richard-westwood

Mayhem Mya                                                      4 40 Ain/                     1/40th of a pt ew        36/1        - 4th
Neman Lion                                                        3 30 Ain/                      1/40th of a pt ew       20/1
 
 
 
P/L    + 176.85 pts

440 ain't 
Saint roi. 8.9 5/1 
Path doroux. 8.9 7/1
Unexpected party 8.7.
Heltenham   8.5 
5pt wins top 2

Hopefully these will prove as successful when they helped me land £993 from a £3 lucky fifteen.
Again I will stick to the 1st 4 in the betting forecast. This again proved profitable in its own right again last year and has now shown a profit for 9 years in a row ! There have been 139 wins from 831 runs with a profit of 190 points and an AE of 1.11. It has now found the Grand National in 6 of the last 9 runnings.
Distance of race different to last time (more or less than 1 furlong). 63 wins from  310 runs, profit 216 points, AE 1.46. 
Odds last time between 2/1 and 80/1. 117 wins from 661 runs, profit 237 points, AE 1.21.
10 runners or more in last race. 94 wins from 508 runs, profit 236 points, AE 1.23.
Consistency in the last 2 years factor between 0.59 and 0.39. 62 wins from 288 runs, profit 154 points, AE 1.45.
Going last time not Good or Heavy. 103 wins from 534 runs, profit 163 points, AE 1.23.

2.20 Aintree     Kargese looked the winner all day long until outstayed up the hill at Cheltenham and with a question mark over Sir Gino and the stables form . looks a good bet  . Could even put a saver on the SF if the real Sir Gino turns up .
5.15 Aintree   Honky Tonk Highway is the bet , unfortunately the Skeltons have been shouting it from the roof tops for months , so a price collapse is likely .

2.55 Aintree - AHOY SENOR 12/1 bet365 eway ( 3 places )  2nd , ran an absolute cracker 👍
Horse loves it around here winning over both hurdle & chase fences , hasn't been in any kind of form this season but I'm a " horses for courses " kind of a person & trainer L.Russell has sent 20 horses here last 10 years with 5 winners & 9 being places with a Win LSP of + £93.00 & a Placed LSP of + £63.98 .

Aintree 1.45 Five line up for this Grade 1 Manifesto Novices’ Chase run over 2M 4F with the first and second from the Turners Novices’ Chase at Cheltenham back to renew rivalry. Dan Skelton’s Grey Dawning out stayed Paul Nicholls’s Ginny’s Destiny to the tune of 2L at the line and can confirm that form although it may be close between the pair. Willie Mullins saddles his Arkle third Il Etait Temps who is stepping up in trip today. It’s hard to fancy either Blow Your Wad and Colonel Harry who are safely held by Ginny’s Destiny so the selection here is Skelton’s exciting grey Grey Dawning who can confirm Cheltenham form and start the meeting off well for the Skelton camp who are keen to keep ahead of his old boss Paul NIcholls and Willie Mullins in the jumps trainers championship.   GREY DAWNING 2 points win @ Evens bet365   Aintree 2.20 Just six have declared for the Grade 1 2M 1F Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle including Nicky Henderson’s highly promising Sir Gino. Obviously we don’t know for certain what sort of form the stable are in as they’ve only had a handful of runners since Cheltenham and none of them where of much interest. If the stable was in top form Sir Gino would be a very strong fancy and he’s still has to be the pick here although it would of been nice to know for sure what form the Seven Barrows team are in. Willie Mullins saddles Kargese who was runner up in the Triumph Hurdle whilst Paul Nicholls runs his exciting unbeaten ex French gelding Kalif Du Berlais. He looks a proper horse having impressed twice at Kempton and may be the one to chase Sir Gino home.   SIR GINO 2 points win @ 10/11 Coral   Aintree 2.55 The 3m 1F Grade 1 Aintree Bowl Chase has attracted a field of seven. Cheltenham Gold Cup runner up Gerri Colombe is the form horse as he had Bravemansgame (5th) and Gentlemansgame (pulled up) behind that day and looks sure to run well at a track that he won at last season as a novice and may have most to fear from Nicky Henderson’s Shishkin. A good run from Sir Gino in the previous race would obviously be a major boost for him and likewise a poor run would see Shishkin’s odds lengthen. He won this last year from the re-appearing Ahoy Senor, who doesn’t look the same horse this year, and on his best form he’s a big player here. Corbetts Cross impressed at Cheltenham but this will be much tougher and the selection is Gordon Elliott’s Gerri Colombe who brings the best recent form to the table.   GERRI COLOMBE 1 point win @ 13/8 William Hill   Aintree 3.30 The Grade 1 2M 4F William Hill Aintree Hurdle sees eight runners line up with the top two rated both coming from Ireland. Henry De Bromhead’s Bob Olinger who’s looked back to his best this season, winning Grade 2 contests over 2M 4F at Navan and Cheltenham prior to a creditable 5 1/2L second in the Irish Champion Hurdle to State Man. He looks sure to run well but may struggle to fight off the Willie Mullins trained Impaire Et Passe who like Bob Olinger missed Cheltenham. A smart novice last season winning the Ballymore at Cheltenham and has placed behind Teahupoo and State Man this season. Today’s trip and ground look ideal and he can out stay Bob Olinger. Champion Hurdle third Luccia may have been flattered last time whilst Coral Cup winner Langer Dan has plenty more on his plate here.   IMPAIRE ET PASSE 1 point win @ 15/8 bet365   Aintree 4.05 A bumper field of twenty two will line up for the first race of the meeting over the Grand National fences the Randox Foxhunters’ Open Hunters’ Chase over 2M 5F. Cheltenham Foxhunters runner up Its On The Line will love the testing ground but didn’t really travel that well at Cheltenham and they may go a bit faster here so I’ll pass over him. Ante post gamble Spyglass Hill looks too short now despite winning one of the bigger hunter chases of the early part of the season at Haydock in the Walrus Hunters Chase. Hannah Roach’s Time Leader ran a blinder at 50-1 at Cheltenham finishing 5 1/2L behind Its On The Line and is also a player with the drop in trip a positive but the value may well be last years runner up Bennys King who’s looked in great form this season including when bolting up at Leicester last time when making all under today’s jockey Sean O’Connor for trainer Dan Skelton on ground that he’ll love.   BENNYS KING 1 point each way @ 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345   Aintree 4.40 Fifteen face the starter for the 2M Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase and has a very competitive look about it. The Grand Annual winner from Cheltenham, Unexpected Party, trained by Dan Skelton re-appears off of a 8lb higher mark with the third Path D’Oroux, sixth Saint Roi and eighth Triple Trade all taking him on again. One horse who catches my eye towards the bottom of the field is the Paul Nicholls trained Sans Bruit, an ex French performer who has plenty of smart form on heavy ground so should love the conditions. He’s had just the three runs for Nicholls, twice down the field in competitive handicap hurdles and a fine 3/4L second at Chepstow to an improver in Prince Quali. He’s 2lb out of the handicap here but as he actually goes up 3lb for that latest run in future handicaps is a pound well in here and has the assistance of Bryony Frost (presuming that Harry Cobden can’t do the weight of 10-2). In a wide open race the six year old mudlark could be the value play each way with additional places.   SANS BRUIT 1 point each way @ 12/1 1/5th 1234 Coral   Aintree 5.15 The final race on day one of the Grand National meeting is the 2M 1F Goffs Nickel Coin Mares’ National Hunt Flat Race with several promising mares here. Willie Mullins saddles Baby Kate who’s not been seen since November when winning a listed bumper at Cheltenham and has to be on the short list. Dan Skelton will be desperate to secure more prize money at the meeting as he attempts to keep clear of the chasing Paul Nicholls and Willie Mullins and saddles Honky Tonk Highway who’s unbeaten in a 3M maiden point to point and a listed bumper at Sandown when making his rules debut which takes some doing. There are many other potentially nice mares in the race but it’s the Skelton’s Honky Tonk Highway the one for me.   HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 1234  

