Neubs

So at Saturday a profit of +8.3 Units

My bets for tomorrow are Barrow (Naps), Torquay, Margate, Hayes & Yeading and FCUM.

Germany Lower League - Oberliga South
 
Germany Oberliga South today with a game between the reserve of Rot Weiß Erfurt and League Leader Lok Leipzig. Leipzig with no lose in the league so far and last month with many draws, but after there impresive win against 2nd Place team Inter Leipzig 2 game away they are now in Form. They have the best squad, away with 6-4-0. Also with Schinke (MF 21 Games/6Goals) and Surma (Def 21 Games) are 2 important players back after suspension. So Leipzig with no missings today. Erfurt II with good Form in last games, but last Weekend they lose against Inter Leipzig 0:4 and for sure Inter Leipzig has the best offensive in League from quality. But think LOK Leipzig can to the same. Erfurt II playing for nothing, they are not playing any more in next Year. The same like Halle II and Dynamo Dresden II did this season. The Club not want to play in League Games because it´s not good for Financials.
So Erfurt in 3. Bundesliga this Weekend have made safe the League for next Year. Big Party at Weekend and also i don´t think that they let many Players to play today in this game for the reserve. Think the players who doesn´t play many games, now will play in 3. Bundesliga.
So also Erfurt II played at 24 the April, while Leipzig played last game 20th April. Lok Leipzig played Friday a benefit Game for a former Club Player who died in Costa Rica. But not important for fitness here. But Erfurt II 2 Days since last Game and in this League where Players also must go to work, it´s maybe not the best Situation. Also the Game start early at 17:00 Clock. So maybe working Players are not so fresh. Leipzig with most of the players are Full Time Players, so no blow for them.
Table Situation is that LOK have 2 Games more then Inter to play and acutally 5 Points in Front. Maybe with a win today, they can made 8 Points in Front. Big Chance here to made the Promotion "safe".

Lok Leipzig @ 1.90 4/10 bet365
 
@cyrus69 Sorry was Groundhopping last Weekend, so can´t answer you.

I doubt Halifax will be messing around with the squad tonight. They need points and it doesn't matter who they get points against. Forest Green may have 2nd place, but they have been in dreadful form so will be wanting to find some form ahead of the play-offs. Neither game will be easy. I want Eastleigh to win tonight as I backed them to finish top 5 at the start of the season and they still have an outside chance of finishing 3rd which would be huge for me.

Chelmsford v Gosport
Again I am leaving the National League alone this weekend as only Tranmere made any sort of appeal and the price seems about right. Instead it seems safer to stick mainly to the tried and tested teams to oppose in recent weeks. Granted Gosport got a draw against Bishops Stortford last week, but their keeper got man of the match so we were unlucky not to collect. They did beat Basingstoke on Tuesday, but they are bottom and although this game against Chelmsford will be much harder. The home side had won three on the bounce, before losing to Ebbsfleet last Saturday. They played well in that 3-1 defeat and they will fancy their chances to get back to winning ways here. I think they should be odds on so Marathon's 13/10 makes plenty of appeal.   Harrogate v Boston The home side have been struggling to pick up wins for a while now and from looking good things to be in a play-off place they are looking over their shoulders. They have only won once in their last six although they did get a decent draw at Nuneaton in midweek. Boston are also trying to cement their play-off place and they have won three on the bounce now. They have a better chance than their odds suggest given Harrogate are struggling to win games and I think it is well worth taking the 23/10 on Boston.   Ilkeston v Rushall Olympic The away sides form isn't great as they have only won once in their last six games, however their away form is good as they have only lost to Darlington on their travels in their last six. Ilkeston won a couple of games to make sure of their safety but they only beat sides below them in the table and Hyde are hopeless at the moment. They lost again on Tuesday night to Buxton and Rushall really should have too much for them. A price of 7/4 looks very tasty.   Treble Bishop's Stortford let us down last week, but as I mention above they were unlucky and although I wouldn't want to go lumping on them at 4/7 to beat Margate they are worth sticking them in a treble. Margate were stuffed 4-0 by top of the table Sutton last week and only had 3 subs on the bench which suggests they are struggling for players. Grays lost again last week and they play champions elect Hampton this weekend. It would be one of the biggest shocks of the season if Hampton didn't win and they should be capable of putting a few pass them. It has been no surprise to see that Darren Kelly has had no effect on Hyde and they still continue to lose and concede goals for fun. Buxton should have no issues seeing them off this weekend. It could be worth looking at handicap markets for the later two teams but the treble pays 2/1 with Marathon which looks a fair bet.

