Vargas is usually your man to back for goals, and I feel he could score one tomorrow.
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Re: Group A - Brazil v Croatia > Thursday June 12th good start for the WC, with the 2nd card for Brazil on the 88th minute. Was expecting for fouls from Brazil though. Awful ref btw
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Re: Group A - Brazil v Croatia > Thursday June 12th Brazil Over 1.5 Cards @ 2.10 (bet365) for 1 stake Looks quite easy to justify, for me. Not even by looking at the stats, but I feel there is value here. Referee Yoichi Nishimura is not the best ref for handing out some cards, but Brazil's midfield will have to work very hard to stop the likes of Modric and Rakitic. Paulinho and Luiz Gustavo may get to see a yellow card at some moment during the game if they have to stop a counter, and Dani Alves is always a yellow-card player. Neymar may also get to see one or another if things don't start as Brazil wants, or if he turns on the diving trait. David Luiz also has a high chance, Jelavic and Olic move quite well near the defensive line and can bring some trouble. Ultimately, Brazil player can be anxious about this one, although I feel they will eventually win, anxiety may take over during some moments. Feel like odds are too big for this, happy to take some of it.
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Your Angel di Maria bet is a great catch. Already had some of it to be honest, feel Argentina can all the way into the quarters with no trouble, and semis is what I expect from them. If they get to the final, will all depend if they will be able to turn it up against Brazil, because if Brazil wins, can't see it not going for a Brazilian player.
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Think the Serbia game is quite an outlier. Scolari's Portugal were never really a spetacular side when it came to friendlies, specially before big competitions like this one. I do remember a Portugal 0 Spain 3, where we were completely destroyed, 3 months before the Euro 2004. Then we won 1-0 against them in the tournament. And it could have been much more than 1-0... Brazil seemed to be managing their physical and mental condition, while Serbia had nothing to lose. I truly believe we will see the best Brazil national team for years performing in this WC.
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Seems like rumours that Ribery will miss the WC have starting to build on twitter. I'll be cashing out just in case...
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Speaking of Portugal... As a portuguese, I really feel Portugal will have less trouble than most of the people think in getting to the second stage. First clash against Germany will surely be closer as it was in EURO 2012, where the draw was the fair result. Ghana and USA are good opposition, but just lack in the defensive moments of the match and that will surely cost them. Belgium might be the second round opposition if we get through in second place, or Russia if we get in first. Both are hard opposition, and we will struggle against both, but I think we will have enough to reach the quarters. Belgium has a golden generation, yes. But they are just too raw for the big stage. They will surely struggle to maintain their "A-game" is such stenuous climate differences and in coping with their dark horse status, and will surely fade against a much more experienced team on the big stage (probably Germany, Portugal or Argentina). In the quarter, possible opposition is Argentina, and if we can stop their amazing attack enough, if Messi isn't okay (which I predict it will happen) and we fully exploit their defensive weaknesses, we have a chance. Wishful thinking makes me say that we will reach the semis and lose to usual Spain or Italy, but we will probably collapse on the quarters against Argentina's powerful attack. Even though we are dependent on Ronaldo, the whole initial X11 is very strong, and IMO has no big weaknesses. We have a good GK, a great left-back (Coentrão) and an excellent centerpiece (Pepe and Bruno Alves). Midfield has Veloso, not your fastest player but very important in holding up the game and in set pieces, Meireles as box-to-box and Moutinho as your "he is everywhere". Nani and Ronaldo on the wings nuff said, and Postiga upfront. Only the right-back João Pereira opens up more space than he should, and Helder Postiga isn't the typical goalscorer but he is very important in holding up and creating spaces for Ronaldo to step up. Still some worries about Nani self-motivation, he seems to have eclipsed for a while now... Bench is not as strong, though, we only have as good options to create some impact, Varela, Vieirinha (if recovered) and future-Yaya William Carvalho. Ruben Amorim is also a solid midfielder which can do all the positions in the midfield with good quality. Beto might also step up if Rui Patricio gets injured. Other than that, the rest is just short to make ourselves candidates. But I think we