four-leaf

Flipkens - Niculesku 2.88 Pinnacle
 
Flipkens played very well last week, but lost against Konjuh in a close match. She did pretty nice doubles tournament, where she took the title. The Belgian is leading 3:2 against Monica in H2H despite loosing their last match, when the Romanian was on top form and won Luxembourg WTA tourney. Flipkens started well here with two wins, one on single and one on doubles. My estimation of her odds is max 2.30 for this match.

Davis - Ostapenko around 2.00
 
Davis continues to impress. She beat two Top 25 players very easy. She finished strong last year and seems that her improvement is visible. Ostapenko had easier path to the 1/2-final. She could have serious problems against running players like Davis if her shots are not entering as she want.
 
 

Not the start that I wanted obviously, but I'm kinda used to these streaks after 2016. Here we go with some night matches.
 

Christina Mchale to beat Alizé Cornet at 2.00 with bet365
Christina leads the head to head 2-1. She's won their only meeting in Australia before but all their three matches they've played have gone to a deciding set so this match is kind of a toss up when looking at their past meetings. Alizé had a good start to a pretty moderate 2016 where she took the title in Hobart because of an easy draw in that tournament where pretty mutch every player she met played bad. Even Bouchard in the final. Alizé started off by beating Elena Vesnina and that was kind of strong but considering everything about that this is a toss up I still dare to say Christina is the better player right now.

Johanna Konta to beat (-5.5) Vania King at 1.72 with bet365
Can't see Vania having mutch of a chance here since she will be completely outplayed in every aspect of the game. They met last season in Montreal and Johanna won 7-5 6-1 that time. Johanna destroyed Cagla Buyukakcay 6-2 6-0 in a clinical effort in her first round match when Vania played out a three set battle against Maria Sakkari. Should be something similar as last year when they went head to head.
Karolina Pliskova to beat (-5.5) Asia Muhammad at 1.72 with bet365
Karolina completely destroyed Yulia Putintseva 6-3 6-1 in her first round match and should easily destroy Asia also even if she's qualified and played well so far but that's only by her standards.
Should be two pretty straight forward matches by both players.

Alex De Minaur to beat (+3.5) Mischa Zverev at 1.83 with bet365
I'll keep on playing on Alex. Now he's got the older Zverev against him who finished last season pretty well with a quarter in Shanghai where he took a set off of Djokovic and a semifinal in Basel where he knocked out Stan Wawrinka who finished last season pretty bad. 
Anyway I still strongly belive this match will be tight enough for Alex to cover 3.5 games. He's got pretty good groundstrokes and plays solid from the baseline and has a lot of selfconfidence coming in to this. It wont be so easy for Mischa to break serve here.

Marina Erakovic to beat Jelena Ostapenko at 2.25 with bet365
Only ranking makes Jelena the favourite in this one. Marina can easily take advantage of the many unforced errors from the raquet of Jelena. Had a bet on Jelena last season to be the highest ranked player compared to three others and she only did one good thing the hole season and that was when she reached the final in Doha I think where her best tournament was where she lost to Carla Suárez Navarro but she beat Petra Kvitova and Svetlana Kuznetsova on her way to it. Anyway she started the season in awful fashion down under beating Johanna Larsson in straight sets and then falling to Naomi Broady after being up one set and leading 5-2 in second and 5-1 in third. It was just awful to see and that was only the beginning since she played many matches like that through out the hole season. I think she will do it again against Marina who is the home player in Auckland where this match takes place tomorrow. This is the only tournament where you can count on Marina to be fully motivated and do well.

Alex De Minaur to beat Frances Tiafoe at 2.50 with bet365
Alex kickstarts the season with a win to qualify for his first ATP tournament at home in Brisbane. I like what Alex has shown so far and he will be poised to proceed up the rankings this season. He has got a good game and Frances didn't make anyone happy at the end of last season. He didn't finish the season in optimal ways as Alex did.

Alex De Minaur to beat Frances Tiafoe at 2.50 with bet365
Alex kickstarts the season with a win to qualify for his first ATP tournament at home in Brisbane. I like what Alex has shown so far and he will be poised to proceed up the rankings this season. He has got a good game and Frances didn't make anyone happy at the end of last season. He didn't finish the season in optimal ways as Alex did.

Alex De Minaur to beat Frances Tiafoe at 2.50 with bet365
Alex kickstarts the season with a win to qualify for his first ATP tournament at home in Brisbane. I like what Alex has shown so far and he will be poised to proceed up the rankings this season. He has got a good game and Frances didn't make anyone happy at the end of last season. He didn't finish the season in optimal ways as Alex did.

Natalia Vikhlyantseva didn't play to impressive. Dalma Galfi made double faults in decisive moments 3 times that once gave Natalia Vikhlyantseva a break and once a breakpoint. I'm not too impressed by the russian. And once Natalia had the lead in second and third set Dalma started to lose patience and just selfdestructed.