Gosport v Basingstoke
This game was meant to be played on Easter Monday when I was very keen on Basingstoke. I am not as strong on them tonight, but they have to be backed again. Basingstoke are going down and they blew a 2 goal lead on Saturday against Weston, but as we know Gosport are one of the worst teams in the division at the moment. We were unlucky not to collect on Bishops Stortford on Saturday as Gosport's keeper got man of the match which tells you all you need to know about how the game went. The away side are over 4/1 and that is too big.
Hemel Hempsted v St Albans
A local derby this and the bookies have certainly priced it up based on league positions rather than actual form. Since Ian Allinson took over as St Albans manager they have been on fire and have won six of their last eight matches. They played away at Maidenhead on Saturday and got a late winner against another team trying to get in the play-offs. That shows they have what it takes to win this game. Hemel are doing well enough themselves at the moment and are currently in the final play-off place. They also won with a late winner on Saturday. St Albans certainly aren't good things, but they certainly have a much better chance of odds of 6/1 suggest and with a bit of luck a 34/1 double might just be landed.

Both can´t win. Bad Pick, sorry

Gosport v Bishops Stortford
Hemel may have only won 1-0 against Gosport last Saturday and the goal may have only been a penalty, but that scoreline doesn't really reflect their dominance over Gosport. It should have really been more and I can't understand why yet again the bookies seem to have paid no attention to the issues at Gosport. I thought after they lost again last weekend that the bookies might have caught on, but they haven't and we get to back their opponents at bigger than 2/1! Stortford are in decent form at the moment having only lost once in their last six and they had a good 3-0 win over Oxford City last weekend. Their away form does worry a little as they have only won once away in their last 6 games on the road, but that almost doesn't matter too much given the situation at Gosport and it looks a cracking bet.   Margate v Sutton and Grays v Needham Margate and Grays are two more sides that I have been opposing of late and it looks worth doing their opponents in a double. Sutton may be deducted points at some stage, but as it stands they hold the upper hand in the National League South title race and it would be a massive shock if they lost at woeful Margate on Saturday. Bookies have seemingly cottoned onto the Grays situation and their opponents Needham are 4/7 even though they are in a relegation battle and 12 points behind Grays. They won in mid-week and given they still have something to play for they should be beating Grays. The double pays 6/4 with Marathon. I will not be taking on Ilkeston this week as they play another side in a mess in Hyde and if anything Ilkeston might well win that given their last two efforts have been much improved. I also had Welling and Wrexham on my short-list in the National League but the prices look about right to me.

Friday Combo

I will start with a Combo here in the Weekend.
Take a look to German Lower League here.
Germany Regional League North-East have one Friday Game with Nordhausen against Schoenberg and a Friday Game in Germany Oberliga South with Markranstaedt against Lokomotive Leipzig.
I will go here on both Favorite´s Nordhausen and Leipzig.