will cause an impact in the competition, and go further than most people think. Took my time today to do my outright bettings for the WC2014. Although I only like to place all of my bets a week before the start in all of those big competitions, I feel there is some straight value to taken right now. Brazil @ 4.2 - betfair 10 stake Italy @ 28 - betfair 1 stake France @ 26 - betfair 1 stake Really do feel that Brazil is still value at 4.2. Even with some doubtful options in the Scolari call-up (leaving Lucas Moura out has no excuse), Scolari usually knows how to build a group of players who are ready to die for one another. Scolari isn't the best coach for smart tactical approaches or innovative strategies...but he certainly is one of the greatest motivators to coach the game. Brazil have an excellent squad even if some great players are not in the 23 call-up, look like playing for fun everytime I watch them and will be completely galvanized due to hosting the competition. All those problems outside football will have no impact in the team while playing, and the whole nation will unite to see Brazil grab their 6th World Cup. Seriously, I can only see a very inspired-Messi Argentina or a very pragmatic Italy stepping up to stop Brazil. Other teams I like with the perspective of doing a back-to-lay in the quarters are Italy and France. France are in a very easy group, and they are showing that when there is no ego-fights in the team, they just play some good football. Didier Deschamps knows what he is doing, and they were very impressive against Norway the other day. Also, turning around such a deficit against Ukraine isn't for your typical nation squad. They are young, talented, have solid options in every position, and will surely end up in first place. They get the 2nd place in group F, and they are strong enough to beat any of the contenders there, excluding Argentina which will surely win the group as well. On quarters, I will want to lay them as Germany might be too much to handle. Italy has a very tough group, but well, it is just Italy. Probably will struggle to reach the second stage as usual, but they have no mercy on knockout stages. They did a very bad WC 2010, but reached the finals in EURO 2012 and I expect them to rise up to the occasion once again. Having one of the best GK ever to play the game, a very solid backline, great midfield options and some serious talent upfront which joker Balotelli, they might be the "big outsider" for me. But with a view of laying them in the quarters.
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Re: Group B - Chile v Australia > Friday June 13th I actually feel this one might be an Over 2.5 game, and I rate current odds of 2.10 on some bookies as big value. Chile's approach is quite gung ho and Australia will have big trouble in stopping them. Although, Chile's defense gets themselves quite exposed with some good attack transition procedures. This one might turn out to be something like a 3-1, 4-1, as I feel that Australia might actually score one on a good counter, or after a set piece.
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Vidal still doubtful though.
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Re: International Friendlies 13th May - 26th May I actually rate Equador quite highly. Portugal had some trouble in a friendly against them (we lost 2-3). A bit leaky behind but outstanding on the counter. They have 3/4 very technical and fast players upfront, and will enjoy the climate in Brazil. I can see them upsetting the Switzs for a place in the 1/8s.
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 Easy wins :)
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Re: Japan j1 league 2014 Vegalta Sendai x Vissel Kobe: Vissel Kobe Team Goals Over 1.5 @ 2.50 (bet365) for a 0.4 stake Although the DNB has been as high as 2.10 for Vissel Kobe, I clearly feel that all the value is on Vissel Over 1.5 Team Goals. Vegalta Sendai lacked attacking power to steamroll Tokushima Vortis with a narrow 1-0 away win and haven't been that convincing in other matches, which clearly shows that they will fight for avoiding relegation until the end the season, unless some new players come after the WC 2014. Moreover, Vegalta is full of injuries, some of them very important players. Meanwhile, Vissel Kobe are in top flight, even though with 3 draws. They have no margin for error and their attack, with Pedro Junior and Marquinhos, will surely do some damage in a unmotivated and quality-lack Vegalta Sendai side. I expect Vissel to score at least 2 to secure a win, so 2.50 odds look excellent.
Group C - Japan v Greece - Thursday June 19th
in World Cup 2022 Tips & Predictions
Posted
Re: Group C - Japan v Greece - Thursday June 19th Seriously think Japan will win here. Players will have to quickly bounce back and their style fits really well against defensive formations. Greece wasn't that surprising against Colombia, they seem to lack a lot of creativity. Will give a further preview some hours before the match.