440 ain't 
Saint roi. 8.9 5/1 
Path doroux. 8.9 7/1
Unexpected party 8.7.
Heltenham   8.5 
5pt wins top 2

440 ain't 
Saint roi. 8.9 5/1 
Path doroux. 8.9 7/1
Unexpected party 8.7.
Heltenham   8.5 
5pt wins top 2

I’m at Aintree on Friday if you get chance to rate any races mate 👍🏼

440 ain't 
Saint roi. 8.9 5/1 
Path doroux. 8.9 7/1
Unexpected party 8.7.
Heltenham   8.5 
5pt wins top 2

440 ain't 
Saint roi. 8.9 5/1 
Path doroux. 8.9 7/1
Unexpected party 8.7.
Heltenham   8.5 
5pt wins top 2

440 ain't 
Saint roi. 8.9 5/1 
Path doroux. 8.9 7/1
Unexpected party 8.7.
Heltenham   8.5 
5pt wins top 2

Apologies, been out all afternoon.
I had Ey Up It's Maggie well down my ratings, I had 2 joint top rated which came nowhere

Couldn't even win a two horse race 🤣🤣🤣

Your absolutely right with the going thing ....I've mentioned this a couple times over the past few weeks .,racing is dieing because  of field sizes so if the ground is virtually unraceable (going stick 2.5 to 3) which is a joke then they are just going ahead anyway .....it's bad for punters and like you said it's horrendous for horses on ground alone ...add in wind like yesterday doubly so .......all come down to money pure and simple ....😐

Couldn't even win a two horse race 🤣🤣🤣

Couldn't even win a two horse race 🤣🤣🤣

Couldn't even win a two horse race 🤣🤣🤣

Couldn't even win a two horse race 🤣🤣🤣

Couldn't even win a two horse race 🤣🤣🤣

830 wolv 
Very open race but computer is saying ...A pint of bear.... is overpriced here  at a generous looking  15/2 Ew  (estimated 9/2-5/1)....with 888 4 places so I'll try 5pts Ew 😀

I stuck him in a double with Midnight Lion who absolutely bolted up at Newcastle a little while ago, so fingers crossed for all 
& like yourself, I don't really understand the betting atm 

Nnnooooooooo.....lol 🤣 ....like u said there's collateral form so over twice the price ... He's not half the horse lol so it's good value bet whatever happens 😁 

830 wolv 
Very open race but computer is saying ...A pint of bear.... is overpriced here  at a generous looking  15/2 Ew  (estimated 9/2-5/1)....with 888 4 places so I'll try 5pts Ew 😀

Hope yous two are on form today @MCLARKE @richard-westwood need some wine 🍷 tokens 😂 hope I don’t put the mockers on them though 🤞