Nordhausen sit on the 3rd Place and after a big 0:5 defeat few Weeks ago in Zwickau, the Season seems to be over. No Chance for Promotion. Now Zwickau struggle and there is now 7 Points behind Leader Zwickau in 8 Games to go. Interessting here, that this Weekend Berliner AK (2nd in League) will play against Zwickau (1st). So chance to made some contacts to the Leaders here. Nordhausen also a team with great offensive and some Players who have played a good Role in Germany 3rd League Teams, like Pfingsten-Reddig (Erfurt), Semmer (Erfurt), Foerster (Chemnitz), Pichinot. So also they are very strong at home with a 8-5-0 and 26-8 goals. Schoenberg season is over i think. Playing for nothing. Can´t be relegated and can´t get promotion. Sit on 10 th Place and also with not a good away Bilance. 3-4-6 so far and okey last Games on the Paper looking good. 2 win´s in a Row but both against bottom of the League Teams and also last Games they have only played against bottom Teams or teams who struggling last Weeks (Bautzen).
Other Game ist now Markranstaedt-Leipzig. Markranstaedt is a little city close to Leipzig. So it will be a Home Game so far, because the Home Team have no big Fan Base. Also the Home Team in last Years they every time want´s to be promoted but every time they failed. Now this Season Sponsor Nussbaum put not many Money in the Team, so Squad before Season become weaker Quality. Markranstadt strong at Home with 6-3-2, but Leipzig is simple in a other League in this Season. Unbeaten in all away Games actually with 5-3-0 and a Club with huge Fan Base. After some Draws in last Weeks, last Game in Leipzig was great and they have win 5:0 against Cottbus II. So Form is great and now i think every Player now have to play for a place in next Year´s Season in a higher League. So motivation is i think huge. So first Game in Leipzig this season Leipzig win 4:0.

Nordhausen+Lok Leipzig @ 2.26 5/10 bet365

Congratulations Neubs 

FT 4:2

2. Bundesliga
Friday
Braunschweig-Paderborn

I´ll try the Home Win here. Paderborn with New Coach Mueller with 5 Points in last 3 Games, but this is not enough to climb up in the Table, because all other teams in bottom ot the Table, are earn points. So also Mueller must repleced suspended Defener Narey. Heineloth i think will play for him, but problems from Paderborn are Defensive AND Attack.Also there important defender Sebastian is doubtful. Think he will play, but if he can´t play. Big Blow for Paderborn here. No Goal Scorer and for sure last away Game they win in Hamburg against St. Pauli 3:4 but i´ve seen this game. Terrible Defensive Performance from St. Pauli and in last Minutes Paderborn struggling in Defensive. And then last Game a goaless Draw against Duisburg with a terrible performances. So Paderborn isn´t stable enough to climb up fast in the tabel i think. Also pressure here is big for Paderborn. They sit on Place 17, which is first Relegation Place at the end of the season.
Also with 3-2-8 and 11-23 Paderborn isn´t good enough away.
On the other Hand Braunschweig, waiting since 6 Games for a win and now i don´t think they will be relegated, but there is only 10 Points to 1860 Munich who are sitting on the Relegation Play Off Place. So don´t feel safe in Braunchweig and now they must win a game. Braunschweig with good defensive in Home Games, where they have a 5-5-3 and 14-9 Bilance. They must replace also a Defender with Sauer, who are injured. Also Coach Lieberknecht must search for a right winger./defender. Correria, Ofosu-Ayeh are injured and Matuschyk suspended but Lieberknecht is a superb Coach for this league, i think he made the best about this situation.

For me here Braunschweig are Favourite and if they show that football before Winter break, i think they can win this here.

Braunschweig @ 2.20 3/10 interwetten

Bundesliga
Mainz-Augsburg

I see here a hard bet on 1x2 so, there is no choice here for me. Personal i would say Augsburg can win this, but for me it´s too hot. But what i see here is goals on both Sides. Advantage here for Mainz is, they have no pressure.They are safe in the League, standing on the 7th Place. And they are realistic enough too see whats can happen when a Club playing in Europe, when the squad is not good enough. Look Augsburg, Freiburg for many Years ago. So Europe for Mainz is not the big thing. For sure they would be happy, when they have end of the season a Europe Place, but is not the Mission.
Augsburg now in last games with nice offensive Performances, but in Defensive they looks not in Form in last Weeks. First for me this is why they have played Europe and thats for such a club not easy to handle. Other thing is they have to fight the whole season with some injurys from Players in Defensive. So every game it´s a surprise who will play in defensive. The Offensive in last games, i said it, with superb performances. Creating some chances, but they have to score more from his chances. But they have no still many options in Attacking. Finnbogason playing well last Games, they have Bobadilla.
So but why should both teams to score today. Easy for me. Mainz have first of all no Pressure and the other thing is, they are better when they can play on counter attack. Okay it´s a Home Game and Mainz can´t play only on counter attack, but Augsburg need Points now. All other teams in bottom of the league grabbing points.Augsburg needs to play some offensive Football. Can helpful for Mainz by counter attacks and also Mainz looking not good in defensive against Bremen in last Game. So also the Game against Mainz is important, because next week they have another away game in Bremen. So i think Augsburg will not playing only in defensive. So i see here many chances on both Sides. So both to score for me a good bet.
On Mainz side also Balogun and Baumgartlinger doubts. So better if both can´t play for my bet. Baumgartlinger very important here for Mainz.