This was a nice one. Omar Jasika was at 1.66 when match started. Good value!

This was a nice one. Omar Jasika was at 1.66 when match started. Good value!

Jasika - O'Connell 2.07
Jasika was very convincing in the second round of AO wild card playoff after beating in the first round Matosevic. He has a huge support group. The talent won USA Open for juniors two years ago, but this season he is struggling. At the end of the year Jasika is starting to find his form. He's got AO experience and is capable to beat well ranked guys. O'Connell did perfectly against Groth, but needed 5-sets and he spent a lot of mental energy in the fifth set. The most important hint is that six weeks ago Jasika beat O'Connell 6:4, 6:4 and was dominating during the entire match winning a lot more points and earning many more BP chances.

Fourlis - Tjandramulia 2.18 Pinnacle
The odds for Fourlis went up in the last hours and I think until the match they will once agian will go bellow 2. Fourlis is showing better tennis among seniors, despite the fact that she is two years younger than her oponent. Earlier this year she won 25k tournament on hard in Australia. Now she needed three sets to pass the second round, but she was so convinsing in the second and third set. Tjandramulia stunned the big favorite Rodionova, but used a lot of physical and mental energy at that match. She was loosing 3:5, before winning with 7:5 the decider. I am giving her Fourlis 1.80 odds, so 2.18 is nice. 

Monova - Zidansek 4.00 Bet365
Pune final
Zidansek surprised me at her first tournament on hard. She reached final and was showing good tennis. However her opponents were weaker than those of Monova. Zidansek played on three continents in the last three weeks and did so many matches. I think if she will be involved in some deep encounter, she would fade.
The Russian won two tournaments on hard this season and in both finals she was outsider. Here she didn't gave a set and only her rankings was putting her so behind in odds. Maybe the correct odds for Monova would be in the range of 2.75-3,00.
Sliusar - Morderger 2.81 Pinnacle
The rankings and the results on clay this season for both of them are pretty equal. Morderger is on a great run with 8 wins in a row on singles and she is playing well on doubles with her twin sister. She will not be so fresh as Sliusar who took a month off before returning to Turkey.
The last loss of Morderger was by Sliusar, but the German is leading 2:1 in direct encounter (one of those matches also was very close). The form of Morderger is nice, but previous time when she was beaten, she was also coming from 6 wins in a row and a tournament on her belt won previous week. Sliusar gave a total of 9 games to her three opponents so far, while the Morderger's lost games are almost double - 17.

I watched several of Cagla's matches this season. She is a solid Top 100 player, who may stun a lot of favorites, who didn't have a day. Maybe she is a real fighter, but probably was a little bit tired after the long season and didn't set her form progress to defend her title. I am surprised by Pervak, who was one of the many trying-to-return players. Didn't watch the match, but I will be happy if you may share some impressions about how she played?
Surprised also by Rodina loss.
 
 

Tjandramulia - Rodionova 5.20 Pinnacle
I expect kind of surprise here, despite the fact that Rodionova is leading 3:0 in H2H including two wins in the last two months. One of those two wins was very close 1:6, 7:5, 7:5 and in this match Tjandramulia won more total points and had 18 BP chances against 9 for Rodionova. It was very close one. Tjandramulia is former Top 36 junior player. Rodionova is the favorite here, but the range of the odds must be something around 3,5 - 4.00 for Tjandramulia for her. Anything over is worth a try.
 
 
 

Abduraimova - Sharipova 2.37 Will Hill
ITF Dubai
These two girls are good friends and sparing partners. The H2H is 2:1 for Sharipova, but their last encounter in 2014 was for Abduraimova, who started with a very strong win over Minela (on the edge of returning to Top 100). Sharipova also started well, but her recent form isn't impressive. Two weeks ago she participated in AO playoff torunament when was stunned in the very first round. Not sure if she is at his best, while I see Abduraimova capable to score several upsets here. 
 
 
 
 

Voskoboeva - Haas 2.25 Will Hill
Dubai ITF
Not a big fan of returning players and I already hit the post with Voskoboeva in one of her previous tournaments, but I was really surprised that she beat by so convincing way Kucova. The Kazakhstanian is Top 50 material, but after two years of injuries her comeback is questionable. However here she could make a statement. Haas is nothing special, despite the fact that hard is her favorite surface. She played 2.30 hours to beat Patty Shnider, who had a lot of chances to win the match, and may pay the price for that. Voskoboeva had a day off, when she played a double match, which was a good training. I think that here Voskoboeva must be a slight favorite, around 1.80 mainly based on her first match in the tournament.

Great betting again on Kaylah Mcphee ogii55 and not so great from me on Rodina who lost badly  and Galfi is about to lose it looks like too
Edit: Ok Dalma Galfi won her match. At least something!  But I better get a better grip on things to come if I wont to make profit.