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richard-westwood reacted to Villa Chris in Racing Chat - Saturday 27th July
I’ve had a go . Bit different to how I rate handicaps but let’s see how it does .
Sunway 29 14/1
Bluestocking 26 9/2
Auguste Rodin 24 6/4
Dubai Honour 24 22/1
Middle Earth 21 9/1
2 points win Sunway
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richard-westwood reacted to Zilzalian in Racing Chat - Saturday 27th July
I am looking but i wont do any ratings until the 48hr im old and i dont want to waste any oxygen 😂
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richard-westwood reacted to MCLARKE in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
Won, BSP 8.40
72 from 293, LSP 65.87
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richard-westwood got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Saturday 27th July
Can pop any ratings for weekend in here ......I'd already the king George
Continuous 497 1.11 10/1
Luxembourg. 493 1.08 10/1
August Rodin. 483 0.35 5/4
Sunway. 478. 1.06 10/1
Currently ....August Rodin looks terrible value back up to 12f ....I think he's better at 10f .... So continuous and 2nd string Luxembourg look the value bets with a run ....but will he run all 3 ??
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richard-westwood got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing chat -weds 24th July
820 Leicester
Seargant mayer 267 0.86 13/2 4p
High violet. 264 0.79 13/2
Kirumu. 254 0.34
Mullins beach 248 1.04
Seargant mayer looks to be the value bet with combo of form and value 1pt Ew 13/2 4 places
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richard-westwood got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Saturday 27th July
Can pop any ratings for weekend in here ......I'd already the king George
Continuous 497 1.11 10/1
Luxembourg. 493 1.08 10/1
August Rodin. 483 0.35 5/4
Sunway. 478. 1.06 10/1
Currently ....August Rodin looks terrible value back up to 12f ....I think he's better at 10f .... So continuous and 2nd string Luxembourg look the value bets with a run ....but will he run all 3 ??
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richard-westwood got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing chat -weds 24th July
Catt 410
My Honey b. 294 4/1 0.53
Obee jo 289 8/1 0.91
Without delay. 279 9/1 1.01
Obee jo looks the Ew value with 4 places ....1 PT Ew
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richard-westwood reacted to harry_rag in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
Well I seem to be developing a specialism in finding the horse that will occupy the final extra place. Is betting on exact finishing position in horse races a thing?
I'm not one to get carried away generally in the early days of any new betting approach but I'll be staying firmly in my box with this one at least until I manage to find an effing winner!
It's all good fun though.
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richard-westwood got a reaction from harry_rag in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
Whatever your doing it's working so keep it up 👍
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richard-westwood got a reaction from harry_rag in Racing chat -weds 24th July
820 Leicester
Seargant mayer 267 0.86 13/2 4p
High violet. 264 0.79 13/2
Kirumu. 254 0.34
Mullins beach 248 1.04
Seargant mayer looks to be the value bet with combo of form and value 1pt Ew 13/2 4 places
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richard-westwood reacted to Antonio Margarettii in RACING CHAT MONDAY 22ND JULY 2024
Ran a very good race as i thought
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richard-westwood got a reaction from Bronxie in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
3 out the 4 placed including the two value bets .....finally getting somewhere
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richard-westwood reacted to Zilzalian in RACING CHAT MONDAY 22ND JULY 2024
Well if people go back to the experiment for the 1000g 2000g derby and oaks it was quite successful in identifying value and at least giving an idea of a path to profitability as opposed to just guessing or following the noise. As for Saturday it depends on the races we choose I suppose my personal opinion is that it must be a pattern race or a very top tier handicap if the pattern races cut up to nothing as as happened recently. There are 4 pattern races.
315 york G2
150 ascot G3
225 ascot G3
415 ascot listed
Shall we do all 4? maybe give the small stakes players an option of a lucky 15.?
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richard-westwood got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing chat -weds 24th July
820 Leicester
Seargant mayer 267 0.86 13/2 4p
High violet. 264 0.79 13/2
Kirumu. 254 0.34
Mullins beach 248 1.04
Seargant mayer looks to be the value bet with combo of form and value 1pt Ew 13/2 4 places
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richard-westwood reacted to harry_rag in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
# Horse Odds Rating Val 1 Ghathanfar 6 103.40 62.62 2 Vadamiah 17 101.98 103.37 3 Rock Melody 6 101.44 26.50 4 Albegone 13 101.41 56.31 5 Profitable Edge 11 100.45 15.21 6 Classy Al 9 99.67 7 Ziggy's Queen 10 99.46 8 Le Beau Garcon 4.5 98.83 9 Khabib 9.5 97.49 10 Pockley 41 95.87 If ever the ratings were screaming "no bet" then it would be this race with nothing looking that strong on the rating or the value. Given RW's more knowledgeable take I've played Ghathanfar at 7.25 for a small interest. Vadamiah looks like a potential e/w bet at the price though also look like one of those horses that Zil would caution me off. Small e/w bet again running the risk of favouring price over the extra place.
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richard-westwood got a reaction from anaconda69 in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
Whatever your doing it's working so keep it up 👍
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richard-westwood got a reaction from anaconda69 in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
3 out the 4 placed including the two value bets .....finally getting somewhere
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richard-westwood got a reaction from Mindfulness in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
3 out the 4 placed including the two value bets .....finally getting somewhere
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richard-westwood got a reaction from Villa Chris in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
3 out the 4 placed including the two value bets .....finally getting somewhere
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richard-westwood reacted to harry_rag in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
# Horse Odds Rating Val 1 Giorgio M 4 105.80 50.11 2 Petra Celera 13 103.74 104.86 3 Rapido Girl 9 102.29 44.41 4 B Associates 17 101.74 63.91 5 Rory 9 101.69 32.75 6 Monhammer 12 100.29 7.54 7 Judgment Call 6.5 99.83 8 Angel Of England 5 98.98 9 Ahamoment 26 84.36 10 Fletchers Dream 26 67.95 Another so-so race in terms of top rating and best value. Played Petra C as best value given RW's take. B Associates looks like one of those muggy e/w bets I sometimes get drawn to. Maybe if it drifts. 17/1 about a pretty much average runner in a 10 horse race where the top rated isn't that far clear? (Of course the value of my ratings is still hugely open to question. The spreadsheet's not bad but I may be running it on cooking oil at the moment rather than 5 start unleaded!)
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richard-westwood got a reaction from Mindfulness in Racing chat -weds 24th July
820 Leicester
Seargant mayer 267 0.86 13/2 4p
High violet. 264 0.79 13/2
Kirumu. 254 0.34
Mullins beach 248 1.04
Seargant mayer looks to be the value bet with combo of form and value 1pt Ew 13/2 4 places
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richard-westwood reacted to MGC in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
Classy al messed the start, should have won.
430 l Harry The Haggler 9/2
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richard-westwood got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing chat-tues 23rd July
2 out the 3 placed ...not bad for a 5f race ...we are getting there