Both 2 Score - Yes @ 1.80 4/10 bet365

2. Bundesliga
Friday
Braunschweig-Paderborn

I´ll try the Home Win here. Paderborn with New Coach Mueller with 5 Points in last 3 Games, but this is not enough to climb up in the Table, because all other teams in bottom ot the Table, are earn points. So also Mueller must repleced suspended Defener Narey. Heineloth i think will play for him, but problems from Paderborn are Defensive AND Attack.Also there important defender Sebastian is doubtful. Think he will play, but if he can´t play. Big Blow for Paderborn here. No Goal Scorer and for sure last away Game they win in Hamburg against St. Pauli 3:4 but i´ve seen this game. Terrible Defensive Performance from St. Pauli and in last Minutes Paderborn struggling in Defensive. And then last Game a goaless Draw against Duisburg with a terrible performances. So Paderborn isn´t stable enough to climb up fast in the tabel i think. Also pressure here is big for Paderborn. They sit on Place 17, which is first Relegation Place at the end of the season.
Also with 3-2-8 and 11-23 Paderborn isn´t good enough away.
On the other Hand Braunschweig, waiting since 6 Games for a win and now i don´t think they will be relegated, but there is only 10 Points to 1860 Munich who are sitting on the Relegation Play Off Place. So don´t feel safe in Braunchweig and now they must win a game. Braunschweig with good defensive in Home Games, where they have a 5-5-3 and 14-9 Bilance. They must replace also a Defender with Sauer, who are injured. Also Coach Lieberknecht must search for a right winger./defender. Correria, Ofosu-Ayeh are injured and Matuschyk suspended but Lieberknecht is a superb Coach for this league, i think he made the best about this situation.

For me here Braunschweig are Favourite and if they show that football before Winter break, i think they can win this here.

Braunschweig @ 2.20 3/10 interwetten

Oberliga North-South
Sunday
Wismut Gera-FC Eisenach

What a clash here between these two bottom of the league teams. 15th in the table against 16th in the Table. And interesting here is the fact that normaly 14th+15th+16th in the table are relegated. But now some rumours said, that Erfurt II and Cottbus II both are take back his teams from this league of financial isuses. So 15th Place will be first NO-Reglegation Place. Gera since Mid-Week without a Coach, because Gruettner are not longer Coach in Gera. I´ve read some infos here and i must said, that Gera are in some games playing good footbal, but they are very weak in scoring goals. But Sunday they are playing against the weakest defensive Line in the league and the weakest away Team. There is no doubt that Eisenach have a big surprise last weekend with a 2-1 win against 2nd Placed team of International Leipzig. But be careful, i think Inter Leipzig take it against Eisenach to easy. So other Games after winterbreak here for Eisenach, 1-6 against Halle 96, 0-6 against Markranstaedt - both away games and 02 against Cottbus II. So Gera for sure here with last Games not taking a win, but Sunday they will win. Better team, weak away Team and i think better squad here. So for me:

Gera @ 1.90 3/10 bet365

FT 1:3
Volland with the 0:2

Hamburg-Hoffenheim

I´m going here with Hoffenheim. Take a view of the whole season they deserved to stay on Place 17, take a view of the performances from Hoffenheim since New-Coach Naggelsmann take over they don´t deserved the 17th Place. They playing good Football and let´s talk it open, the squad is better then Place 17th. Problem here is they can´t show this Performances in Away Games. Reasons here - Lost 1-5 against Stuttgart... Very Bad Day, that can happen
1-3 Lose in Dortmund, i write some words after that game about the performances here. They only lose this game, after Rudy was sent off. If they can show the same performances today, think Hamburg will become many troubles.
On Hoffenheim Side only Schwegler are missing. Other missings are Herdling, Joelinton and Grahl. But these are no important players.
Interessting Fact for me is, that Hoffenheim under Naggelsmann very unpredictable in tactic. 4-4-2 or 3-5-2 both have Hoffenheim in last games showing and both are looking really good.
Now Hamburg. Sit on 12th Position, but allready not safe for Relegation Places. When they lose today and think Frankfurt will win against Hannover, then only 4 Points between them. Performances last games didn´t impressed me. There are many ups and downs. Also today without important Players. Mueller are suspended and On-Loan Striker Drimic injured and out for the season. So out of Form Striker Lasogga or Rudnevs will begin. For me personaly big blow here.
Then interessting fact. Next Hamburg game will be important. The opponent is Hannover. Hamburg needs here in Hannover all 3 Points. But think Hannover lose today and then Coach Schaaf maybe get sacked, so new coach had 2 weeks time to made a better Hannover team. So the interessting fact here is that in Hamburg many important Players have 4 Yellow Cards. Another one and the player are suspended. Players are:
Ekdal, Gregoritsch, Lasogga, Jung and Ostrzolek. So specially in defensive are can be in trouble.
Hamburg nothing special in Home Games with 4-4-5 and Hoffenheim only with 1-4-8, but last games are showing that Hoffenheim will climb up in the table slowly.

Hoffenheim AHC0 @ 2.51 3/10 SBOBET
Volland 2 scorey anytime @ 3.60 0.5/10 bet365

3. Bundesliga
Aue-Halle
Friday

Nice Game here today and Aue on the 2nd Place in Table wants to show a reaction after that deserved Lose last week in Kiel. The peformance there was very bad. So important here that with Breitkreuz and Hertner 2 important defenders are back from injury. So the best defensive is complete here. Aue @ home with many Draws 7-8-0 here so far and 14-4 goals. So but i don´t think this will be a Draw today.
Halle in last Games 4 Games with 3 Draws but must see the oponnents there. In Stuttgart II, in Erfurt and last week at home against Mainz II. So weaker opponents then Aue today. Also Halle are not a good away team with 3-4-7 and only 12 Goals in Away Games. Also some rumours here this week in Halle. There best Striker Osawa maid offical that he will join Kaiserslautern after this season. Also some other players now knowing that they must leave the club. So atmosphere surly not the best in Halle. Good for Halle is that important Striker Furoholm is not injured, but doubtful. They hope in Halle that he can sit on the bench after a long injury time. But for the Aue Game, it´s too early to give Halle some positive boost.So also see Halle 3 time this season and must say against strong Defensive Line´s Halle are looking very weak. And today against the best defensive from the whole league i didn´t think that they can win or made a Draw here. So for me here:

Aue -0.5 @ 1.95 4/10 sbobet

Oberliga North-South
Sunday
Wismut Gera-FC Eisenach

What a clash here between these two bottom of the league teams. 15th in the table against 16th in the Table. And interesting here is the fact that normaly 14th+15th+16th in the table are relegated. But now some rumours said, that Erfurt II and Cottbus II both are take back his teams from this league of financial isuses. So 15th Place will be first NO-Reglegation Place. Gera since Mid-Week without a Coach, because Gruettner are not longer Coach in Gera. I´ve read some infos here and i must said, that Gera are in some games playing good footbal, but they are very weak in scoring goals. But Sunday they are playing against the weakest defensive Line in the league and the weakest away Team. There is no doubt that Eisenach have a big surprise last weekend with a 2-1 win against 2nd Placed team of International Leipzig. But be careful, i think Inter Leipzig take it against Eisenach to easy. So other Games after winterbreak here for Eisenach, 1-6 against Halle 96, 0-6 against Markranstaedt - both away games and 02 against Cottbus II. So Gera for sure here with last Games not taking a win, but Sunday they will win. Better team, weak away Team and i think better squad here. So for me:

Gera @ 1.90 3/10 bet365

Great posts Neubs, keep up the good work.  

Werder Bremen-Hannover 96

Big Northgermany Derby here and it´s for sure for Hannover a do or die Game. But i say i´m with Ursulla here. Bremen will win this. First of all must say i´m Werder Bremen Fan, but think when i´m betting, i take off my Fanclasses.
Bremen with terrible Home Bilance with 1-4-6. They are the 2nd weakest Home Team of the league, behind "leader" Hannover. Hannover won the first Game of this season so far with 1:0. But i saw this game and it was a typical 0:0 Game. Bremen in this game must say maybe with the weakest Game of the season. But now they showing some good games, specially this 4-1 victory in Midweek in Leverkusen. Superb Game from Bremen and it´s a phenomen in last years when Bremen have every Year Problems with his Form or with the Table Situation, the whole club and Fans are standing together. So it´s complete opposite to Hannover here. Pressure here very high on Hannover. They must win and if you see the Game against Wolfsburg in Midweek, it was terrible. Wolfsburg deserved not a 4-0 win. They have can score 6 or more goals. So Wolfsburg a team with more quality then Bremen have, but Bremen have a acutally very good in Form Offensive. The comeback from Fritz after a little injury, against Leverkusen was also big plus. Hannover here again without Almeida and Benschop. I´ve read it in Preview against Wolfsburg. Hannover will miss both of them against Bremen really. Because defenders of Bremen - Vestergaard and Djilobodji are both from typ of player´s like Wolfsburg defenders. Moral in Hannover is bad and think they are slowley realized that they can hold this year the Bundesliga 1. Other thing is that Bremen most of the time in last years every time you think it´s going up in Form and Table or Playing against a weak team, they lost there own good Form and Lose. Maybe tomorow they showing a bad performance, but the crowd will push Bremen here. There gives no "Buh" against the own team. So maybe it will be a bad game, but Bremen will win. Dirty 1-0 or 2-1. Or can Bremen catch up there good form from Leverkusen!? Then it can be HC for Bremen. But i´m playing only here:

Bremen @ 1.80 5/10 interwetten

German Bundesliga 3
FC Magdeburg-Hansa Rostock

Nice East-Germany Derby here, tomorow. Magdeburg are with a very good season and they are sit on 5th Place close to the Play Off Place 3, by 4 Points behind. After some Draws in last weeks, i think they can beat Rostock. Played last week against Stuttgarter Kickers at home and made a deserved Win. Stuttgart behind Rostock in Table but playing after Winter Break much better then the table situation is. So this win for Magdeburg was really good. Personaly Magdeburg will rotate tomorow. This have Coach Haertel said in Interviews. This is typical for Magdeburg, so the rotation is nothing special. Even Top-Scorer Beck is not safe for Starting XI. Magdeburg also @home very strong by 8-4-1 and now they will face Rostock who are 2-7-5 in away games. So many Draws, but saw Rostock 2 times this season in Stadium live when they played away. Against Aue and Halle. And in both Games they are very poor in Offensive. So actually with New Coach Brand after the Winter Break. Nothing new, they are poor as always. So last 2 Games they have won against direct opponents in Fight against Relegation. Win in Cottbus 1:0 and win against Kiel with 1:0. But fairly must i said, 2 Goals with "Zero" Chances. Both was not Lucky, because opponents was also very poor in this game, but didn´t think that tomorow will come another poor game. For me here, Rostock are too Poor in Attacking, specialy against Magdeburg who are conceded only 11 Goals against them in 13 Home Games. So for me here:

Magdeburg @ 2.19 4/10 Pinn

Berlin-Frankfurt
Berlin will win this i think. Frankfurt without important Players. Topscorer Meier are out, Aigner doubtful because he will become next hours a child. Also Zambrano are doubtful. If he can´t play big blow for Frankfurt, because for me he is the important Player in Frankfurt Defensive Line. Watch the Game from Frankfurt against Schalke at Sunday and it was a very weak Game. (Thats why i don´t bet today on Schalke). No pressure from Frankfurt in a Home Game against out of form Schalke. On Berlin Side they all looking now for qualiyfing for the Champions League. For me not good, for Berlin in Next Year season, but now we are here right now. Wining without there best Player Darida at Cologne last weekend and now Darida are back for Berlin. Hugh Plus here for Berlin. Also watch at Bilance from both teams. Berlin are very strong at Home with 6-4-1 and Frankfurt bad away with 2-3-6. Last 3 Games are all Drawn, but can´t think that with acutally Form this game ends with a Draw. Also fitness here on Berlin Side. They have played 26 th February against Colgone, while Frankfurt played at Sunday 28th. Also Berlin at the Weekend have one Day more off, then Frankfurt have. So here for me:
 
Berlin @ 1.99 5/10 Pinnacle

Bayern Munich-Mainz 05
Top Game here for me, specially when you look at the table and the form at the moment. Don´t must write enough about Munich. Important defensive Players out. Boateng, Badstuber and Martinez out, so last weeks Kimmich and Alaba playing Central Defenders and specially Kimmich made not the best Games in last Weeks. So problem here on Munich Side will be counters. Turin made it, Wolfsburg creat also on counters some good chances. And now Mainz.... After Winter Break with superb Form and now they are on 5th Place in Bundesliga and with near contact to the Play Off Place to the Champions League. Losing only against strong Hoffenheim Side (under New Coach) and wining for example against Schalke, M´Gladbach and Leverkusen. So you can see, not the weakest teams in League. Speaking about Counter Attacks, few words up here. Mainz are really good in Counter Attacking with excellent Counter Players like Malli, Jairo and think Clemens will replace today De Blasis because he is much faster then De Blasis. Blow here for Mainz is that Central Defender Bell can not playing today. Big Blow because for me he was good "weapon" to defend against Lewandowski. I see first Game in Mainz and there was Munich wining by 3-0, but for Mainz this lose was too high. There showing in Mainz a good result and think today they can also made a good result. Specially if Pep will rotate today, maybe Tasci for Alaba or Kimmich, because Saturday Munich play big clash in Dortmund and can made a big dessison for the title. So think Mainz will be hard opponent here for Munich, so for me here:
Mainz AHC+2.5 @ 1.70 4/10 Marathonbet
And why not, odds are too High for that in Form team of Mainz.
X or Mainz @ 6.00 0.5/10 bet365

Hoffenheim-Augsburg
 
Important Game for both, because both are in bottom of the League and specially needs all Points for fight against Relegation. For Augsburg this is the 5th Game in 13 Days and they don´t have experience with that rythm. So rotation here possible and out are new Moravek. But Augsburg´s squad for me has no realy star, so everyone can peplaced nearly 1:1, only i´ve write it at Sunday acutally the central Midfield Players Koo and Kohr are in good Form. But if they play again today i can´t see them by full fitness.
On Hoffenheim Side after New Coach Naggelsmann take over the training, Hoffenheim shwoing a good Form and playing much better. Draw in Bremen after good Game, Win against in Form team Mainz and a lose against Dortmund at Sunday. But if you watch the game against Dortmund, must say Hoffenheim are playing really well and i think they only lost 1-3 because they became late Goals after Rudy on Hoffenheim Side become the red card. He´s missing today. Not that blow, because with Schwegler is a good Men to replace him. Hoffenheim played under Naggelsmann good pressing and playing also good against the ball. So for me here Augsburg will have a tough game here. Hoffenheim are more by full Fitness, Augsburg after a lot of Matches last weeks, maybe a little bit tired.
For me here Hoffenheim will win this important game.
Hoffenheim @ 2.40 3/10 interwetten